Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 251426
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
1026 AM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

.DISCUSSION...
THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL
SHIFT EAST TODAY ALLOWING A SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO BRING
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-261530-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
1026 AM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      71-76 (+4)   48-53 (+1)   64-69
RH % (24h trend)      33-38 (-3)   91-96 (+16)  53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  6 G15                  S 10 G24
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  7 G17     S  8 G20     S 11 G24
Precip type           NONE         showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            40           80
Precip duration                    1            7
Precip begin                       8 PM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.23         0.14
LAL                   1            5            3
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5800                      5600
Transport wnd (mph)   S 12                      S 29
Dispersion            38 Fair                   89 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  7 G15                  S 12 G24
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  9 G17     S 10 G20     S 14 G24

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 40s to mid 50s. South winds
up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 40s to mid 50s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-261530-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
1026 AM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      66-71 (+3)   46-51 (+1)   61-66
RH % (24h trend)      37-42 (-4)   92-97 (+15)  55-60
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  7 G17                  S 11 G30
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  8 G24     S 10 G27     S 11 G28
Precip type           NONE         showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            60           80
Precip duration                    2            7
Precip begin                       8 PM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.37         0.17
LAL                   1            4            3
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5800                      5600
Transport wnd (mph)   S 12                      S 26
Dispersion            29 Fair                   65 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  8 G17                  S 15 G30
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 11 G24     S 13 G27     S 15 G28

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 40s to mid 50s. South winds
up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 40s to mid 50s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 70s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 70s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. West
winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-261530-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
1026 AM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      64-69 (+3)   48-53 (-1)   61-66
RH % (24h trend)      40-45 (-7)   91-96 (+19)  56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S 12 G31                  S 14 G37
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 10 G25     S 12 G36     S 14 G35
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            80           80
Precip duration                    3            5
Precip begin                       8 PM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.77         0.18
LAL                   1            5            3
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5700                      5600
Transport wnd (mph)   S 20                      S 30
Dispersion            42 Gen good               68 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 15 G31                  S 17 G37
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 13 G25     S 16 G36     S 17 G35

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 40s to mid 50s. Southwest
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 40s to mid 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to mid 70s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 50. Highs in the 50s to upper 70s. South winds up to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. West
winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-261530-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
1026 AM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      68-73 (+5)   50-55 (-4)   65-70
RH % (24h trend)      40-45 (-6)   92-97 (+21)  56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S 12 G28                  S 12 G29
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 11 G26     SE 14 G33    S 11 G28
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            90           80
Precip duration                    4            5
Precip begin                       Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.98         0.16
LAL                   1            5            3
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5500                      5500
Transport wnd (mph)   S 24                      S 29
Dispersion            70 Good                   84 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 15 G28                  S 15 G29
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 14 G26     SE 17 G33    S 14 G28

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the 40s to mid 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 50s to upper 70s. South winds
up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. West
winds up to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-261530-
Nantahala National Forest-
1026 AM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+6)   49-54 (+2)   63-68
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-4)   94-99 (+10)  58-63
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G23                  SE 11 G27
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 11 G25    SE 12 G28    S 10 G26
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        tstms        tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           80
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            5
PRECIP BEGIN          5 PM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.99         0.17
LAL                   2            5            3
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      S 24
DISPERSION            53 Gen good               69 Good
MAX LVORI             4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G23                  SE 14 G27
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 14 G25    SE 15 G28    S 12 G26

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows around
50. Highs in the 60s to 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s. South winds up to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. West winds
up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-261530-
East Tennessee District East-
1026 AM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      72-77 (+4)   50-55 (+1)   66-71
RH % (24h trend)      34-39 (-2)   90-95 (+17)  54-59
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  6 G15                  SE  8 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  7 G18     SE  7 G18    S 10 G25
Precip type           NONE         showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            60           80
Precip duration                    2            5
Precip begin                       8 PM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.42         0.15
LAL                   1            5            3
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5800                      5400
Transport wnd (mph)   S 10                      S 29
Dispersion            40 Fair                   97 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  7 G15                  SE 10 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  9 G18     SE  9 G18    S 13 G25

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows around
50. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. East winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s. Southeast winds
up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-261530-
East Tennessee District West-
1026 AM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      71-76 (+4)   51-56 (0)    67-72
RH % (24h trend)      38-43 (-4)   91-96 (+18)  55-60
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S 10 G24                  S  9 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 10 G25     SE  8 G24    S  9 G23
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            90           80
Precip duration                    3            5
Precip begin                       Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.70         0.21
LAL                   1            5            3
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5600                      5300
Transport wnd (mph)   S 23                      S 31
Dispersion            85 Good                   110 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 12 G24                  S 11 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 12 G25     SE 11 G24    S 12 G23

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 50s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower to mid 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to upper 70s. South winds
up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 50. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds up to
10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-261530-
Cumberland District South-
1026 AM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017 /926 AM CDT Sat Mar 25 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        Cloudy       MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      70-75 (+3)   53-58 (0)    68-73
RH % (24h trend)      41-46 (-5)   93-98 (+20)  56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S 12 G28                  S 10 G23
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 12 G28     SE 11 G27    S 10 G25
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           100          70
Precip duration       1            6            3
Precip begin          5 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.04         1.07         0.19
LAL                   2            5            3
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5500                      5300
Transport wnd (mph)   S 26                      SW 28
Dispersion            100 Good                  98 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 15 G28                  S 12 G23
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 15 G28     SE 13 G27    S 13 G25

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower to mid 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to upper 70s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to upper 70s. South winds
up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. West
winds up to 10 mph.

$$


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