Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 161107
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
607 AM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

...Wind Gusts of 15 to 25 mph This Afternoon..

.DISCUSSION...An upper level ridge of high pressure will build
in from the west through today, providing mostly clear skies
into this evening. Southwest winds will become gusty this
afternoon, with the stronger winds occurring west of I-75 and
near the I-64 corridor. An upper level disturbance will track
across the Ohio Valley on Sunday, bringing light rain to
eastern Kentucky. Rainfall amounts will average a tenth of
an inch or less.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>085-162130-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-
Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee,
Annville, Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns,
Whitley City, Corbin, and Williamsburg
607 AM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph, increasing to 10
                    to 15 mph, with gusts of 15 to 25 mph in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 10 mph increasing to around 20
                    mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....65.
Vent Rate...........Good (64600 knot-ft).
ADI.................38 increasing to 66 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear, then increasing clouds after midnight.
Min Temperature.....mid 20s in valleys, 28-33 on ridges.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-100 percent in valleys, 80-90 percent on ridges.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................6.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain in the morning, then
                    rain likely in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 45.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........58-68 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......1200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....12.
Vent Rate...........Poor (12100 knot-ft).
ADI.................12.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......70 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.07 inches.

$$

KYZ086>088-104-106>120-162130-
Knox-Bell-Harlan-Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-
Breathitt-Knott-Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville,
Cumberland, Harlan, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, Paintsville,
Campton, Salyersville, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville,
Jackson, Hindman, Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester,
Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Inez, Coal Run, Elkhorn City,
Pikeville, and South Williamson
607 AM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....46-51.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........34-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph, increasing to around
                    10 mph, with gusts of 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....55.
Vent Rate...........Good (54800 knot-ft).
ADI.................38 increasing to 64 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min Temperature.....24-29 in valleys, lower 30s on ridges.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-100 percent in valleys, 80-80 percent on ridges.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................5.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain in the
                    morning, then rain likely in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 45.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........53-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......1400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....15.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15300 knot-ft).
ADI.................5 increasing to 22 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.06 inches.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. A chance of showers in the evening. Lows
in the upper 30s. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 50s. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 30s. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a slight chance of showers. Highs
around 50. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers in the
evening, then a slight chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
West winds around 5 mph shifting to the south late.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows
around 40. South winds around 5 mph in the evening.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$
GEOGERIAN



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