Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 280636
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
236 AM EDT THU MAY 28 2015

...SEVERAL MORE ROUNDS OF RAIN TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.DISCUSSION...NO MAJOR FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE NOTED INTO THE
DAY ON SATURDAY. TODAY WILL FEATURE MUCH WARMER CONDITIONS THAN
THOSE SEEN ON WEDNESDAY...ALONG WITH SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP TODAY WILL
BE SLOW MOVERS...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE. CHANCES FOR
MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL ARRIVE LATER FRIDAY INTO
FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH ANOTHER SOAKING ROUND OF RAIN EXPECTED FOR ALL
AREAS AS A COLD FRONT ARRIVES. STRONG CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL
MOVE INTO NORTHERN MICHIGAN BEHIND THAT FRONT...WITH MUCH COOLER
TEMPERATURES AND LOWER HUMIDITY LEVELS EXPECTED LATER SATURDAY AND
ESPECIALLY SUNDAY. GIVEN THE TIME OF YEAR AND RECENT RAINFALL...
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE NOT HIGH AT THIS TIME...BUT SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY WILL BE A PERIOD TO WATCH AS THE SANDY SOILS START TO DRY
OUT AGAIN.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-290000-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
236 AM EDT THU MAY 28 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
                    0800. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    1400 UNTIL 1600...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84...EXCEPT 58-63 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT...EXCEPT 67-72 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 19 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (360).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.21 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200.
                    AREAS OF FOG AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 11 DEGREES WARMER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.20 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY
                    SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG UNTIL 0800.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85...EXCEPT 67-72 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT...EXCEPT 68-73 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1360).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.18 IN.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-290000-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
236 AM EDT THU MAY 28 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
                    0800. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81...EXCEPT AROUND 60 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER...EXCEPT 8 DEGREES COOLER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT...EXCEPT 65-70 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 2 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
                    TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (230).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.13 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200. PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.14 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY
                    SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 0800.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85...EXCEPT 64-69 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT...EXCEPT 63-68 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1040).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.17 IN.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-290000-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
236 AM EDT THU MAY 28 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
                    0800. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    1400 UNTIL 1600...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82...EXCEPT AROUND 60 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 6 DEGREES WARMER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT...EXCEPT 67-72 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (590).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.13 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2400 UNTIL
                    0200. AREAS OF FOG AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT...EXCEPT 63-68 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 21 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.11 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    UNTIL 0800. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84...EXCEPT 59-64 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER...EXCEPT 10 DEGREES WARMER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT...EXCEPT 75-80 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1400).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.18 IN.


$$

MIZ031>033-290000-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
236 AM EDT THU MAY 28 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
                    0800. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    1400 UNTIL 1600...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86...EXCEPT 67-72 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT...EXCEPT 55-60 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 15 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (840).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2400 UNTIL
                    0200. AREAS OF FOG AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT...EXCEPT 70-75 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (0).
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    UNTIL 0800. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83...EXCEPT 69-74 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 16 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1570).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.16 IN.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-290000-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
236 AM EDT THU MAY 28 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
                    0800. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    1400 UNTIL 1600...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (850).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.14 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200.
                    AREAS OF FOG AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.13 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY
                    SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG UNTIL 0800.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1450).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.18 IN.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY. CLEARING IN THE
AFTERNOON. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. GUSTY
WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST BEFORE SUNRISE. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10
MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST BEFORE SUNRISE. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

LAWRENCE



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