Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
000
FNUS52 KILM 241830
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
230 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A complex and slow moving storm system will bring heavy rain and the
potential for flooding through tonight. There is also a small risk
for a few severe thunderstorms. This system will lift away from the
area Tuesday with a return to dry weather and above normal
temperatures during the mid to late week time frame. Expanding high
pressure aloft and at the surface, will provide mainly clear skies
with warm and dry conditions thru the upcoming weekend. High
temperatures may break into the 90s away from the immediate coast
during this weekend.

Fog potential for tonight...moderate.

NCZ105>110-251030-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
230 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        100          70           30           0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   2            2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          60           73           57           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E 10 G22     S  6         W  6         W  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  7         SW  8        NW  6        W  6
Precip amount         3.01         0.17         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       10           4            0
Inversion             None         None         1900         69/1000
Dispersion            Good                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          64           100          52
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4560                      5200
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  9                     W 12
Ventilation rate                   41040                     62400
ADI early             57 Gen good  23 Fair      29 Fair      40 Fair
ADI late              19 Gen poor  27 Fair      5 Very poor  52 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            5            6            8
Max LVORI late        5            3            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

NCZ087-251030-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
230 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        100          70           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        None         None
LAL                   2            2            1            1
Min/Max Temp          57           70           56           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE 11        LGT/VAR      NW  5        NW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  6        NW  4        NW  5        SW  5
Precip amount         2.39         0.13         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       12           3
Inversion             None         None         1900         67/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        99           68           100          53
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            2            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4310                      5080
Transport wnd (mph)                N  9                      SW  9
Ventilation rate                   38790                     45720
ADI early             21 Fair      18 Gen poor  31 Fair      21 Fair
ADI late              20 Gen poor  29 Fair      4 Very poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            8            6            9
Max LVORI late        8            3            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
South winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-251030-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
230 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        100          50           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        None         None
LAL                   2            2            1            1
Min/Max Temp          58           72           57           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  6         SW  7        W  7         NW  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  6        W  8         NW  5        SW  6
Precip amount         1.58         0.07         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       8            2
Inversion             None         None         1900         70/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          63           100          52
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4620                      5000
Transport wnd (mph)                W 14                      SW  8
Ventilation rate                   64680                     40000
ADI early             30 Fair      23 Fair      45 Gen good  18 Gen poor
ADI late              13 Gen poor  45 Gen good  3 Very poor  34 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            5            6            9
Max LVORI late        6            3            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

SCZ017-024-033-251030-
Marlboro-Dillon-Marion-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Dillon, Marion,
and Mullins
230 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        100          70           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        None         None
LAL                   2            2            1            1
Min/Max Temp          57           70           56           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE 11        W  4         NW  6        NW  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  6         NW  6        NW  4        SW  5
Precip amount         1.66         0.10         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       11           3
Inversion             None         None         1900         68/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          67           100          51
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4310                      5290
Transport wnd (mph)                N 13                      SW  9
Ventilation rate                   56030                     47610
ADI early             20 Gen poor  17 Gen poor  35 Fair      9 poor
ADI late              18 Gen poor  37 Fair      3 Very poor  39 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            7            6            10
Max LVORI late        6            3            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-251030-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
230 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        100          70           30           0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   2            2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          59           70           56           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  8         S  4         W  5         NW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  5        SW  4        NW  5        W  5
Precip amount         2.71         0.14         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       11           3            0
Inversion             None         None         1900         67/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          69           100          54
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4390                      4990
Transport wnd (mph)                W  6                      W 10
Ventilation rate                   26340                     49900
ADI early             29 Fair      18 Gen poor  29 Fair      31 Fair
ADI late              16 Gen poor  25 Fair      4 Very poor  42 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            8            6            9
Max LVORI late        8            4            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ023-032-039-251030-
Darlington-Florence-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville,
Florence, and Kingstree
230 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        100          70           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        None         None
LAL                   2            2            1            1
Min/Max Temp          56           73           56           82
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  8        W  7         NW  6        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  6         NW  7        NW  4        SW  5
Precip amount         1.02         0.07         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       10           2
Inversion             None         None         1900         69/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          63           100          49
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            2            2            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4240                      5310
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 16                     SW  9
Ventilation rate                   67840                     47790
ADI early             15 Gen poor  25 Fair      42 Gen good  10 poor
ADI late              12 poor      45 Gen good  2 Very poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            6            6            10
Max LVORI late        7            3            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

29


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.