949
FNUS75 KTWC 110149
FWSTWC

Spot Forecast for Toyo Fire...San Carlos Agency
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
649 PM MST Fri May 10 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 MST on May 10.

.DISCUSSION...
A weather system passing north of the area will bring gusty winds
to the fire area this weekend. Winds will diminish this evening
before picking up by mid day Saturday. Combined with low minimum
RH values, the fire area will probably see near critical to
critical fire weather conditions.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....51-54 degrees.
Max humidity........29-32 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northwest to west winds 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up
                    to 22 mph in the evening.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL decreasing to 100 ft AGL early in
                    the evening.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 8 knots.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....86-89 degrees.
Min humidity........8-11 percent.
20-foot winds.......South winds 4 to 8 mph shifting to the west
                    13 to 18 mph with gusts to around 26 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL increasing to 13200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 7 knots increasing to west around
                    17 knots in the afternoon.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....51-54 degrees.
Max humidity........35-38 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 26 mph
                    in the evening.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......8100 ft AGL decreasing to 100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 knots.

$$
Forecaster...MEYER
Requested by...Wndy Koinva
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2413748.0/TWC
.DELDT 05/10/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL azphc@firenet.gov

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