Flood Warning
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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WGUS42 KTBW 310202
FLWTBW
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1002 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016

...Moderate flooding expected with Tropical Rains at the end of this week and
the National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a Flood Warning for the
following rivers...

  Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
  Alafia River At Lithia
  Little Manatee River At Wimauma
  Manatee River Near Myakka Head
  Peace River At Zolfo Springs
  Peace River At Arcadia
  Horse Creek Near Arcadia
  Anclote River At Elfers
  Myakka River at Myakka River State Park

...Tropical Depression Nine is forecast to strengthen and move into the
Florida Big Bend area. Tropical rains are forecast to bring Moderate Flooding
to many of the area rivers and creeks by Thursday or Friday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-311502-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0026.160901T2200Z-000000T0000Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.160901T2200Z.160903T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1002 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016

The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* From Thursday evening until further notice.
* At 9 PM Tuesday the stage was...7.8 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Thursday evening and
  continue to rise to near 16.4 feet by Friday evening.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State Road 640
  bridge begin flooding.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way downstream of State
  Road 640 are completely covered by water. One home begins to flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and Squirrel Run
  Way downstream of State Road 640.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.4 feet on Sep 28
  1953.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0   7.8  Tue 09 PM   8.5   10.1   15.7   16.4   15.5


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-311502-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0027.160901T1642Z-000000T0000Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.160901T1642Z.160903T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1002 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016

The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* From Thursday afternoon until further notice.
* At 9 PM Tuesday the stage was...4.7 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Thursday early afternoon
  and continue to rise to near 15.8 feet by Friday evening.
* Impact...at 14.5 feet...Flooding of several houses begins near 32nd and 33rd
  streets in Ruskin.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...The canoe rental area floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.8 feet on Aug 14
  1967.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0   4.7  Tue 09 PM   4.8    8.8   15.5   15.6   14.2


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC115-311502-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0025.160902T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.160902T0000Z.160904T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1002 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...The Flood
Warning continues for
 The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until further notice
* At 9 PM Tuesday the stage was...5.6 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Thursday evening and
  continue to rise to near 9.4 feet by Sunday morning.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
  Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.4 feet on Oct 6
  1957.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   5.6  Tue 09 PM   5.6    6.3    7.6    8.9    9.4


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC101-311502-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0028.160902T1636Z-000000T0000Z/
/ELFF1.2.ER.160902T1636Z.160903T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1002 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016

The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  The Anclote River At Elfers
* From Friday afternoon until further notice.
* At 9 PM Tuesday the stage was...9.8 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Friday early afternoon and
  continue to rise to near 22.9 feet by Saturday early afternoon.
* Impact...at 23.0 feet...Evacuation recommended for residents of Anclote River
  Estates.  Over 300 homes in the area may need to be evacuated.
* Impact...at 22.0 feet...There is water over the roadway along the Elfers
  Parkway.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 22.9 feet on Aug 2
  1965.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Anclote River
 Elfers       20.0   9.8  Tue 09 PM   9.8   12.0   19.0   22.7   22.0


&&


LAT...LON 2820 8263 2819 8271 2817 8271 2817 8275
 2823 8272 2824 8263



$$

FLC101-311502-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0029.160902T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.1.ER.160902T1800Z.160905T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1002 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016

The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  The Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
* From Friday afternoon until further notice.
* At 9 PM Tuesday the stage was...4.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Friday early afternoon and
  continue to rise to near 10.1 feet by Sunday evening. additional rises are
  possible thereafter.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Flooding threatens two homes on State Road 54.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Flooding begins at the recreation area on State Road
  54.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.1 feet on Jun 26
  1982.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Cypress Creek
 Worthington   8.0   4.6  Tue 09 PM   4.6    4.9    7.5    9.1    9.8


&&


LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240




$$

FLC081-311502-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0030.160901T1700Z-160904T0515Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.160901T1700Z.160902T1200Z.160903T2315Z.NO/
1002 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016

The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* From Thursday afternoon until late Saturday night.
* At 9 PM Tuesday the stage was...3.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Thursday early afternoon
  and continue to rise to near 13.9 feet by Friday morning. The river is expected
  to fall below flood stage by Saturday evening.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood.
  Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.9 feet on Sep 19
  1994.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Manatee
 Myakka Head  11.0   3.9  Tue 09 PM   3.9    9.0   13.9   12.5    9.6


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224



$$

FLC049-311502-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0031.160902T1200Z-160904T1000Z/
/ZFSF1.1.ER.160902T1200Z.160903T0000Z.160904T0400Z.NO/
1002 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016

The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  The Peace River At Zolfo Springs
* From Friday morning until Sunday morning.
* At 9 PM Tuesday the stage was...9.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Friday morning and continue
  to rise to near 17.5 feet by Friday evening. The river is expected to fall
  below flood stage by early Sunday morning.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.5 feet on Aug 31
  2015.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Peace
 Zolfo Sprin  16.0   9.3  Tue 09 PM   9.5   11.1   16.0   17.3   15.2


&&


LAT...LON 2762 8176 2735 8179 2735 8187 2762 8184




$$

FLC027-311502-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0032.160903T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.160903T0600Z.160905T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1002 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016

The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  The Peace River At Arcadia
* From late Friday night until further notice.
* At 9 PM Tuesday the stage was...5.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by early Saturday morning and
  continue to rise to near 12.5 feet by Sunday evening. additional rises are
  possible thereafter.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...Peace River Estates floods affecting several dozen
  homes.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The Girl Scout camp floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Access roads to river acres become flooded.
* Impact...at 10.0 feet...3 to 4 homes in the river acres subdivision flood and
  the lowest portion of the girl scout camp floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.6 feet on Sep 9
  2003.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Peace
 Arcadia      11.0   5.2  Tue 09 PM   5.6    7.0    9.8   11.4   12.2


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186



$$

FLC027-311502-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0033.160901T2327Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.160901T2327Z.160903T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1002 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016

The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* From Thursday evening until further notice.
* At 9 PM Tuesday the stage was...7.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Thursday evening and
  continue to rise to near 13.9 feet by Saturday early afternoon.
* Impact...at 14.0 feet...Buildings in Hidden Acres flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is impassable.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Secondary roads in hidden acres and royal palm begin
  to flood.
* Impact...at 10.5 feet...Two homes become isolated.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.9 feet on Jul 30
  1995.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12.0   7.4  Tue 09 PM   7.7    9.5   13.0   13.8   13.8


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$




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