Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 231905
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
305 PM EDT Mon Oct 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Precipitation will taper off this evening, with just a
few scattered showers possible during the overnight hours. As the
cold front moves east of the Appalachians, a much cooler airmass
will spread across the region, resulting in dry conditions, and
temperatures below seasonal normals for much of the work
week.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-242015-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
305 PM EDT Mon Oct 23 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      43-48 (-13)  57-62 (-6)   34-39        46-51
RH % (24h trend)      86-91 (-7)   44-49 (-21)  83-88        48-53
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW  8 G22                 W  6 G18
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 10 G24    SW  9 G23    W  5         W  7 G20
Precip type           showers      showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     40           20           0            0
Precip duration       1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.04         0.02         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 7100                      5100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                5000                      3100
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 16                     W 14
Dispersion                         71 Good                   36 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW 11 G22                 W  7 G18
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 13 G24    SW 12 G23    W  7         W 10 G20

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Areas of frost. Lows in the
30s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the 40s to
lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the 40s to
lower 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-242015-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
305 PM EDT Mon Oct 23 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      41-46 (-12)  54-59 (-8)   33-38        44-49
RH % (24h trend)      92-97 (-3)   45-50 (-24)  83-88        51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW 10 G23                 W  8 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W 12 G30     W 11 G25     W  7 G21     W  9 G21
Precip type           showers      showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     40           20           0            0
Precip duration       1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.04         0.02         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6800                      5100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                4100                      2400
Transport wnd (mph)                W 16                      W 15
Dispersion                         57 Gen good               31 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW 12 G23                 W 10 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 16 G30     W 14 G25     W  9 G21     W 11 G21

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Areas of frost. Lows in the
30s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower
40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-242015-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
305 PM EDT Mon Oct 23 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      41-46 (-12)  53-58 (-10)  33-38        44-49
RH % (24h trend)      84-89 (-9)   46-51 (-15)  87-92        47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW 10 G25                 W  8 G20
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W 13 G32     W 12 G25     W  5 G20     W  9 G20
Precip type           showers      showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     30           10           0            0
Precip duration       1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         12 PM
Precip end            2 AM         8 PM
Precip amount         0.02         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 7100                      5100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                4000                      2100
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 17                     W 15
Dispersion                         61 Good                   25 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW 13 G25                 W 10 G20
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 16 G32     W 15 G25     W  7 G20     W 11 G20

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Areas of frost. Lows in the 30s
to lower 40s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 60s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s to upper 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Northwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the upper 30s
to lower 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower
40s to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-242015-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
305 PM EDT Mon Oct 23 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      42-47 (-14)  56-61 (-7)   33-38        49-54
RH % (24h trend)      94-99 (-1)   43-48 (-21)  87-92        43-48
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W  8 G21                  W  6 G18
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  9 G23     W 11 G23     LGT/VAR      W  8 G18
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     20           0            0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          8 PM
Precip end            2 AM
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 7100                      4600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                5000                      2600
Transport wnd (mph)                W 17                      W 13
Dispersion                         73 Good                   27 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 10 G21                  W  8 G18
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 11 G23     W 13 G23     W  5         W 10 G18

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 30s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 50s to 60s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 40s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid 50s
to upper 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower
40s to mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-242015-
Nantahala National Forest-
305 PM EDT Mon Oct 23 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        PCldy        MClear       PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-14)  56-61 (-7)   33-38        49-54
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  42-47 (-21)  87-92        43-48
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G20                  NW  7 G18
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G24     W 10 G23     NW  6 G17    W  8 G18
PRECIP TYPE           showers      NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM
PRECIP END            2 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7200                      4800
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*                4900                      2600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      W 13
DISPERSION                         71 Good                   29 Fair
MAX LVORI                          4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G20                  NW  9 G18
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G24     W 13 G23     NW  7 G17    W 10 G18

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Areas of frost. Lows in the 30s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 50s to 60s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s to upper 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. Northwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-242015-
East Tennessee District East-
305 PM EDT Mon Oct 23 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      44-49 (-11)  58-63 (-7)   35-40        48-53
RH % (24h trend)      85-90 (-8)   44-49 (-22)  85-90        47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW  8 G22                 W  7 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 11 G23    W 10 G23     W  5         W  9 G22
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     30           0            0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          8 PM
Precip end            5 AM
Precip amount         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6700                      4800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                5200                      3300
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 17                     W 15
Dispersion                         78 Good                   44 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW 10 G22                 W  9 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 13 G23    W 13 G23     W  6         W 11 G22

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Areas of frost. Lows in the
30s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Northwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
lower 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-242015-
East Tennessee District West-
305 PM EDT Mon Oct 23 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      44-49 (-13)  59-64 (-4)   35-40        49-54
RH % (24h trend)      84-89 (-9)   43-48 (-24)  86-91        45-50
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW  8 G20                 W  6 G18
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  9 G23    W  9 G21     LGT/VAR      W  8 G18
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     20           0            0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          8 PM
Precip end            2 AM
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 7200                      4700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                5900                      3400
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 17                     W 14
Dispersion                         90 Good                   39 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW 10 G20                 W  8 G18
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 12 G23    W 12 G21     W  5         W 10 G18

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 30s to lower 40s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 40s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to
upper 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-242015-
Cumberland District South-
305 PM EDT Mon Oct 23 2017 /205 PM CDT Mon Oct 23 2017/

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      44-49 (-14)  59-64 (-4)   33-38        51-56
RH % (24h trend)      89-94 (-5)   43-48 (-22)  88-93        40-45
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W  8 G21                  W  6 G18
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  7 G21    W 10 G24     NW  5        W  8 G18
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     20           0            0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          8 PM
Precip end            11 PM
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 7100                      4500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                5900                      3300
Transport wnd (mph)                W 17                      W 13
Dispersion                         90 Good                   36 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 10 G21                  W  7 G18
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  9 G21    W 13 G24     NW  6        W  9 G18

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s to lower
40s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 60s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 40s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 60s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 50s.
West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



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