Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD

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000
FXUS63 KUNR 232046
AFDUNR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR WESTERN SD AND NORTHEASTERN WY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
246 PM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

.SHORT TERM...THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
ISSUED AT 233 PM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS HAS BROAD RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWEST CONUS WITH
SHORTWAVE RIDGE CROSSING THE NORTHERN PLAINS. SKIES ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PLAINS ARE PARTLY SUNNY WITH MAINLY THIN CIRRUS CROSSING
THE AREA. AT THE SURFACE...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IS IN PLACE WITH LEE
TROF DEVELOPING ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL MONTANA. TEMPERATURES ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA ARE IN THE 60S AND 70S...WITH LIGHT WEST TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS.

UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT
AND INTO FRIDAY WITH DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS EXPECTED. LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE UPPER 30S TO UPPER 40S TONIGHT
WITH LIGHT WINDS PERSISTING. ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED AGAIN ON FRIDAY UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. HIGHS WILL BE
IN THE UPPER 60S TO UPPER 70S...WITH LIGHT WESTERLY WINDS
CONTINUING.

&&

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
ISSUED AT 233 PM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL KEEP DRY WEATHER AND WARMER THAN
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES OVER THE REGION FROM SATURDAY THROUGH MUCH OF
SUNDAY. CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE ON SUNDAY AND THERE WILL BE A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS OVER PARTS OF NORTHEASTERN
WYOMING AS THE UPPER RIDGE MOVES OFF TO THE EAST AND A DEEPENING
UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. COOLER AIR FLOWING INTO THE
REGION WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO MUCH OF THE AREA ON
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. TEMPERATURES MAY BE COLD ENOUGH FOR A BIT
OF LIGHT SNOW OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE BLACK HILLS FROM
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL END
ON MONDAY NIGHT AS DRIER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION. MAINLY DRY
WEATHER WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S IS THEN EXPECTED FOR
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY AFTERNOON
ISSUED AT 233 PM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND ON FRIDAY.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...15
LONG TERM...10
AVIATION...10






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