Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 270720
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
320 AM EDT Tue Jun 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...
An upper disturbance will bring a few showers later today,
followed by drier and slightly cooler air through mid week.
Summer warmth and humidity will return late week and into
the weekend with a few thunderstorms in the mix.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable

Fog potential for tonight...Low

NCZ105>110-272330-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
320 AM EDT Tue Jun 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        20           20           0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          86           61           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  4         LGT/VAR      NE  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  4        LGT/VAR      E  5
Precip amount         0.01         0.01         0.00
Precip duration       1            1
Inversion             77/1000      2000         77/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        39           86           35
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   9390                      9260
Transport wnd (mph)   N  3                      E  5
Ventilation rate      28170                     46300
ADI early             21 Fair      14 Gen poor  32 Fair
ADI late              21 Fair      1 Very poor  33 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            4            5
Max LVORI late        2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-272330-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
320 AM EDT Tue Jun 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        Clear
Precip chc (%)        20           20           0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          86           60           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  3         LGT/VAR      NE  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  3         LGT/VAR      E  4
Precip amount         0.01         0.01         0.00
Precip duration       1            0
Inversion             75/1000      2000         75/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        39           88           33
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   9780                      9380
Transport wnd (mph)   W  3                      E  2
Ventilation rate      29340                     18760
ADI early             23 Fair      13 Gen poor  32 Fair
ADI late              24 Fair      2 Very poor  33 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            3            6
Max LVORI late        2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-272330-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
320 AM EDT Tue Jun 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            20           0
Precip type           None         Tstms        None
LAL                   1            2            1
Min/Max Temp          88           62           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  4         LGT/VAR      NE  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  4        LGT/VAR      E  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.00
Precip duration                    1
Inversion             77/1000      2000         78/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        40           86           40
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   9430                      9090
Transport wnd (mph)   W  2                      E  7
Ventilation rate      18860                     63630
ADI early             20 Gen poor  13 Gen poor  41 Gen good
ADI late              19 Gen poor  2 Very poor  39 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            4            5
Max LVORI late        2            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-272330-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
320 AM EDT Tue Jun 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        20           20           0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   2            2            1
Min/Max Temp          88           61           88
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  3         LGT/VAR      NE  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  3         LGT/VAR      E  6
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1            1
Inversion             76/1000      2000         77/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        38           86           35
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   10170                     9760
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  3                     E  3
Ventilation rate      30510                     29280
ADI early             18 Gen poor  13 Gen poor  42 Gen good
ADI late              22 Fair      1 Very poor  39 Fair
Max LVORI early       7            4            5
Max LVORI late        2            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-272330-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
320 AM EDT Tue Jun 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        20           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None
LAL                   2            1            1
Min/Max Temp          87           60           88
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  3        LGT/VAR      NE  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  3         LGT/VAR      E  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             74/1000      2000         76/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        37           86           33
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   10160                     9880
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  5                     S  2
Ventilation rate      50800                     19760
ADI early             21 Fair      16 Gen poor  33 Fair
ADI late              25 Fair      2 Very poor  32 Fair
Max LVORI early       7            3            5
Max LVORI late        2            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 48 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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