Flood Statement
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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000
WGUS82 KTBW 301534
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1134 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THE RYE BRIDGE...AND A
RIVER FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR MYAKKA
HEAD...THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA...THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT
WIMAUMA...THE MYAKKA RIVER AT THE MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK...THE PEACE
RIVER AT ARCADIA...AND THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA...

.MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. IF
ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN OCCURS OVER THE RIVER BASINS THE FLOODING WILL
BECOME WORSE. THE WATER LEVELS ON THE MANATEE RIVER DOWNSTREAM FROM
RYE BRIDGE HAVE RETURNED TO A MORE NORMAL FLOW RATE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC115-011534-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.140926T2121Z.141001T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1134 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MYAKKA RIVER AT MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 9.4 FEET BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.5 FEET...MOST OF MYAKKA STATE PARK IS CLOSED.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...THE MAIN ROAD AT MYAKKA STATE PARK FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...TRAILS, PICNIC AREAS, AND PARKING LOTS AT MYAKKA STATE
  PARK FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 7.6 FEET ON JUL 17
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN

MYAKKA
 MYAKKA RIVE   7   9.1  TUE 11 AM   9.3    9.2    8.9    8.7    8.5


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC057-011534-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.140927T2255Z.140929T0145Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1134 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...ADDITIONAL RESIDENCES DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640
  BRIDGE BEGIN FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...RIVER DRIVE AND SQUIRREL RUN WAY DOWNSTREAM OF STATE
  ROAD 640 ARE COMPLETELY COVERED BY WATER. ONE HOME BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT RIVER DRIVE AND SQUIRREL RUN
  WAY DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.4 FEET ON AUG 29
  2012.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN

ALAFIA
 LITHIA       13  15.3  TUE 11 AM  15.2   14.8   14.2   13.4   13.0


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-011534-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-141003T2100Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.140928T0058Z.140929T0745Z.141003T1500Z.NO/
1134 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 11 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.5 FEET...FLOODING OF SEVERAL HOUSES BEGINS NEAR 32ND AND 33RD
  STREETS IN RUSKIN.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...THE CANOE RENTAL AREA FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...THE RIVER OVERFLOWS ITS BANKS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.3 FEET ON SEP 26
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN

LITTLE MANATEE
 WIMAUMA      11  14.0  TUE 11 AM  13.4   12.8   11.2    9.8    9.0


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC081-011500-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-141001T1500Z/
/MKHF1.2.ER.140926T2344Z.140928T1015Z.141001T0900Z.NO/
1134 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR MYAKKA HEAD
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 10 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...PRIVATE ROAD AND BRIDGE 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FLOOD.
  AGRICULTURAL, RURAL KIBLER AREA BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.4 FEET ON SEP 18
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN

MANATEE
 MYAKKA HEAD  11  12.2  TUE 10 AM  10.9   10.5    9.9    8.4    7.1


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224



$$

FLC081-301604-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-141001T0900Z/
/RYEF1.2.ER.140927T1345Z.140929T0300Z.140930T0211Z.NO/
1134 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE MANATEE RIVER AT RYE BRIDGE. THE FLOODING HAS ENDED THERE.
* AT 10 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.7 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.


&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN

MANATEE
 RYE BRIDGE   11   5.7  TUE 10 AM   3.1    2.7    2.1    2.2    3.8


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8235 2750 8242 2754 8242 2751 8233




$$

FLC027-011534-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.140930T0345Z.141004T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1134 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.7 FEET BY FRIDAY EVENING THEN BEGIN
  FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...PEACE RIVER ESTATES FLOODS AFFECTING SEVERAL DOZEN
  HOMES.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...THE GIRL SCOUT CAMP FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...ACCESS ROADS TO RIVER ACRES BECOME FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...3 TO 4 HOMES IN THE RIVER ACRES SUBDIVISION FLOOD AND
  THE LOWEST PORTION OF THE GIRL SCOUT CAMP FLOODS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.1 FEET ON JUL 30
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN

PEACE
 ARCADIA      11  11.2  TUE 10 AM  11.8   12.3   12.6   12.7   12.5


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186



$$

FLC027-011534-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-141004T0600Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.140928T1807Z.140929T1800Z.141004T0000Z.NO/
1134 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

...FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT 10 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...THE ACCESS ROAD TO HIDDEN ACRES IS IMPASSABLE.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...SECONDARY ROADS IN HIDDEN ACRES AND ROYAL PALM BEGIN
  TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...TWO HOMES BECOME ISOLATED.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.7 FEET ON SEP 26
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN

HORSE CREEK
 ARCADIA      12  12.8  TUE 10 AM  12.6   12.4   12.1   11.8   11.5


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$




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