Flood Statement
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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000
WGUS82 KTBW 310142
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
942 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following
rivers in Florida...

  Withlacoochee River At Croom
  Withlacoochee At Holder
  Alafia River At Lithia
  Little Manatee River At Wimauma
  Manatee River Near Myakka Head
  Peace River At Bartow
  Anclote River At Elfers

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Florida...
  Withlacoochee At Trilby
  Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
  Peace River At Zolfo Springs
  Peace River At Arcadia
  Horse Creek Near Arcadia

.Additional heavy rain is forecast to exacerbate the flooding this
week.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You
can
follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC115-311442-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.150727T1300Z.150902T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
942 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until further notice.
* At 9 PM Sunday the stage was 8.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 7 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 9.3 feet by Tuesday
evening then begin falling.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.6
feet on Jul 17 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7  8.7  Sun 09 PM   9.0    9.2    9.3    9.2    9.0


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC105-311442-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0033.150902T0600Z-150904T0600Z/
/BARF1.1.ER.150902T0600Z.150902T0600Z.150904T0000Z.NO/
942 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015

...Flood Warning extended until late Thursday night...The Flood
Warning continues for The Peace River At Bartow.
* From early Wednesday morning through late Thursday night.
* At 9 PM Sunday the stage was 7.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 8 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by early
Wednesday morning and continue to rise to near 8.0 feet by early
Wednesday morning.the river is expected to fall below flood stage
by Thursday evening.
* Impact...at 8 feet...Private roads downstream flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.1
feet on Oct 14 2011.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Peace
 Bartow        8  7.6  Sun 09 PM   7.6    7.8    8.0    8.0    7.8


&&


LAT...LON 2791 8178 2762 8176 2762 8184 2791 8186




$$

FLC049-311442-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ZFSF1.1.ER.150830T0548Z.150901T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
942 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Zolfo Springs
* Until further notice.
* At 08 PM Sunday the stage was 17.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 18.5 feet by early
Tuesday morning then begin falling.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.6
feet on Oct 11 2011.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Peace
 Zolfo Sprin  16 17.3  Sun 08 PM  17.8   18.5   18.3   17.5   16.7


&&


LAT...LON 2762 8176 2735 8179 2735 8187 2762 8184




$$

FLC027-311442-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.2.ER.150818T0230Z.150903T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
942 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Arcadia
* Until further notice.
* At 08 PM Sunday the stage was 12.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 14.9 feet by Wednesday
evening then begin falling.
* Impact...at 15 feet...River Acres is impacted.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.4
feet on Jun 26 2003.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Peace
 Arcadia      11 12.9  Sun 08 PM  13.5   14.4   14.8   14.8   14.7


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186



$$

FLC027-311442-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARHF1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.150831T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
942 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* Until further notice.
* At 08 PM Sunday the stage was 15.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 15.3 feet by tomorrow night
then begin falling.
* Impact...at 15 feet...Royal Park Estates are affected near
State Road 72.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.4
feet on Sep 10 2004.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12 15.2  Sun 08 PM  15.2   15.0   14.3   13.6   12.9


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$

FLC053-101-311442-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TRBF1.1.ER.150815T2245Z.150901T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
942 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Withlacoochee At Trilby
* Until further notice.
* At 08 PM Sunday the stage was 13.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 13.9 feet by Tuesday
morning then begin falling.
* Impact...at 14.2 feet...River road east of the river is flooded.
One campsite  at the park is flooded. Peterson Park is flooded and closed. One
home on Cercelia road is isolated. The Florida Campland is flooded. Wood
River Court homes are isolated. And the Withlacoochee River canoe rental is
flooded.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.4
feet on Sep 7 2012.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Withlacoochee
 Trilby       12 13.8  Sun 08 PM  13.8   13.9   13.8   13.5   13.2


&&


LAT...LON 2838 8219 2854 8226 2854 8217 2838 8210




$$

FLC101-119-311442-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0029.150902T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRMF1.1.ER.150902T1200Z.150902T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
942 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning
continues for The Withlacoochee River At Croom
* From Wednesday morning through further notice.
* At 8 PM Sunday the stage was 8.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 9 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Wednesday morning and
continue to rise to near 9.0 feet by Wednesday morning. Additional
rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...at 9.0 feet...Farms and pastureland flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.7
feet on Aug 27 2003.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Withlacoochee
 Croom         9  8.8  Sun 08 PM   8.8    8.8    9.0    9.0    9.0


