Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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000
FXUS63 KMPX 172129
AFDMPX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
328 PM CST MON NOV 17 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 328 PM CST MON NOV 17 2014

NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH...GUSTING TO 35 MPH AT TIMES WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS COMBINED WITH
RECENTLY FALLEN SNOW WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOW AND DRIFTING SNOW IN
OPEN AREAS. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO 1 MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.
THE WINDS WILL SUBSIDE TO 15 TO 20 MPH EARLY THIS EVENING...AND
EVENTUALLY DIMINISH TO AROUND 10 MPH. THE UNSEASONABLY COLD
TEMPERATURES OVER THE REGION AND THE PERSISTENT NORTHWEST WINDS
WILL RESULT IN BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILLS TONIGHT. PLAN ON LOW
TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS TO SINGLE DIGITS BELOW
ZERO...RESULTING IN WIND CHILLS OF -15 TO -20. WEAK RIDGING SLIDES
ACROSS THE REGION ON TUESDAY WITH UNSEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY BE IN TEENS ABOVE ZERO.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 328 AM CST MON NOV 17 2014

A FAST MOVING SHORTWAVE PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION IN NORTHWEST FLOW
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY BRINGING CHANCES FOR LIGHT SNOW TO THE
AREA. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1/2 TO 1 INCH ARE POSSIBLE.  A TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY WILL LEAD TO
NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH...GUSTING TO AROUND 30 MPH AT TIMES
COULD LEAD TO PATCHY BLOWING SNOW MAINLY WEST OF THE INTERSTATE 35
CORRIDOR. UNSEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES AND QUIET WEATHER IS IN
STORE FOR THE REGION TROUGH THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK. A POTENTIALLY
STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM COULD IMPACT PARTS OF THE REGION LATE
THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY MONDAY BRINGING A WINTRY MIX TO PARTS OF
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA INTO WESTERN WISCONSIN. ACCUMULATING SNOW IS ALSO
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY OVER WEST CENTRAL INTO NORTHERN WISCONSIN . WILL
HAVE TO KEEP A VERY CLOSE EYE ON THIS SYSTEM.  THE GOOD NEWS...IS
THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING MORE SEASONABLE AIR INTO THE REGION AHEAD OF
IT...WITH HIGHS POSSIBLY CLIMBING INTO THE LOWER 30S SATURDAY
THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1147 AM CST MON NOV 17 2014

CEILINGS ARE RIGHT ON THE BORDER OF BEING MVFR AT 3000-3500FT WITH
A MORE WIDESPREAD AREA OF MVFR CEILINGS TO THE SOUTHWEST. EXPECT
THAT IT WILL REMAIN AT THAT LEVEL THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON
BEFORE IMPROVING TOWARD LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. SOME
FLURRIES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH SOME MINOR BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW...BUT THESE SHOULD NOT RESULT IN ANY MVFR/IFR VISIBILITIES.
WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY TO AROUND 25KTS THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING
HOURS. CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN VFR WITH WINDS COMING AROUND TO THE
SOUTHWEST INTO TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

KMSP...BORDERLINE MVFR CEILINGS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WITH VFR
THROUGH TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
TUE...VFR TO IFR AT NIGHT. WINDS W 12 KTS.
WED...MVFR. WINDS NW 15G20 KTS.
THU...VFR. WINDS NW 10 KTS.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR MNZ041-
 047-048-054>057-064-065-067-073>076-082>085-091>093.

WI...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JRW
LONG TERM...JRW
AVIATION...HALBACH



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