Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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672
FXUS64 KFWD 140820
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
220 AM CST SUN FEB 14 2016

.DISCUSSION...
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO FLOW INTO NORTH AND CENTRAL
TEXAS FOR THE REST OF TODAY INTO MONDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR
INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND THE POSSIBILITY OF SHOWERS DURING THAT
TIME. THE MOST LIKELY AREA FOR THIS TO OCCUR WILL BE ACROSS THE
EASTERN COUNTIES OF OUR AREA WHEN A SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED
WEAK COLD FRONT MOVE INTO THE REGION. MOST OF THE ENERGY FROM THE
SHORTWAVE WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE RED RIVER...WITH VERY LITTLE
INSTABILITY ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL END QUICKLY MONDAY
AFTERNOON AS DRIER AND COOLER AIR FILTERS IN FROM THE NORTH. WITH
THE COOL AIR ADVECTION...HIGH TEMPERATURES MONDAY WILL BE A FEW
DEGREES LOWER AND LOW TEMPERATURES TUESDAY MORNING WILL BE A FEW
DEGREES COOLER AS WELL. QUIETER WEATHER AND A WARMING TREND WILL
ENSUE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS BACK IN FROM THE
WEST. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 70S AND LOWS WILL BE IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.

LONG RANGE MODELS ARE HINTING AT THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A SHORT WAVE...AND ASSOCIATED
COLD FRONT MOVE THROUGH THE AREA.

78.JG

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 1112 PM CST SAT FEB 13 2016/
/06Z TAFS/

MINOR CHALLENGES ON CIGS ARRIVAL AND TRENDS...AS I HAVE MOVED BACK
ARRIVAL 1-2 HOURS AT ALL LOCATIONS. HOWEVER...40-50KT LLJ SHOULD
HAVE ALL AIRPORTS IN LOW MVFR BY 08Z. WITH THE STRONG WINDS...I
HAVE CONTINUE TO LEAVE IFR OUT OF WACO JUST BEFORE SUNRISE THOUGH
THIS WILL NEED TO WATCH CLOSELY AS SOME BORDERLINE IFR CONDITIONS
ARE SHOWING UP AT A FEW LOCATIONS WEST OF KCLL. OTHERWISE...ONLY
CHANGES WERE WITH STRONG WAA AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT
SUNDAY AFTERNOON WAS TO BRING CIGS INTO VFR BY MIDDAY AND SEE OFF
AND ON VFR CIGS THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. SOUTH WINDS 15-20KTS WILL
CONTINUE...BUT WANE WITH THE APPROACH OF THE COLD FRONT LATER
SUNDAY.

05/


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  72  50  69  48  73 /  20  30  10   0   0
WACO, TX              74  51  72  43  77 /  20  30  10   0   0
PARIS, TX             64  48  66  45  69 /  20  50  30   5   0
DENTON, TX            69  47  68  45  71 /  20  30  10   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          68  49  67  45  71 /  20  40  20   0   0
DALLAS, TX            71  52  70  49  72 /  20  30  10   0   0
TERRELL, TX           70  51  69  46  72 /  20  40  30   5   0
CORSICANA, TX         73  55  72  48  75 /  20  30  30   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            75  52  73  46  77 /  20  20  10   0   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     73  45  70  44  74 /  10  10  10   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

78



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