958
FXUS64 KSJT 281714
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1214 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 432 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

Many of the CAMs were correct regarding the development of a line
of thunderstorms across the region this morning. The remainder of
the depicted activity is still located across areas near San
Saba, Mason, and Brownwood as of 4:30 AM CDT. Lightning, small
hail, and wind gusts to 40 MPH are all possible with this
activity. We expect this activity will largely be out of our area
by 7 AM CDT. Afterwards, skies should clear for the afternoon
allowing temperatures to climb into the lower to middle 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 432 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

After the aforementioned activity moves out to the east, a break in
the active weather pattern will ensue. Zonal flow will develop aloft
following the departure of the low pressure. We will generally see a
gradual warm up into the lower 90s through Tuesday. A series of
minor disturbances aloft may yield enough support for a few
thunderstorms for the middle part of next week. Otherwise, both the
GFS and ECMWF depict the same forecast for the most part giving a
fair amount of confidence in this forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1113 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

Expect VFR conditions to prevail through the next 24 hours. Patchy
stratus is possible around 11Z at KJCT, but confidence remains
low, so VFR conditions were continued at this time. Expect winds
to generally remain below 10 knots through the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     82  57  88  62 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  84  55  91  62 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    87  58  91  62 /  20   0   0   0
Brownwood   82  58  86  61 /  10   0   0   0
Sweetwater  81  58  88  63 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       83  58  88  62 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       83  59  86  62 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....41
AVIATION...Daniels