Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 200748
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
348 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A SUMMERTIME RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION
LATE THIS WEEK AND WEEKEND. WARM AND VERY MUGGY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE REGION WHICH WILL KEEP SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES IN PLAY JUST ABOUT ANYTIME THROUGH SATURDAY.
AFTERNOON RH VALUES TODAY...THURSDAY AND FRIDAY ARE ONLY EXPECTED TO
FALL INTO THE 60 TO 70 PERCENT RANGE.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-202130-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
348 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    UNTIL 10 AM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL
                    8 AM. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER
                    8 AM. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7070-7570 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 15
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1200).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 PM...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 10 PM. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......510-710 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1 PM.
                    POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-69 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2720-3220 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (160).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-202130-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
348 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    UNTIL 10 AM. CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL 8 AM.
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER 8 AM.
                    POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7940-8440 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (990).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 2 AM. POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2780-3280 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (160).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-202130-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
348 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    UNTIL 10 AM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL
                    8 AM. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER 8 AM. CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 10 AM. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8710-9210 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 15
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1630).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 PM...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
                    POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......580-780 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1 PM UNTIL
                    2 PM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7050-7550 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1260).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.

$$

CB





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