Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 061928
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
328 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS LOWER MICHIGAN LATE TONIGHT.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEAR THE FRONT.
PCPN SHOULD MOVE OUT OF THE AREA BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON LEADING TO MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES.




MIZ037>039-043>045-070815-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
328 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 0500...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-500 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 900-1400 FT
                    AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200 (FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 1600...THEN
                    SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT UNTIL MIDDAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 32-37
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 5
                    PERCENT WETTER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3200 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    4700-5200 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1400-1500 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...500-1000 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...3100-3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-500
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 30-35
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 1
                    PERCENT DRIER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-4900 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    8500-9000 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1800-2000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ040-046-070815-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
328 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 0500...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 1300...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT UNTIL MIDDAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200-1400 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-500 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9100-9600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...2000-2300 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-070815-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...GRAND HAVEN...JENISON...
HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
328 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 0700...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT UNTIL MIDDAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    4200-4700 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...900-1400 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...2500-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500-6000 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    8300-8800 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1700-1900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-070815-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
328 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 0600...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 1800...THEN
                    SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT UNTIL MIDDAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-600 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH BECOMING WEST AROUND 5
                    MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9400-9900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...2200-2600 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-070815-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
328 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0500.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT TOWARD DAYBREAK.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-100 (POOR TO POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1700.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800-900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH BECOMING WEST AROUND 5
                    MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500-10000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...2600 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 3100 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH OVERNIGHT.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S.



$$



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