Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 070821
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
421 AM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

.DISCUSSION...

A VERY WARM AND MUGGY AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
TODAY...UNTIL A COLD FRONT WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PASSES
ACROSS THE REGION LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME OF THESE STORMS
COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE WITH TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS AND GUSTY
WINDS. BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...WEDNESDAY WILL DRY OUT WITH A RETURN
TO SUNSHINE THROUGH THE DAY AND NOTICEABLY COOLER DEWPOINTS.

NYZ001-002-010>012-085-072115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
421 AM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     60           80            0
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       88           60           75
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  8                      N  7
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 13         W 10        NE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.16         0.35         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     1            6
PRECIP BEGIN                     3 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         5 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               53           88           47
HAINES INDEX                        4            2            4
LAL                                 5            5            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5830         1270         3870
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 20         N 13        NE  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              116600        16510        27090
DISPERSION INDEX                  117           17           27
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ019>021-072115-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
421 AM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     60           80           30
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       85           60           74
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  8                      N  7
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 12        SW  8        NE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.22         0.55         0.02
PRECIP DURATION                     3            9            1
PRECIP BEGIN                     1 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         7 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               53           94           54
HAINES INDEX                        4            2            3
LAL                                 5            5            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5890         1440         3660
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 18        NW 10         E  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              106020        14400        25620
DISPERSION INDEX                  106           14           26
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-072115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
421 AM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           80           30
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       91           63           74
AM WIND (MPH)                    S  8                     NW  9
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 10        SW  8         N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.08         0.38         0.02
PRECIP DURATION                     1            8            0
PRECIP BEGIN                     4 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         7 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               48           87           48
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 4            5            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6590         1120         3860
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 17         W 16        NE  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              112030        17920        27020
DISPERSION INDEX                  112           18           27
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-072115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
421 AM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           80           30
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       85           61           74
AM WIND (MPH)                    S  9                     NW  8
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 10        SW  7        NW  7
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.11         0.36         0.02
PRECIP DURATION                     2            8            1
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         7 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               63           96           46
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            4
LAL                                 4            5            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6440         1110         4490
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 17         N 16         N  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              109480        17760        35920
DISPERSION INDEX                  109           18           36
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.

WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$



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