Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 230737
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
337 AM EDT Wed Aug 23 2017

...Unseasonably chilly with gusty northwest winds today...

.DISCUSSION...Northwest winds will once again become gusty today as
large high pressure slowly builds southeast out of Canada.
Unseasonably cold conditions could result in a few light lake effect
showers into early Thursday, although any rain amounts will remain
light where rain does fall.

High pressure will continue to build into the region through the
remainder of the week on into the weekend, bringing lighter winds
and gradually lowering humidity.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-232015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
337 AM EDT Wed Aug 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers until 1700.
Max Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........60-65 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 11 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1300).
Mixing Height.......6300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....44-49...except 52-57 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (150).
Mixing Height.......1200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (520).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-232015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
337 AM EDT Wed Aug 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....66-71...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler...except 13 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent...except 65-70 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 11 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1450).
Mixing Height.......6900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers after 0500.
Min Temperature.....45-50...except 52-57 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (140).
Mixing Height.......1200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....64-69.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler...except 3 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent...except 63-68 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 8 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (490).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-232015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
337 AM EDT Wed Aug 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers until 1400.
Max Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1090).
Mixing Height.......6200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers after 0500.
Min Temperature.....44-49...except 54-59 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (110).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (630).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-232015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
337 AM EDT Wed Aug 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers after 0800 until 1100.
Max Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........55-60 percent...except 65-70 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter...except 4 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1070).
Mixing Height.......6600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers after 0500.
Min Temperature.....44-49.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 84-89 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 9 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (770).
Mixing Height.......5600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-232015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
337 AM EDT Wed Aug 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....66-71.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1340).
Mixing Height.......6700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....43-48.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (80).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....64-69.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (590).
Mixing Height.......5900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MB


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