Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 230435
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1035 PM CST Wed Nov 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...

Please see the 06Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period with light
and variable winds.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 217 PM CST Wed Nov 22 2017/

DISCUSSION...

A very amplified pattern over our part of the Conus will continue to
bring periodic cool shots along with warm days in between. The cool
airmass across the region currently will modify for Thanksgiving Day
with highs back up into the 70`s. A shortwave crossing the northern
Rockies late this week will dampen the large upper ridge that has
set up over the western U.S. Ahead of this system, expect a very
warm Friday with highs in record territory. The current record
high for Midland Int`l for 11/24 is 83 degrees and we are
forecasting very near that. Fortunately, winds aren`t looking too
strong Friday so other than some elevated fire danger, things
should be fairly quiet. A "cold" front arrives Saturday, but
temperatures look to still remain above normal even behind the
boundary. Upper ridging builds over the area early next week with
well above normal temperatures making a come-back. We could also
see increased fire danger Monday and Tuesday. Our next strong
front is expected around Tuesday of next week with temperatures
finally falling back to normal. With low-level moisture remaining
well to our east and south, the forecast remains dry.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     38  74  44  82 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       37  73  41  83 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         38  76  43  85 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  41  72  46  85 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 47  71  47  77 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          36  74  43  82 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          32  73  33  80 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           38  75  45  83 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         38  75  45  83 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           34  76  42  85 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$



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