Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ

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743
FNUS55 KPSR 031113
FWFPSR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
413 AM MST TUE MAY 3 2016

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL
ARIZONA THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING DUE TO STRONG SOUTHWEST
WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER...

.DISCUSSION...
A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE REGION TODAY WILL RESULT IN
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT WIND...AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL ALSO RANGE BETWEEN
10 AND 12 PERCENT TODAY. HOWEVER ON WEDNESDAY...A NEW PACIFIC
WEATHER SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE CALIFORNIA COAST. ALTHOUGH DRY AND
WARMER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE...GUSTY AFTERNOON SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
WINDS IN THE 15 TO 25 MPH RANGE WILL DEVELOP REGION WIDE.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY WINDS...

NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.

AZZ132-032315-
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX
AREA/SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
413 AM MST TUE MAY 3 2016

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................89-94.
*    24 HR TREND..................6 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................9-14 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................6 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......10600 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......EAST 6 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........GOOD.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................63-73.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................25-33 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................11 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.WEDNESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY. PATCHY BLOWING DUST IN THE
  AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................93-100.
*    24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................7-12 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......13200 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTH 16 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........EXCELLENT.


.EXTENDED...
.THURSDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY BLOWING DUST. LOWS
55-66. HIGHS 82-91. SOUTH WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...NOT AS WARM. PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 53-63. HIGHS 71-78. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 53-63. HIGHS 72-78. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
55-65. HIGHS 77-82.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 57-67. HIGHS 82-87.

$$

AZZ133-032315-
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-
SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/
CAZ-
413 AM MST TUE MAY 3 2016

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................75-90.
*    24 HR TREND..................7 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................11-16 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................7 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................49-65.
*    24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................28-42 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................21 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING 15 TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.WEDNESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................82-96.
*    24 HR TREND..................6 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................7-12 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.THURSDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 48-64. HIGHS 78-89. SOUTH
WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...COOLER...BREEZY. PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 40-60. HIGHS 63-75. SOUTH WINDS
20 TO 30 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 40-55. HIGHS 60-72. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
40-57. HIGHS 63-77.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 42-58.
HIGHS 69-82.

$$

AZZ131-CAZ231-032315-
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-
413 AM MST TUE MAY 3 2016 /413 AM PDT TUE MAY 3 2016/

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................91-95.
*    24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................9-14 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................5 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........10000 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........NORTHEAST 2 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............FAIR.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................64-69.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................27-37 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................7 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING MOSTLY DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.WEDNESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY BLOWING DUST
  IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................94-100.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................8-13 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........8000 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTH 18 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............EXCELLENT.


.EXTENDED...
.THURSDAY...NOT AS WARM. MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY BLOWING DUST. LOWS
57-65. HIGHS 81-87. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 55-61. HIGHS 74-79. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO
25 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 55-59. HIGHS 76-80. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
58-62. HIGHS 80-84.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 59-64. HIGHS 85-89.

$$

CAZ230-032315-
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-
413 AM PDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................76-89.
*    24 HR TREND..................8 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................12-17 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................9 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING EAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................54-65.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................30-45 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................5 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.WEDNESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY BLOWING DUST
  IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................76-92.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................10-20 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.THURSDAY...NOT AS WARM. PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 44-61. HIGHS 63-79. WEST WINDS
15 TO 25 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 43-56. HIGHS 57-73. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 43-56. HIGHS 59-74. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
45-59. HIGHS 66-78.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 48-60. HIGHS 72-85.

$$

CAZ232-032315-
IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-
413 AM PDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................87-94.
*    24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................10-15 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................7 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................64-68.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................27-48 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.WEDNESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY BLOWING DUST
  IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................89-98.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................9-14 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.THURSDAY...NOT AS WARM. MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY BLOWING DUST. LOWS 53-65. HIGHS
75-84. WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 52-61. HIGHS 70-79. WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 52-60. HIGHS 71-80. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
55-62. HIGHS 76-84.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 58-64. HIGHS 82-89.

$$

.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...TUESDAY MAY 10TH THROUGH THURSDAY MAY 11TH
...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND NEAR MEDIAN PRECIPITATION.



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