Headwater Guidance
Issued by NWS

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000
FOUS71 KRHA 080750
FFHPA2
HEADWATER STATEMENT FOR THE DELAWARE AND SUSQUEHANNA BASINS
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
231 AM EST MON FEB 8 2016

APPROXIMATE 1/3/6/12-HR BASIN AVERAGED RAINFALL (INCHES)
REQUIRED TO CAUSE MINOR, MODERATE, AND MAJOR FLOODING AT
THE INDICATED HEADWATER LOCATIONS.

.B RHA 160208 Z DH06/DC1602080731/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF
:
:IDENT    1HR   3HR   6HR  12HR  HEADWATER NAME
:======= ====  ====  ====  ====  ====================
:
: NWS BINGHAMTON SERVICE AREA...
:  SUSQUEHANNA BASIN...
:  Chenango River...
SHBN6     0.9/  0.9/  1.0/  1.0 :Sherburne (8.5ft.)
:SHBN6md  1.3/  1.4/  1.5/  1.5  Sherburne (9)
:SHBN6mj  2.1/  2.3/  2.4/  2.4  Sherburne (10.6)
:  Otselic River...
CINN6     2.8/  3.0/  3.3/  3.4 :Cincinnatus (9ft.)
: ...moderate and major flood stages above rating table.
:  Cohocton River...
CMPN6     1.5/  2.0/  2.3/  2.3 :Campbell (8ft.)
:CMPN6md  2.4/  3.1/  3.5/  3.6  Campbell (10)
:CMPN6mj  3.1/  4.1/  4.7/  4.9  Campbell (11)
:  Canisteo River...
WCRN6     1.8/  2.2/  2.5/  2.7 :West Cameron (17ft)
:WCRN6md  2.0/  2.5/  2.8/  3.1  West Cameron (18)
:WCRN6mj  2.8/  3.5/  4.0/  4.5  West Cameron (21)
:  Towanda Creek...
MONP1     2.0/  2.1/  2.2/  2.6 :Monroeton (15.5ft)
:MONP1md  2.5/  2.5/  2.7/  3.2  Monroeton (17)
:MONP1mj  3.2/  3.2/  3.4/  4.1  Monroeton (18.5)
:  Tunkhannock Creek...
TNKP1     1.8/  2.2/  2.8/  3.2 :Tunkhannock (11ft.)
:TNKP1md  2.3/  2.9/  3.6/  4.2  Tunkhannock (14)
:TNKP1mj  2.9/  3.7/  4.6/  5.4  Tunkhannock (17)
:  Lackawanna River...
OFRP1     3.4/  3.8/  4.3/  4.6 :Old Forge (11ft.)
:OFRP1md  4.0/  4.6/  5.1/  5.5  Old Forge (13)
:OFRP1mj  4.9/  5.7/  6.4/  6.9  Old Forge (16)
:  DELAWARE BASIN...
:  East Branch Delaware River...
MRGN6     1.9/  2.2/  2.7/  3.2 :Margaretville (11ft)
:MRGN6md  2.3/  2.7/  3.3/  4.0  Margaretville (12)
:MRGN6mj  2.9/  3.4/  4.2/  5.1  Margaretville (13)
:  West Branch Delaware River...
WALN6     1.4/  1.5/  1.5/  1.6 :Walton (9.5ft.)
:WALN6md  3.1/  3.4/  3.5/  3.6  Walton (14)
:WALN6mj  4.1/  4.6/  4.7/  4.8  Walton (16)
:  Beaverkill Creek...
CKFN6     1.4/  1.8/  2.3/  2.7 :Cooks Falls (10ft.)
:CKFN6md  3.2/  4.2/  5.6/  6.7  Cooks Falls (16)
:CKFN6mj  3.9/  5.4/  7.2/  8.0  Cooks Falls (18)
:  Lackawaxen River...
HWYP1     3.2/  3.6/  3.8/  3.9 :Hawley (11ft.)
:HWYP1md  3.6/  4.1/  4.3/  4.4  Hawley (12)
:HWYP1mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0  Hawley (20)
:
: NWS STATE COLLEGE SERVICE AREA...
:  SUSQUEHANNA BASIN...
:  Tioga River...
MFDP1     2.7/  2.8/  3.0/  3.7 :Mansfield (12ft.)
:MFDP1md  3.1/  3.2/  3.5/  4.3  Mansfield (13)
:MFDP1mj  3.7/  3.9/  4.3/  5.3  Mansfield (14)
:  Penns Creek...
PNCP1     1.5/  1.7/  2.0/  2.1 :Penns Creek (8ft.)
:PNCP1md  2.0/  2.5/  2.8/  3.1  Penns Creek (10)
:PNCP1mj  2.8/  3.5/  4.0/  4.4  Penns Creek (12)
:  Frankstown Branch Juniata River...
WIBP1     1.0/  1.1/  1.4/  1.5 :Williamsburg (12ft)
:WIBP1md  1.1/  1.3/  1.6/  1.8  Williamsburg (13)
:WIBP1mj  1.5/  1.7/  2.1/  2.3  Williamsburg (15)
:  Little Juniata River...
SPKP1     0.9/  1.1/  1.4/  1.6 :Spruce Creek (8ft.)
:SPKP1md  1.3/  1.5/  2.0/  2.3  Spruce Creek (10)
:SPKP1mj  2.3/  2.8/  3.6/  4.2  Spruce Creek (14)
:  Aughwick Creek...
SLYP1     1.1/  1.1/  1.1/  1.2 :Shirleysburg (10ft.)
:SLYP1md  1.6/  1.7/  1.7/  1.8  Shirleysburg (12)
