Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
000
FNUS53 KAPX 251951
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
351 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2016

...MORE CHANCES FOR MUCH NEEDED RAIN IN THE COMING DAYS...

.DISCUSSION...AN INCREASINGLY HUMID AND MORE ACTIVE STRETCH OF
WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK ON INTO THE WEEKEND.
PERIODIC CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE...WITH
ALL AREAS LIKELY TO SEE SOME MUCH NEEDED RAIN BY THE END OF THE
HOLIDAY WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN WELL ABOVE
NORMAL...BUT INCREASING HUMIDITY AND MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS SHOULD
KEEP FIRE CONCERNS TO A MINIMUM.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-260815-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
351 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2400. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (40).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.10-0.20 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85...EXCEPT 63-68 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT...EXCEPT 75-80 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1740).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.13-0.22 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000. AREAS OF
                    FOG AFTER 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (30).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.11 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    UNTIL 0800. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 0800 UNTIL 1400...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87...EXCEPT 67-72 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (500).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND
                    6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.22 IN.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-260815-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
351 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2400. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.18 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0800. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83...EXCEPT 62-67 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER...EXCEPT 8 DEGREES WARMER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1250).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 18 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.12-0.22 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000. AREAS OF
                    FOG AFTER 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (50).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    UNTIL 0800. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86...EXCEPT 64-69 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT...EXCEPT 76-81 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (200).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.12 IN.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-260815-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
351 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (30).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.13-0.19 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84...EXCEPT 53-58 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT...EXCEPT 83-88 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2090).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 24 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.15 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000. AREAS OF
                    FOG AFTER 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 6
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    UNTIL 0800. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 0800 UNTIL 1400...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85...EXCEPT AROUND 61 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT...EXCEPT 78-83 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (570).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.13-0.35 IN.


$$

MIZ031>033-260815-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
351 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (30).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.17-0.24 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83...EXCEPT 67-72 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT...EXCEPT 71-76 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 9 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2230).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 24 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.13 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000. AREAS OF
                    FOG AFTER 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 6
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    UNTIL 0800. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 0800 UNTIL 1400...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84...EXCEPT 68-73 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT...EXCEPT 71-76 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (750).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.13-0.30 IN.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-260815-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
351 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0200. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
                    NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.22 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0800. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2300).
MIXING HEIGHT.......8700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 21 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.12 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000. AREAS OF
                    FOG AFTER 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (40).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 21 MPH BECOMING WEST AROUND 9
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.11 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    UNTIL 0800. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 0800 UNTIL 1400...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (780).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND
                    9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.10-0.20 IN.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.

$$

MSB



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.