Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 250727
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
327 AM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

...Warm and Dry Today...

.DISCUSSION...
A low pressure system will slowly track in from the southwest
over the next couple of days.  The dry weather will continue
today and tonight...along with unseasonably warm temperatures.
Increasing amounts of moisture will advect in from the south
especially Wednesday into Thursday.


MIZ037>039-043>045-252015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
327 AM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan AND
                    5700-6200 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent).
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 1700-2200 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 3500-4000 ft AGL decreasing to
                    500-1000 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700 (excellent) decreasing to 100 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. chance of thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 2300-2800 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 3300-3800 ft AGL increasing to
                    5800-6300 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph increasing to south
                    around 25 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....900 (excellent) increasing to 1800 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-252015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
327 AM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........47 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL decreasing to 300-800 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-500 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL increasing to 5800-6300 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph increasing to south
                    around 25 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....800 (excellent) increasing to 1800 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-252015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
327 AM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5100-5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL decreasing to 600-1100 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800 (excellent) decreasing to 100 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Max temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 3900-4400 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 3600-4100 ft AGL increasing to
                    5700-6200 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200 (excellent) increasing to 1700 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-252015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
327 AM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4800-5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 56.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL decreasing to 300-800 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent) decreasing to 100 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 78.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL increasing to 5800-6300 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100 (excellent) increasing to 1900 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-252015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
327 AM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 72.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......27 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4500-5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 0400, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3200-3700 ft AGL decreasing to 300-800 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700 (excellent) decreasing to 100 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 79.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph increasing to around 30 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....1100-1500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds 7 to 12 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Colder. Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s.
Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs
in the lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph shifting to the east 5 to 8 mph
overnight.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 60s.
Northeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening, then
showers and thunderstorms likely overnight. Lows in the mid 40s.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the
upper 50s.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely in the
evening, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms overnight. Lows
in the lower 40s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
50s.



$$


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