:SLYP1mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.3/  8.0  Shirleysburg (20)
:  Sherman Creek...
SMDP1     1.6/  1.8/  2.0/  2.1 :Shermans Dale (9ft)
:SMDP1md  2.3/  2.6/  2.9/  3.0  Shermans Dale (11)
:SMDP1mj  4.2/  4.7/  5.5/  5.8  Shermans Dale (16)
:  Conodoguinet Creek...
HGSP1     1.7/  1.7/  1.7/  1.7 :Hogestown (8ft.)
:HGSP1md  2.7/  2.7/  2.7/  2.7  Hogestown (10)
:HGSP1mj  3.9/  3.9/  3.9/  3.9  Hogestown (12)
:  Yellow Breeches Creek...
CPHP1     1.7/  1.8/  1.8/  1.8 :Camp Hill (7ft.)
:CPHP1md  2.5/  2.6/  2.6/  2.6  Camp Hill (9)
:CPHP1mj  4.7/  4.9/  4.9/  5.1  Camp Hill (13)
:  Swatara Creek...
HTVP1     1.3/  1.3/  1.3/  1.4 :Harper Tavern (9ft.)
:HTVP1md  2.1/  2.1/  2.2/  2.4  Harper Tavern (12)
:HTVP1mj  3.1/  3.2/  3.3/  3.6  Harper Tavern (15)
:  Conestoga River...
LNCP1     1.4/  1.5/  1.6/  1.7 :Lancaster (11ft.)
:LNCP1md  1.9/  2.0/  2.1/  2.3  Lancaster (13)
:LNCP1mj  2.5/  2.6/  2.8/  3.1  Lancaster (15)
:  DELAWARE BASIN...
:  Schuylkill River...
LGVP1     1.4/  1.5/  1.5/  1.6 :Landingville (8ft)
:LGVP1md  2.1/  2.3/  2.4/  2.7  Landingville (12)
:LGVP1mj  2.6/  2.9/  3.1/  3.5  Landingville (14)
:
: NWS MT. HOLLY SERVICE AREA...
:  DELAWARE BASIN...
:  Schuylkill River...
BREP1     2.3/  2.4/  2.8/  3.1 :Berne (12ft.)
:BREP1md  3.3/  3.6/  4.2/  4.7  Berne (14)
:BREP1mj  4.4/  4.8/  5.8/  6.4  Berne (16)
:  Bush Kill...
SHOP1     3.0/  3.3/  3.4/  3.4 :Shoemakers (6ft.)
:SHOP1md  3.6/  4.0/  4.1/  4.2  Shoemakers (7)
:SHOP1mj  4.3/  4.7/  4.9/  5.0  Shoemakers (8)
:  Brodhead Creek...
MNSP1     2.6/  3.1/  3.7/  3.9 :Minisink Hills(10ft)
:MNSP1md  3.3/  3.9/  4.8/  5.1  Minisink Hills(12)
:MNSP1mj  4.4/  5.2/  6.5/  6.9  Minisink Hills(15)
:  Little Lehigh Creek...
APAP1     1.3/  1.5/  1.9/  2.5 :Allentown-10th (8ft)
:APAP1md  2.0/  2.3/  2.9/  3.9  Allentown-10th (10)
:APAP1mj  3.1/  3.5/  4.4/  6.2  Allentown-10th (12)
:  Perkiomen Creek...
GRAP1     0.7/  1.1/  1.2/  1.7 :Graterford (11ft.)
:GRAP1md  1.1/  1.6/  1.8/  2.5  Graterford (13)
:GRAP1mj  1.6/  2.3/  2.6/  3.6  Graterford (16)
:  Neshaminy Creek...
LNGP1     0.7/  0.9/  0.9/  1.1 :Langhorne (9ft.)
:LNGP1md  0.8/  1.1/  1.1/  1.4  Langhorne (10)
:LNGP1mj  1.2/  1.6/  1.6/  2.0  Langhorne (12)
:  Chester Creek...
CHSP1     1.0/  1.0/  1.2/  1.6 :Chester (8ft.)
:CHSP1md  1.5/  1.5/  1.8/  2.5  Chester (10)
:CHSP1mj  2.6/  2.7/  3.1/  4.3  Chester (14)
:  West Branch Brandywine Creek...
MODP1     3.7/  3.9/  4.3/  4.5 :Modena (9ft)
:MODP1md  4.6/  4.9/  5.5/  5.8  Modena (10)
:MODP1mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0  Modena (12)
:  East Branch Brandywine Creek...
DWNP1     1.0/  1.0/  1.1/  1.2 :Downingtown (7ft)
:DWNP1md  1.3/  1.4/  1.4/  1.6  Downingtown (8)
:DWNP1mj  1.7/  1.7/  1.8/  2.0  Downingtown (9)
:  Brandywine Creek...
CDFP1     0.6/  1.0/  1.2/  1.3 :Chadds Ford (9ft.)
:CDFP1md  1.1/  1.7/  2.1/  2.3  Chadds Ford (11)
:CDFP1mj  1.7/  2.5/  3.2/  3.4  Chadds Ford (13)
:  Christina River...
CHBD1     0.7/  0.8/  1.0/  1.6 :Coochs Brdg(10.5ft)
:CHBD1md  1.4/  1.5/  1.9/  2.9  Coochs Brdg(11.5)
:CHBD1mj  2.2/  2.4/  3.0/  4.7  Coochs Brdg(12.5)
:  White Clay Creek...
DPKD1     0.9/  0.9/  1.0/  1.5 :Delaware Pk (13ft)
:DPKD1md  1.6/  1.7/  1.9/  2.6  Delaware Pk (15)
:DPKD1mj  3.0/  3.1/  3.5/  4.9  Delaware Pk (16.5)
:  Red Clay Creek...
RCCD1     1.1/  1.3/  1.5/  1.9 :Wooddale (7ft)
:RCCD1md  1.8/  2.0/  2.3/  2.9  Wooddale (8.5)
:RCCD1mj  2.3/  2.6/  3.0/  3.9  Wooddale (10)
.END

