Text Products for FWS Issued by PAH

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY
Versions: 1
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FNUS73 KPAH 231946
FWSPAH

Spot Forecast for 2 Mules wildfire...FS
National Weather Service Paducah KY
246 PM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1500 CDT on April 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Clouds will generally be on the uptick over the wildfire area as a
front approaches from the north. This will ultimately bring rain
chances in through tonight. Winds will be gusty south to southwest ahead
of the front before shifting to the northwest and diminishing overnight.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........75 at forecast start...Max 77.
RH..................39 percent at forecast start...Min 37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds southwest at 12 mph at forecast
                    start...otherwise Southwest winds 12 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good /109000 knot-ft/ at forecast start.
                    Max...very good /116000 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at forecast start...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      3 PM   5 PM
Sky cover.......PCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0
Temp............75     76
RH..............39     40
20 FT wind dir..SW     SW
20 FT wind spd..12     13
20 FT wind gust.22     21
Haines index....4      4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..109    95
Ventrate Cat....VYGD   GOOD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and slight chance of thunderstorms in
                    the evening.
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 42 percent early in the
                    evening, then increasing to 57 percent early in
                    the evening decreasing to 44 percent late in
                    the evening decreasing to 28 percent decreasing
                    to 12 percent overnight decreasing to 0
                    percent.
Temperature.........Min 50.
RH..................Max 96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 10 to 13 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 6 to 10 mph early in the evening,
                    then shifting to the north around 6 mph late in
                    the evening becoming 6 to 7 mph overnight.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (74900 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2500 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  CLOUDY MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
Weather cov.....S CHC  LIKELY CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........       S CHC
CWR.............0      60     40     10     0      0
Temp............75     69     64     61     57     54
RH..............43     59     75     84     93     96
20 FT wind dir..SW     NW     N      N      N      N
20 FT wind spd..10     10     6      6      6      6
20 FT wind gust.18     16     10     9      8      10
Haines index....4      4      4      4      5      5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..75     5      4      5      3      4
Ventrate Cat....GOOD   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 75.
RH..................Min 28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......North winds 6 to 8 mph shifting to the
                    northeast around 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (40300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............52     53     63     71     74     75
RH..............93     83     52     35     29     28
20 FT wind dir..N      N      N      N      N      NE
20 FT wind spd..7      8      8      7      7      6
20 FT wind gust.10     12     12     12     10     8
Haines index....5      5      5      5      5      5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5      9      29     38     40     32
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

$$
Forecaster...WFO PADUCAH
Requested by...Sueanne Cmehil-Warn
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2412037.0/PAH
.DELDT 04/23/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL momoc.dispatch@usda.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
