Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMEG 312023
FWFMEG

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
323 PM CDT FRI OCT 31 2014

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE MID SOUTH BEHIND
A COLD FRONT. CLOUDS WILL CLEAR THIS EVENING ALLOWING FOR LOWS
TO DROP DOWN TO AROUND 30 DEGREES. A FREEZE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED.

OVER THE WEEKEND...CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES WELL
BELOW NORMAL. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE PERIOD. HIGHS
WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S TO UPPER 50S ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
LOWS WILL BE IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S SATURDAY NIGHT.

WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE HIGH
SHIFTS EAST ALLOWING FOR WINDS TO TURN AROUND TO THE SOUTH. THE
NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL COME TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. EXPECT SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO OCCUR ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT.


ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-011115-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-LAWRENCE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-
POINSETT-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING...MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
323 PM CDT FRI OCT 31 2014

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)
PRECIP BEGINS
PRECIP ENDS
TEMP (24H TREND)      30 (-17)     50 (-6)      33           56
RH % (24H TREND)      73 (-22)     38 (+2)      76           38
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                N 5-9                     LGT/VAR
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   N 7-11 G17   N 5-9        LGT/VAR      SE 2-6
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 1018                      627
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3339                      2056
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 1104                      713
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                3621                      2339
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                N  6                      S  4
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 13                      S  8
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  6624                      2852
CATEGORY DAY                       3                         2
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              42                        50
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               N  8                      SE  4
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               N 17                      SE  9
DISPERSION INDEX      47           50           12           20
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  4            4            4            4
STABILITY             E            C            F            B
STAGNATION INDEX      0            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
63 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...THEN A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-011115-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
INCLUDING...EAST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS...ST. FRANCIS NATIONAL FOREST
323 PM CDT FRI OCT 31 2014

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)
PRECIP BEGINS
PRECIP ENDS
TEMP (24H TREND)      32 (-18)     52 (-6)      33           59
RH % (24H TREND)      71 (-17)     36 (0)       76           35
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                N 5-9                     LGT/VAR
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   N 8-12 G18   N 5-9        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 1062                      727
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3483                      2384
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 1124                      789
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                3687                      2588
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                N  6                      SE  3
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 13                      SE  6
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  6744                      2367
CATEGORY DAY                       3                         2
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              43                        53
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               N  9                      SE  4
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               N 19                      SE  8
DISPERSION INDEX      54           47           11           16
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  4            4            4            4
STABILITY             E            C            F            B
STAGNATION INDEX      0            2            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS LIKELY.
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING
NORTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-051-011115-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-CROCKETT-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT NORTH
323 PM CDT FRI OCT 31 2014

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)
PRECIP BEGINS
PRECIP ENDS
TEMP (24H TREND)      31 (-15)     49 (-4)      27           55
RH % (24H TREND)      74 (-20)     41 (+1)      96           38
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                N 7-11 G17                LGT/VAR
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   NW 9-13 G19  N 7-11 G17   LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 1133                      604
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3716                      1981
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 1253                      724
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                4112                      2375
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                N  8                      SE  2
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 17                      SE  5
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  10024                     1448
CATEGORY DAY                       4                         1
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              40                        48
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               N  9                      E  3
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               N 20                      E  7
DISPERSION INDEX      61           57           17           13
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  3            4            4            4
STABILITY             E            C            F            B
STAGNATION INDEX      0            2            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS LIKELY.
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING
NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THURSDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

TNZ048>050-052>055-088>091-011115-
CHESTER-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-LAUDERDALE-
MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT SOUTH
323 PM CDT FRI OCT 31 2014

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)
PRECIP BEGINS
PRECIP ENDS
TEMP (24H TREND)      31 (-14)     51 (-4)      28           57
RH % (24H TREND)      73 (-25)     39 (0)       89           37
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                N 7-11                    LGT/VAR
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   N 9-13 G19   N 7-11 G17   N 2-6        LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 1077                      601
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3532                      1973
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 1199                      724
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                3933                      2374
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                N  8                      SE  2
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 17                      SE  5
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  9592                      1448
CATEGORY DAY                       4                         1
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              40                        49
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               N  9                      E  3
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               N 20                      E  7
DISPERSION INDEX      58           55           18           12
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  4            4            4            4
STABILITY             E            C            F            B
STAGNATION INDEX      0            2            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS LIKELY.
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING
NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-011115-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
INCLUDING...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST
323 PM CDT FRI OCT 31 2014

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)
PRECIP BEGINS
PRECIP ENDS
TEMP (24H TREND)      32 (-15)     53 (-5)      32           59
RH % (24H TREND)      71 (-24)     36 (-5)      78           34
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                N 5-9                     LGT/VAR
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   N 9-13 G20   N 6-10       LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 1054                      714
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3459                      2341
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 1126                      785
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                3695                      2577
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                N  7                      E  2
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      E  5
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  7882                      1570
CATEGORY DAY                       3                         1
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              43                        54
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               N  8                      E  4
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               N 18                      E  8
DISPERSION INDEX      55           46           15           15
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  4            4            4            4
STABILITY             E            C            F            B
STAGNATION INDEX      0            2            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...
THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-011115-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
INCLUDING...NORTH MISSISSIPPI PORTION NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY...
NORTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST...
NORTH UNIT TOMBIGBEE NATIONAL FOREST...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
323 PM CDT FRI OCT 31 2014

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)
PRECIP BEGINS
PRECIP ENDS
TEMP (24H TREND)      32 (-12)     53 (-8)      28           59
RH % (24H TREND)      70 (-25)     36 (-7)      86           33
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                NW 6-10                   LGT/VAR
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   N 10-14 G21  N 7-11       N 2-6        LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 1073                      666
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3521                      2184
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 1197                      790
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                3927                      2591
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                N  8                      E  2
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 17                      E  3
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  9576                      1580
CATEGORY DAY                       4                         1
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              41                        50
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               N  8                      NE  3
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               N 18                      NE  8
DISPERSION INDEX      55           57           19           15
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  4            4            4            4
STABILITY             E            C            F            B
STAGNATION INDEX      0            2            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH
62 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

JLH





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