Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 261923
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
323 PM EDT Mon Jun 26 2017

...More heavy rain on the way...

.DISCUSSION...More heavy rain will arrive Wednesday night and
continue into Thursday. Between then and now...Tuesday should be
rain-free and much of Wednesday. Warmer temperatures are also
expected over the next several days.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-270815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
323 PM EDT Mon Jun 26 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers until 0200.
Min Temperature.....43-48...except 52-57 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........Around 0.09 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....71-76...except 61-66 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent...except 50-55 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......38 percent drier...except 31 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1270).
Mixing Height.......7000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....51-56...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........83-88 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1400.
Max Temperature.....73-78...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent...except 57-62 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (890).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph increasing to south
                    around 27 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.16 in.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-270815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
323 PM EDT Mon Jun 26 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Isolated
                    thunderstorms until 2400. scattered rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (80).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.11 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 1400 until 1700. slight
                    chance of rain showers after 1400.
Max Temperature.....71-76...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........32-37 percent...except 44-49 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......29 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1530).
Mixing Height.......7600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....49-54...except 57-62 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent...except 75-80 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1400.
Max Temperature.....73-78...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent...except 59-64 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (970).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-270815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
323 PM EDT Mon Jun 26 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers until 0200.
Min Temperature.....44-49...except 53-58 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler...except 3 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 3 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.11 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....70-75...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent...except 58-63 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......33 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1240).
Mixing Height.......7400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....52-57...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent...except 75-80 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier...except 7 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (40).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1400.
Max Temperature.....74-79...except 61-66 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent...except 68-73 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (650).
Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 18 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.07-0.19 in.


$$

MIZ031>033-270815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
323 PM EDT Mon Jun 26 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers until 2300, then isolated rain showers
                    until 0200. Patchy fog after 0500.
Min Temperature.....44-49...except 53-58 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler...except 2 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 84-89 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (40).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog until
                    0800.
Max Temperature.....69-74.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent...except 45-50 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......29 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1270).
Mixing Height.......7800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....51-56.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer...except 4 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1400.
Max Temperature.....73-78.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent...except 59-64 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (620).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph increasing to south
                    around 27 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.07-0.19 in.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-270815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
323 PM EDT Mon Jun 26 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Isolated
                    thunderstorms until 2400. scattered rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....44-49.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (60).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....71-76.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........30-35 percent.
   24 HR Trend......27 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1550).
Mixing Height.......8500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....49-54.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1400.
Max Temperature.....72-77.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (720).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph increasing to south
                    around 24 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

KJF



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