&&


LAT...LON 2854 8226 2879 8224 2879 8215 2854 8217




$$

FLC017-311442-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0030.150904T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLDF1.1.ER.150904T0600Z.150905T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
942 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning
continues for The Withlacoochee At Holder
* From early Friday morning through further notice.
* At 9 PM Sunday the stage was 5.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 8 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early Friday morning and
continue to rise to near 8.2 feet by Friday evening. Additional rises
are possible thereafter.
* Impact...at 8 feet...Water approaches house foundations in
Arrowhead subdivision.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.9
feet on Aug 25 2003.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Withlacoochee
 Holder        8  5.2  Sun 09 PM   5.4    5.9    6.8    7.6    8.1


&&


LAT...LON 2879 8224 2898 8244 2907 8237 2879 8215




$$

FLC101-311442-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.1.ER.150728T0530Z.150902T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
942 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
* Until further notice.
* At 9 PM Sunday the stage was 9.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 8 feet.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Flooding threatens two homes on State
Road 54.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.8
feet on Sep 30 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Cypress Creek
 Worthington   8  9.3  Sun 09 PM   9.4   10.0   10.4   10.3   10.1


&&


LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240




$$

FLC057-311442-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0031.150902T0730Z-150903T1600Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.150902T0730Z.150902T1800Z.150903T1000Z.NO/
942 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday afternoon...The Flood
Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* From Wednesday morning through Thursday afternoon.
* At 9 PM Sunday the stage was 9.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Wednesday
morning and continue to rise to near 13.6 feet by Wednesday early
afternoon.the river is expected to fall below flood stage by Thursday
morning.
* Impact...at 13 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way
downstream of State Road 640 are completely covered by water.
One home begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.4
feet on Aug 29 2012.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Alafia
 Lithia       13  9.6  Sun 09 PM   9.5   11.2   13.3   12.9   11.6


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-311442-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0032.150901T1800Z-150904T0130Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.150901T1800Z.150902T1800Z.150903T1930Z.NO/
942 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday evening...The Flood
Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* From Tuesday early afternoon through Thursday evening.
* At 9 PM Sunday the stage was 9.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Tuesday early
afternoon and continue to rise to near 12.0 feet by Wednesday early
afternoon.the river is expected to fall below flood stage by Thursday
afternoon.
* Impact...at 13 feet...The canoe rental area floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.4
feet on Sep 17 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11  9.8  Sun 09 PM   9.6   10.7   11.9   11.4   10.1


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC081-311442-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0034.150901T1424Z-150902T1200Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.150901T1424Z.150901T1800Z.150902T0600Z.NO/
942 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning...The Flood
Warning continues for
  The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* From late Tuesday morning through Wednesday morning.
* At 8 PM Sunday the stage was 6.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late Tuesday
morning and continue to rise to near 11.3 feet by Tuesday early
afternoon. The river is expected to fall below flood stage by early
Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 11 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile
downstream flood.
  Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.4
feet on Sep 18 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Manatee
 Myakka Head  11  6.4  Sun 08 PM   7.1   10.8   10.0    6.9    6.5


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224



$$

FLC101-311442-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0035.150902T1500Z-150903T0900Z/
/ELFF1.1.ER.150902T1500Z.150902T1800Z.150903T0300Z.NO/
942 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015

...Flood Warning extended until late Wednesday night...The Flood
Warning continues for
  The Anclote River At Elfers
* From late Wednesday morning through late Wednesday night.
* At 09 PM Sunday the stage was 14.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late
Wednesday morning and continue to rise to near 20.1 feet by Wednesday
early afternoon.the river is expected to fall below flood stage by
Wednesday before midnight.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.6
feet on Mar 14 2010.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Anclote River
 Elfers       20 14.5  Sun 09 PM  15.2   17.9   19.9   19.5   18.0


&&


LAT...LON 2820 8263 2819 8271 2817 8271 2817 8275
 2823 8272 2824 8263



$$



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