Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 110552
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1152 PM CST WED FEB 10 2016

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 11/06Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THIS
TAF PERIOD WITH MOSTLY SKC CONDITIONS. SOME THIN CIRRUS WILL BEGIN
TO SPILL SE INTO THE REGION BY LATE MORNING THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE PD. SW WINDS TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT FROM 5-10 KTS...VEERING
WESTWARD LATER ON THURSDAY AHEAD OF A WEAK COLD FRONT WHICH WILL
ARRIVE AROUND MIDDAY AT TXK/ELD AND THEN BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON
ALONG THE I-20 TERMINALS. BRIEF PERIOD OF NW WINDS WILL FOLLOW IN
THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...BEFORE BECOMING LGT/VRBL AFTER 12/00Z.
/19/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 955 PM CST WED FEB 10 2016/

UPDATE...
TWEAK A FEW OVERNIGHT LOWS

DISCUSSION...
A FEW SITES WITH CALM WINDS ARE RUNNING COOLER THAN SHOULD BE FOR
FORECAST LOWS TO HOLD OUT UNTIL DAYBREAK. BUMPED DEQ DOWN A CAT
WITH A JUST SMIDGE LOWER AT ELD AND LFK. ON THE OTHER HAND...WE
STILL HAVE SOME SITES WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS OVER 10 MPH AND MID TO
UPPER 50S. OUR SOUNDING SHOWS DEEPENING SOUTHWEST FLOW WITH THE
VAD STILL 35 TO 40KTS AT 1-2KFT. A LITTLE SFC LOW OVER IS N/NE OK
AND WILL DROP SOUTH...WEAKENING WINDS A BIT TOWARD DAYBREAK WITH
AN INVERSION DROPPING DOWN AS WELL. THE DAYLIGHT HOURS WILL SEE WEAK
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL FILTER DOWN ACROSS THE I-30 CORRIDOR WITH A
1030MB HIGH OVER IA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  46  72  42  68 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  42  70  40  65 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  33  66  35  64 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  43  66  38  64 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  40  66  37  63 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  46  71  43  69 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  47  72  43  68 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  44  76  49  72 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

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