Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
338 AM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Temperatures will remain unseasonably warm through much of the week.
High pressure will slowly build across the area through Tuesday,
shifting offshore Wednesday. A trough of low pressure will bring
increased cloudiness and some showers mid week. Near record warmth
will come Friday and Saturday with increasing chance of showers
ahead of an approaching cold front Friday night into Saturday.
Cooler and drier high pressure will build in behind the cold front
Saturday night into early next week.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...None to Low.

NCZ105>110-210045-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
338 AM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          73           43           67
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  5         E  4         NE  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  5        NE  4        E  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             62/1000      1900         58/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        32           86           42
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4180                      3630
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  9                     SE 13
Ventilation rate      37620                     47190
ADI early             31 Fair      2 Very poor  37 Fair
ADI late              36 Fair      3 Very poor  48 Gen good
Max LVORI early       8            4            5
Max LVORI late        2            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum
RH 67 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
31 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-210045-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
338 AM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          73           44           68
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  5         E  3         E  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  6        E  3         SE  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             60/1000      1900         57/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        34           86           35
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3880                      3890
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  8                     SE 10
Ventilation rate      31040                     38900
ADI early             19 Gen poor  2 Very poor  28 Fair
ADI late              33 Fair      2 Very poor  42 Gen good
Max LVORI early       9            4            5
Max LVORI late        2            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum
RH 63 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
29 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-210045-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
338 AM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          73           46           69
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  5         E  3         E  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  5         E  4         E  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             62/1000      1900         61/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        37           93           45
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3760                      3540
Transport wnd (mph)   E  7                      SE 14
Ventilation rate      26320                     49560
ADI early             14 Gen poor  2 Very poor  41 Gen good
ADI late              23 Fair      2 Very poor  49 Gen good
Max LVORI early       9            5            6
Max LVORI late        2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s.
Maximum RH 63 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
31 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-210045-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
338 AM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          73           46           69
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  5        E  3         E  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  5        E  3         SE  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             60/1000      1900         57/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        35           90           37
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3740                      4000
Transport wnd (mph)   E  8                      SE 12
Ventilation rate      29920                     48000
ADI early             21 Fair      2 Very poor  30 Fair
ADI late              31 Fair      2 Very poor  45 Gen good
Max LVORI early       8            4            6
Max LVORI late        2            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum
RH 63 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
28 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-210045-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
338 AM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          74           46           70
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  5         E  3         E  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  5        E  3         SE  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             61/1000      1900         60/1000
Max/Min RH (%)        34           93           40
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3700                      3840
Transport wnd (mph)   E  6                      SE 13
Ventilation rate      22200                     49920
ADI early             14 Gen poor  2 Very poor  34 Fair
ADI late              22 Fair      2 Very poor  46 Gen good
Max LVORI early       9            4            6
Max LVORI late        2            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 49 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum
RH 63 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
29 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

rgz



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