Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 281935
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
335 PM EDT MON JUL 28 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A COOL AND SHOWERY PATTERN WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF THE WEATHER
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THIS WEEK AS A LARGE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
REMAINS ANCHORED ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. PRECIPITATION THIS WEEK IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN GENERALLY LIGHT...BUT WILL KEEP FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS MINIMAL. THE STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS OF TODAY WILL DIMINISH
TONIGHT AND REMAIN GENERALLY LIGHT AND FROM THE WEST AND NORTHWEST
THROUGH MIDWEEK.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-291430-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
335 PM EDT MON JUL 28 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 9 AM UNTIL NOON...THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4480-4980 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 20
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1450).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2 AM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER NOON. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8800-9300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1240).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-291430-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
335 PM EDT MON JUL 28 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 9 AM UNTIL NOON...THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4750-5250 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1230).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2 AM. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN...BECOMING WEST
                    AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER NOON. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8650-9150 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1220).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-291430-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
335 PM EDT MON JUL 28 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 9 AM UNTIL NOON...THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5950-6450 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1580).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2 AM. POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER NOON. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9750-10250 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1670).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.

$$

ARNOTT





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