Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMEG 222027
FWFMEG

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
227 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISURBANCE TRACKING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
UNITED STATES WILL AID IN SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LATE
TONIGHT ACROSS THE ARKLATEX REGION. ON SUNDAY...A STRONG SURFACE
LOW WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE NORTHEAST INTO THE OHIO VALLEY THROUGH
THE DAY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY THROUGH MUCH OF THE
DAYTIME HOURS. SUNDAY WILL BE MILD WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S AGAIN
EXPECTED ALTHOUGH PRECIPITATION WILL BE WIDESPREAD. A COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE MID SOUTH SUNDAY NIGHT WITH ANOTHER COOL
DOWN FORECAST FOR MONDAY.

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-231115-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-LAWRENCE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-
POINSETT-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING...MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
227 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     50           100          50           0
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.04         1.06         0.05         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      1            12           2
PRECIP BEGINS         12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND)      51 (+9)      64 (+1)      43           52
RH % (24H TREND)      100 (+8)     73 (+23)     93           49
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                SE 8-12                   W 11-15 G20
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 5-9       SE 7-11      SW 12-16 G29 W 11-15 G22
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 319                       2019
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1046                      6624
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 405                       2105
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                1328                      6906
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                SE  9                     W 14
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 20                     W 32
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  3645                      29470
CATEGORY DAY                       2                         5
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              60                        47
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               S 12                      W 11
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               S 27                      W 25
DISPERSION INDEX      13           39           82           85
LAL                   1            3            1            1
LASI                  2            2            2            3
STABILITY             D            D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      3            1            0            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS AROUND 50.
MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-231115-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
INCLUDING...EAST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS...ST. FRANCIS NATIONAL FOREST
227 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     60           100          40           0
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.10         1.05         0.03         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      5            11           2
PRECIP BEGINS         6 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND)      56 (+6)      67 (+3)      46           56
RH % (24H TREND)      94 (0)       74 (+20)     90           45
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                SE 9-13                   W 9-13 G19
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 5-9       S 8-12       SW 13-17 G31 W 10-14 G20
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 514                       1802
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1685                      5911
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 576                       1864
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                1889                      6115
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                S  9                      W 13
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 21                      W 30
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  5184                      24232
CATEGORY DAY                       3                         5
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              62                        50
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               S 12                      W 11
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               S 28                      W 23
DISPERSION INDEX      15           43           89           78
LAL                   1            3            1            1
LASI                  3            2            3            4
STABILITY             D            D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      2            1            0            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-231115-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT NORTH
227 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     20           100          50           20
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.01         1.10         0.06         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      1            12           2
PRECIP BEGINS         12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND)      51 (+8)      66 (+4)      47           52
RH % (24H TREND)      90 (+11)     69 (+32)     97           50
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                SE 7-11 G17               W 11-15 G20
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 4-8       SE 7-11 G17  S 10-14 G23  W 11-15 G22
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 268                       1708
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                880                       5602
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 389                       1829
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                1277                      6000
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                SE  8                     W 14
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 18                     W 31
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  3112                      25606
CATEGORY DAY                       2                         5
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              57                        48
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               SE 11                     W 12
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               SE 25                     W 26
DISPERSION INDEX      13           38           78           91
LAL                   1            3            1            1
LASI                  3            2            2            3
STABILITY             D            D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      2            1            0            0

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-231115-
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT SOUTH
227 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     30           100          40           20
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.02         1.08         0.05         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      1            12           2
PRECIP BEGINS         12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND)      54 (+7)      68 (+3)      48           55
RH % (24H TREND)      93 (+17)     68 (+32)     95           47
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                SE 7-11                   W 10-14 G20
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 4-8       SE 6-10      S 12-16 G26  W 9-13 G20
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 229                       1589
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                751                       5212
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 350                       1710
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                1148                      5611
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                SE  8                     W 12
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 17                     W 26
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  2800                      20520
CATEGORY DAY                       2                         5
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              58                        49
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               SE 11                     W 11
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               SE 24                     W 24
DISPERSION INDEX      19           34           81           90
LAL                   1            3            1            1
LASI                  3            2            2            3
STABILITY             D            D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      2            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-231115-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
INCLUDING...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST
227 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     60           100          30           0
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.12         1.02         0.03         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      5            7            2
PRECIP BEGINS         6 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND)      57 (+7)      71 (+4)      49           57
RH % (24H TREND)      91 (+3)      66 (+19)     88           44
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                SE 8-12 G18               W 8-12 G18
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 5-9       S 6-10       SW 14-18 G32 W 8-12 G17
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 333                       1557
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1092                      5108
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 405                       1629
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                1328                      5344
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                S  6                      W 11
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 14                      W 24
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  2430                      17919
CATEGORY DAY                       2                         5
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              62                        51
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               S 11                      W  9
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               S 25                      W 20
DISPERSION INDEX      17           31           92           78
LAL                   1            3            1            1
LASI                  3            2            3            3
STABILITY             D            D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      2            1            1            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-231115-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
INCLUDING...NORTH MISSISSIPPI PORTION NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY...
NORTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST...
NORTH UNIT TOMBIGBEE NATIONAL FOREST...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
227 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     50           100          30           20
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.07         0.85         0.04         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      1            11           2
PRECIP BEGINS         12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND)      55 (+9)      70 (+3)      51           58
RH % (24H TREND)      92 (+9)      67 (+28)     93           45
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                SE 6-10                   W 7-11 G17
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 4-8       SE 5-9       S 10-14 G23  W 6-10
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 201                       1340
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                659                       4395
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 325                       1463
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                1066                      4801
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                SE  6                     W  8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 13                     W 18
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  1950                      11704
CATEGORY DAY                       1                         4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              59                        52
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               SE 10                     W  9
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               SE 22                     W 19
DISPERSION INDEX      19           19           78           90
LAL                   1            3            1            1
LASI                  3            2            2            3
STABILITY             D            D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      3            2            2            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SJM



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