High Seas Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FZPN40 PHFO 192245
HSFNP

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
2300 UTC SUN OCT 19 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT
OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN
TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

THIS HIGH SEAS FORECAST USES 1-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS WHICH MAY BE
HIGHER THAN 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS.

PAN PAN

NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 160E

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC OCT 19 2014.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC OCT 20 2014.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC OCT 21 2014.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ANA NEAR 20.7N 160.6W AT 19/2100 UTC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM
NE...60 NM SE...40 NM SW...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR
HIGHER WITHIN 120 NM NE...90 NM SE...70 NM SW...AND 110 NM NW
QUADRANTS. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 8 TO 12 FT ELSEWHERE WITHIN
150 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO
STRONG TSTMS FROM 20N TO 22N BETWEEN 157W AND 161W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ANA NEAR 21.4N 163.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN
90 NM NE...60 NM SE...40 NM SW...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT
OR HIGHER WITHIN 120 NM NE...90 NM SE...70 NM SW...AND 110 NM NW
QUADRANTS. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 8 TO 12 FT ELSEWHERE WITHIN
150 NM OF CENTER.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ANA NEAR 23.2N 166.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN
90 NM NE...60 NM SE...40 NM SW...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT
OR HIGHER WITHIN 120 NM NE...90 NM SE...70 NM SW...AND 110 NM NW
QUADRANTS. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 8 TO 12 FT ELSEWHERE WITHIN
150 NM OF CENTER.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ANA NEAR 25.8N 167.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ANA NEAR 28.5N 168.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ANA NEAR 31.3N 167.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.

FORECAST WINDS NEAR TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION
DUE TO FORECAST UNCERTAINTY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW 05N169E 1008 MB MOVING NNW 10 KT. TROUGH FROM LOW TO 07N164E TO
11N161E NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS S OF 09N W OF
171E...FROM 03N TO 10N BETWEEN 171E AND 176W...AND FROM 10N TO 13N
BETWEEN 174E AND 178W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 08N167E 1008 MB. TROUGH FROM LOW TO 12N161E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. TROUGH FROM 10N161E TO 03N162E.

.WEAK FRONT FROM 27N140W TO 25N150W TO 25N160W TO 28N175W MOVING S
10 KT E OF 166W...AND NEARLY STATIONARY ELSEWHERE. NE TO E WINDS 20
TO 25 KT N OF FRONT W OF 152W. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 90 NM
OF FRONT W OF 167W...AND WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM 25N170W TO
23N167W TO 21N166W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DISSIPATING FRONT FROM 23N140W TO 23N150W TO
24N166W TO 28N172W. WINDS EASED TO 20 KT OR LESS.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT DISSIPATED.

.TROUGH FROM 29N166E TO 26N160E NEARLY STATIONARY. WINDS 20 TO 25
KT FROM 26N TO 29N W OF 163E. SCATTERED TO LOCALLY ISOLATED MODERATE
TO STRONG TSTMS FROM 20N TO 28N W OF 167E. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS
FROM 16N TO 20N W OF 164E...AND FROM 20N TO 24N BETWEEN 169E AND
172E.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 29N164E 1003 MB. FRONTS FROM LOW TO
30N164E...AND FROM LOW TO 23N160E. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT N OF 26N W OF
166E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW MOVED N OF FORECAST AREA. FRONT FROM 30N171E
TO 24N167E TO 21N160E. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT N OF 27N W OF 174E.

.TROUGH FROM 29N177W TO 26N178W TO 23N178E MOVING NW SLOWLY.
ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS BOUNDED BY 29N177W TO 25N175W TO 23N178W TO
26N179E TO 29N179W TO 29N177W...AND WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM
22N176W TO 19N174W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 30N179W TO 27N174E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED WHILE MOVING N OF FORECAST AREA.

.TROUGH FROM 08N167W TO 06N170W TO 02N174W MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED
STRONG TSTMS FROM 02N TO 06N BETWEEN 170W AND 174W. ISOLATED
MODERATE TO STRONG TSTMS FROM 04N TO 08N BETWEEN 165W AND 170W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 09N172W TO 02N177W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 10N174W TO 06N180E TO 02N178E.

.RIDGE FROM 22N140W TO 23N146W MOVING S 10 KT AND GRADUALLY ERODING
FROM THE W.

.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS OVER REST OF FORECAST AREA.

.THE FOLLOWING ARE SEAS OTHER THAN THOSE ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE
ANA.

.SEAS 12 TO 16 FT N OF LINE FROM 29N140W TO 25N150W TO 25N157W.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT ELSEWHERE N OF LINE FROM 27N140W TO 23N152W TO
19N163W TO 20N168W TO 29N179E.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 12 TO 15 FT N OF 25N E OF 147W. SEAS 8 TO 12
FT ELSEWHERE N OF LINE FROM 18N140W TO 15N151W TO 17N166W TO
25N171W...AND NW OF LINE FROM 30N166E TO 26N160E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 12 TO 15 FT N OF 28N W OF 167E. SEAS 8 TO 12
FT ELSEWHERE N OF 26N W OF 172E. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT E OF LINE FROM
30N144W TO 18N152W TO 11N148W.

.SEAS 8 FT OR LESS OVER REST OF FORECAST AREA.

.ITCZ FROM 06N140W TO 04N146W TO 05N152W TO 08N160W. ISOLATED
MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 60 NM OF ITCZ...AND ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 11N
BETWEEN 157W AND 161W...AND FROM 07N TO 09N BETWEEN 144W AND 148W.

$$

.FORECASTER KINEL. HONOLULU HI





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