Spot Forecast Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
000
FNUS74 KMOB 141205
FWSMOB
Spot Forecast for MIC06...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
705 AM CDT Sun Apr 14 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on April 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions will persist over the burn site
through Monday. Afternoon relative humidity values are expected to
drop to around 25 percent today and between 30 and 35 percent on
Monday. Transport winds will shift from southwesterly this morning
to more southerly this afternoon around 5 to 10mph, and remain
mainly southerly through Monday. Dispersion values will be good
today and generally good Monday.
Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy to areas of fog are expected
late tonight into Monday morning.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 9 mph in
the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1737 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 5 mph shifting to the south 5 to 14
mph late in the morning.
Transport winds m/s.West around 1 meters/second increasing to 1 to
2 meters/second late in the morning, then
shifting to the south 2 to 6 meters/second late
in the morning.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 65.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....2.
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2 2 2 5 7 10 20 30 40 30
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............58 67 74 78 82 84 85 84 84 81
RH..............72 52 40 33 28 26 25 27 27 29
20 FT wind dir..SW WSW WSW WSW SSW S SSW SSW SSW SSW
20 FT wind spd..1 1 2 3 6 7 8 10 10 9
20 FT wind gust.5 5 5 7 9 12 13 15 16 15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 1.0 1.7 3.1 4.5 5.0 5.4 5.7 5.2 5.2
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.6
Transp wind dir.W W W S S S S S SSW SSW
Transp wind spd.3 5 3 5 7 9 10 12 13 14
Trans wind dir..W W W S S S S S SSW SSW
Trans spd (m/s).1 2 1 2 3 4 4 5 6 6
Dispersion idx..4 6 8 18 36 51 62 68 62 62
LVORI...........3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Areas of fog
early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening
becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1585 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 3 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....62 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........20 10 7 5 2 2 3 3 9 16 22 34
Weather cov..... ARS
Weather type.... FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............78 73 68 64 62 60 58 56 56 55 54 53
RH..............32 38 49 58 67 75 83 93 93 96 96 100
20 FT wind dir..SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..8 7 6 5 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2
20 FT wind gust.13 12 10 10 9 9 8 8 7 7 6 6
Mix hgt (kft)...5.2 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Mix hgt (km)....1.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW
Transp wind spd.14 10 9 9 9 8 8 8 7 7 7 6
Trans wind dir..SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW
Trans spd (m/s).6 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3
Dispersion idx..62 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........1 2 2 3 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 9
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Areas of fog
early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1341 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the south 3 to
12 mph in the morning and early afternoon, then
increasing to around 13 mph late in the
afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.South 1 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 55.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........45 57 45 33 21 17 13 9 9 9 9 10
Weather cov.....ARS ARS ARS
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............53 53 58 65 71 77 81 83 85 86 84 81
RH..............100 100 93 75 63 48 39 34 32 32 34 41
20 FT wind dir..S SSE S S SSW SSW SSW S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 2 3 5 6 7 8 9 9 8
20 FT wind gust.5 5 5 6 6 8 9 12 13 14 15 13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.6 2.4 3.2 3.9 4.1 4.2 4.4 4.4
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3
Transp wind dir.N SSW SW SSW SSW SSW SSW S S S S S
Transp wind spd.5 3 5 5 5 7 8 8 9 12 13 13
Trans wind dir..N SSW SW SSW SSW SSW SSW S S S S S
Trans spd (m/s).2 1 2 2 2 3 4 4 4 5 6 6
Dispersion idx..2 4 5 5 10 19 29 39 44 52 58 58
LVORI...........9 8 7 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1
$$
Forecaster...25
Requested by...Matt Delaney
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410700.0/MOB
.DELDT 04/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL matthew.delaney@usda.gov