Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 201914
FWFILM
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
314 PM EDT MON MAY 20 2013
.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WELL OFFSHORE WILL MAINTAIN A MOIST SOUTHERLY WIND
THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME LESS NUMEROUS TUESDAY. A COLD
FRONT ON FRIDAY WILL USHER IN COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS FOR
THE WEEKEND.
FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.
NCZ105>110-211115-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
314 PM EDT MON MAY 20 2013
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 50 30 0 20
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE TSTMS
LAL 2 3 3 2
MIN/MAX TEMP 67 87 66 86
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 7 S 7 S 9 S 8
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 5 S 10 S 8 S 12
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.10 0.06 0.00 0.02
PRECIP DURATION 2 2 1
INVERSION 2000 77/1000 2000 76/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%) 96 48 100 53
DSI 3 3
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3500 3500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 16 S 16
VENTILATION RATE 56000 56000
ADI EARLY 39 FAIR 35 FAIR 45 GEN GOOD 24 FAIR
ADI LATE 9 POOR 53 GEN GOOD 16 GEN POOR 24 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 8 4 5
MAX LVORI LATE 8 2 5 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-211115-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
314 PM EDT MON MAY 20 2013
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 60 40 0 20
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE TSTMS
LAL 2 3 3 2
MIN/MAX TEMP 66 86 65 85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 6 S 5 S 7 S 6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 4 S 7 S 6 S 10
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.07 0.06 0.00 0.03
PRECIP DURATION 4 2 1
INVERSION 2000 77/1000 2000 77/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 52 100 52
DSI 3 3
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4270 4270
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 10 S 16
VENTILATION RATE 42700 68320
ADI EARLY 40 FAIR 32 FAIR 43 GEN GOOD 22 FAIR
ADI LATE 7 POOR 49 GEN GOOD 12 POOR 22 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 8 4 7
MAX LVORI LATE 8 2 7 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM
RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
SCZ053>056-211115-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
314 PM EDT MON MAY 20 2013
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 60 30 0 20
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE TSTMS
LAL 2 3 3 2
MIN/MAX TEMP 66 86 66 86
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 7 S 4 S 7 S 7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 4 S 8 S 6 S 10
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.06 0.05 0.00 0.03
PRECIP DURATION 3 2 1
INVERSION 2000 77/1000 2000 77/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%) 99 59 100 59
DSI 3 3
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3800 3800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 12 S 17
VENTILATION RATE 45600 64600
ADI EARLY 38 FAIR 31 FAIR 35 FAIR 21 FAIR
ADI LATE 8 POOR 45 GEN GOOD 11 POOR 21 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 9 4 7
MAX LVORI LATE 9 1 7 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM
RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY THROUGH MEMORIAL DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-211115-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON
314 PM EDT MON MAY 20 2013
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 60 40 0 20
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE TSTMS
LAL 2 3 3 2
MIN/MAX TEMP 65 86 65 87
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 6 S 4 S 7 S 5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 4 S 4 S 5 S 8
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.07 0.05 0.00 0.03
PRECIP DURATION 3 2 1
INVERSION 2000 77/1000 2000 78/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 56 100 52
DSI 3 3
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4660 4680
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 6 S 13
VENTILATION RATE 27960 60840
ADI EARLY 26 FAIR 26 FAIR 31 FAIR 20 GEN POOR
ADI LATE 6 VERY POOR 31 FAIR 10 POOR 20 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 9 4 8
MAX LVORI LATE 9 3 8 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-211115-
FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
314 PM EDT MON MAY 20 2013
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 60 40 0 20
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE TSTMS
LAL 2 3 3 2
MIN/MAX TEMP 65 87 66 86
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S 6 S 4 S 6 S 5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 4 S 5 S 5 S 8
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.06 0.06 0.00 0.03
PRECIP DURATION 4 2 1
INVERSION 2000 78/1000 2000 78/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 55 100 55
DSI 3 3
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4570 4580
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 7 S 12
VENTILATION RATE 31990 54960
ADI EARLY 28 FAIR 27 FAIR 32 FAIR 18 GEN POOR
ADI LATE 8 POOR 36 FAIR 8 POOR 18 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 9 4 8
MAX LVORI LATE 9 1 8 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM
RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY THROUGH MEMORIAL DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
$$
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