Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
316 AM EST Thu Jan 18 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Cold and dry arctic air will remain across the Carolinas today
and tonight. Temperatures will moderate over the weekend as high
pressure moves off the Southeast coast. Rain chances could
return late Monday or Tuesday with the next cold front.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...None.

NCZ105>110-190030-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
316 AM EST Thu Jan 18 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          40           24           56
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW 10 G20    W  4         W  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  8        W  3         SW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             None         1700         38/1000
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        33           80           29
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2620                      2260
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 17                     W 14
Ventilation rate      44540                     31640
ADI early             48 Gen good  4 Very poor  26 Fair
ADI late              53 Gen good  2 Very poor  36 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            3            4
Max LVORI late        1            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 83 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 49 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
82 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
55 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-190030-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
316 AM EST Thu Jan 18 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          40           22           55
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  8        W  3         SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  7         LGT/VAR      SW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             None         1700         37/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        33           82           29
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2570                      2270
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 15                     W 12
Ventilation rate      38550                     27240
ADI early             36 Fair      4 Very poor  20 Gen poor
ADI late              44 Gen good  2 Very poor  31 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            3            5
Max LVORI late        2            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH 86 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 43 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
83 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
50 percent. West winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-190030-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
316 AM EST Thu Jan 18 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          42           25           57
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW 10        W  3         SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  7        W  3         SW  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             None         1700         38/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        30           77           27
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2790                      2290
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 17                     W 13
Ventilation rate      47430                     29770
ADI early             54 Gen good  4 Very poor  24 Fair
ADI late              52 Gen good  2 Very poor  36 Fair
Max LVORI early       2            3            3
Max LVORI late        2            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 78 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 31 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
83 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 46 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
81 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-190030-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
316 AM EST Thu Jan 18 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          43           24           56
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  8        LGT/VAR      SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             None         1700         37/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        27           76           26
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2820                      2320
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 13                     W 12
Ventilation rate      36660                     27840
ADI early             50 Gen good  3 Very poor  21 Fair
ADI late              43 Gen good  1 Very poor  35 Fair
Max LVORI early       2            3            3
Max LVORI late        2            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH 80 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 29 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
82 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-190030-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
316 AM EST Thu Jan 18 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          42           23           55
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  7        SW  3        SW  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             None         1700         35/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        30           79           28
DSI                   1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2590                      2400
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 12                     W  9
Ventilation rate      31080                     21600
ADI early             38 Fair      3 Very poor  11 poor
ADI late              37 Fair      2 Very poor  26 Fair
Max LVORI early       2            3            4
Max LVORI late        2            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 84 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 43 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
82 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
49 percent. West winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

TRA



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