UPPER DELAWARE BASIN WATER SUPPLY GUIDANCE

APPROXIMATE RUNOFF (IN MILLIONS OF GALLONS) PRODUCED FROM EACH OF
THE FOLLOWING 6-HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS (IN INCHES)...

.BR RHA 20160208 Z DH06/DC1602080750/DUE/QMXC1/QMXC2/QMXC3
.B1 /QMXC4/QMXC5/QMXC6
:                 RAINFALL
:IDENT    0.1    0.5    1.0    2.0     3.0     5.0   LOCATION
:======= ===== ====== ====== ====== ======= =======  ================
CANN6DEL   100/   100/   100/   100/    100/    100 :CANNONSVILLE-456sqmi
DWNN6DEL    70/    70/    70/    70/     70/     70 :PEPACTON-372sqmi
LWKP1WPK    31/    31/    31/    31/     31/     31 :WALLENPAUPACK-228sqm
NVRN6NVR    27/    27/    27/    27/     27/     27 :NEVERSINK-93sqmi
.END

:===============================================================
:          EXPERIMENTAL NON-FCST POINT RAW MODEL OUTPUT
:      NO MANUAL QC OR ADJUSTMENTS APPLIED...USE WITH CAUTION
:===============================================================
:
: NWS BINGHAMTON SERVICE AREA...
.B RHA 160208 Z DH06/DC1602080731/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF
:GageID   1hr   3hr   6hr   12hr  rainfall for indicated stages
:  Lackawanna River...
ARHP1     2.8/  2.9/  3.3/  4.0 :Archbald (8ft.)
:ARHP1md  3.4/  3.5/  3.9/  4.9  Archbald (9)
:ARHP1mj  4.0/  4.1/  4.7/  5.9  Archbald (10)
PKIP1     2.2/  2.2/  2.3/  2.7 :Scranton (7.5ft.)
:PKIP1md  2.3/  2.4/  2.5/  2.8  Scranton (8)
:PKIP1mj  2.8/  2.8/  3.0/  3.3  Scranton (9.5)
.END
: Model-simulated 3-hourly stage forecasts including QPF...
.E ARHP1 20160208 DC1602080750/DH09/HGIFX/DIH3/
.E1 2.3/2.2/2.2/2.2/2.2/2.2/2.2/2.2
.E PKIP1 20160208 DC1602080750/DH09/HGIFX/DIH3/
.E1 2.0/2.0/2.0/2.0/2.0/2.0/2.0/2.0
:chps
$$
NNNN


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