Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 230807
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
407 AM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

...Scattered showers and storms...

.DISCUSSION...
Low pressure passing through the state today will bring scattered
showers and thunderstorms. High pressure will provide a stretch
of dry and less humid weather Monday and Tuesday before the next
front brings more scattered showers and storms later Wednesday
into early Thursday.

MIZ037>039-043>045-232015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
407 AM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms until 1800.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....78-83.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........60-65 percent near Lake Michigan and 46-51
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 16
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest around 9 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 2200-2700 ft AGL.
Mixing height.......Inland, 4200-4700 ft AGL increasing to
                    7400-7900 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph increasing to northwest
                    around 15 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good) increasing to 1800 (excellent) in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.46 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 0700, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0200.
Min temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2700-3200 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700 (excellent) decreasing to 200 (fair)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........58-63 percent near Lake Michigan and 48-53
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 4
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6100-6600 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-232015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
407 AM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 7 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL increasing to 7200-7700 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph increasing to west around 15
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....300 (good) increasing to 1400 (excellent) in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.06-0.41 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0200.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.19 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-232015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
407 AM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) until 1700, then
                    sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms until 1500.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....78-83.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........56-61 percent near Lake Michigan and 46-51
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 18
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest around 9 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 3400-3900 ft AGL.
Mixing height.......Inland, 4000-4500 ft AGL increasing to
                    6600-7100 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph increasing to northwest
                    around 15 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent) increasing to 1200 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.28 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0200.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....74-79.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6000-6500 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-232015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
407 AM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms until 1800.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 9 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL increasing to 7800-8300 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph increasing to northwest
                    around 15 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good) increasing to 1900 (excellent) in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.31 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0200.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5700-6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-232015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
407 AM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent) until 1900, then
                    sunny (15-25 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms until 1800.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 8 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4500-5000 ft AGL increasing to 6600-7100 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph increasing to northwest
                    around 15 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good) increasing to 1300 (excellent) in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.28 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0200.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4600-5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds 5 to
6 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. South winds 5 to
9 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening, then showers and thunderstorms likely
overnight. Lows in the mid 60s. West winds 5 to 9 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 80s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80.

$$



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