Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 210739
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
337 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...
.SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...AS A SECONDARY COLD
FRONT TRACKS THROUGH THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES. MUCH COOLER AIR WILL
FOLLOW BEHIND THIS FRONT FOR MONDAY.  DRY WEATHER IS THEN EXPECTED
FOR THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN ACROSS THE
REGION.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-212100-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
337 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 8 AM. SHOWERS. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    AFTER 8 AM. POP...100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-76 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    THROUGH MID AFTERNOON...THEN...BECOMING NORTH
                    AROUND 15 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7530-8030 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST THROUGH
                    MID AFTERNOON...THEN...BECOMING NORTH AROUND 20
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1120).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 9 PM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 10 PM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 11 PM. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......20 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1930-2130 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (60).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4460-4960 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (550).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-212100-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
337 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    8 AM. SHOWERS. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER
                    8 AM. POP...100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........74-84 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN...BECOMING NORTH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9460-9960 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN...BECOMING NORTH AROUND
                    25 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1130).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 9 PM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 10 PM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
   24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2860-3060 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (280).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 9 AM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3920-4420 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (890).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-212100-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
337 AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 8 AM. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 8 AM. POP...90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 15
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7550-8050 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 15 TO
                    20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1550).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 9 PM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 10 PM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 11 PM. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......21 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......720-920 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (40).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3310-3810 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (610).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S.

$$

KURIMSKI






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