Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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ECCDA DISCUSSIONS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
323 PM PST FRI FEB 12 2016

ECC029-131730-
LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...VANDENBERG ECC DISPATCH
323 PM PST FRI FEB 12 2016

...DISCUSSION FROM LOS ANGELES/OXNARD...

...HEIGHTENED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS SUNDAY AND MONDAY DUE TO GUSTY
SANTA ANA WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR MOST AREAS
THROUGH SATURDAY. ONSHORE TRENDS WILL DEVELOP AS A TROUGH APPROACHES
FROM THE WEST AND ALLOWS FOR HIGHER HUMIDITIES TO DEVELOP OVER
COASTAL AREAS. SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND CONTINUED LIGHT TO
LOCALLY MODERATE WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY. AS THE UPPER
TROUGH MOVES EAST OF THE AREA...INCREASING NORTHERLY FLOW IS
EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...WITH MOUNTAIN GUSTS INCREASING
TO AROUND 35 MPH. BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON THE FLOW WILL TURN TO
NORTHEAST AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GREAT
BASIN...PEAKING LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY THEN DIMINISHING
THROUGH TUESDAY. WITH MODERATE GRADIENTS AND SOME UPPER LEVEL
SUPPORT THIS IS FORECAST TO BE A MODERATE SANTA ANA EVENT...WITH
GUSTS 35 TO 45 MPH FOR THE COAST AND VALLEYS...AND UP TO 50 MPH WITH
LOCAL GUSTS TO 55 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS. A WARMING AND DRYING TREND
IS EXPECTED ALONG WITH THE OFFSHORE WINDS...WITH HUMIDITIES FALLING
INTO THE LOWER TEENS WITH ISOLATED SINGLE DIGITS...AND HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S TO AROUND 90 BY MONDAY.

THERE WILL BE HEIGHTENED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FOR THE SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY TIME PERIOD...WITH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE AT TIMES FOR MANY AREAS.

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION ON TUESDAY...FOLLOWED
BY AN UPPER TROUGH MOVING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. A CHANCE
OF RAIN DURING THIS TIME WILL PEAK ON THURSDAY. INCREASING SOUTHERLY
WINDS AND MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO EXPECTED.

NOTE TO USERS: DUE TO THE ONGOING FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS...THE FIRE
WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED EACH AFTERNOON OVER THE
HOLIDAY WEEKEND. HOWEVER...IF A FIRE WEATHER WATCH OR RED FLAG
WARNING IS ISSUED OVER THE WEEKEND...NWS OXNARD WILL MOVE TO FULL
FIRE WEATHER OPERATIONS UNTIL THE FIRE WEATHER EVENT HAS ENDED.


...DISCUSSION FROM MONTEREY...

LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED GOING INTO SATURDAY. A WARMING TREND IS
FORECAST FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER
CALIFORNIA AND OFFSHORE FLOW DEVELOPS. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD EXCEPT FOR A CHANCE OF RAIN DEVELOPING
BY LATE WEDNESDAY. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT EXCEPT MODERATE AND GUSTY
NORTHERLY WINDS IN THE HILLS FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY.

NOTE : ALL WINDS ARE 20-FOOT WINDS UNLESS OTHERWISE SPECIFIED.
THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG, GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.



$$

ECC028-131730-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...SANTA BARBARA ECC DISPATCH
323 PM PST FRI FEB 12 2016

...HEIGHTENED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS SUNDAY AND MONDAY DUE TO GUSTY
SANTA ANA WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR MOST AREAS
THROUGH SATURDAY. ONSHORE TRENDS WILL DEVELOP AS A TROUGH APPROACHES
FROM THE WEST AND ALLOWS FOR HIGHER HUMIDITIES TO DEVELOP OVER
COASTAL AREAS. SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND CONTINUED LIGHT TO
LOCALLY MODERATE WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY. AS THE UPPER
TROUGH MOVES EAST OF THE AREA...INCREASING NORTHERLY FLOW IS
EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...WITH MOUNTAIN GUSTS INCREASING
TO AROUND 35 MPH. BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON THE FLOW WILL TURN TO
NORTHEAST AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GREAT
BASIN...PEAKING LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY THEN DIMINISHING
THROUGH TUESDAY. WITH MODERATE GRADIENTS AND SOME UPPER LEVEL
SUPPORT THIS IS FORECAST TO BE A MODERATE SANTA ANA EVENT...WITH
GUSTS 35 TO 45 MPH FOR THE COAST AND VALLEYS...AND UP TO 50 MPH WITH
LOCAL GUSTS TO 55 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS. A WARMING AND DRYING TREND
IS EXPECTED ALONG WITH THE OFFSHORE WINDS...WITH HUMIDITIES FALLING
INTO THE LOWER TEENS WITH ISOLATED SINGLE DIGITS...AND HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S TO AROUND 90 BY MONDAY.

THERE WILL BE HEIGHTENED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FOR THE SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY TIME PERIOD...WITH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE AT TIMES FOR MANY AREAS.

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION ON TUESDAY...FOLLOWED
BY AN UPPER TROUGH MOVING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. A CHANCE
OF RAIN DURING THIS TIME WILL PEAK ON THURSDAY. INCREASING SOUTHERLY
WINDS AND MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO EXPECTED.

NOTE TO USERS: DUE TO THE ONGOING FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS...THE FIRE
WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED EACH AFTERNOON OVER THE
HOLIDAY WEEKEND. HOWEVER...IF A FIRE WEATHER WATCH OR RED FLAG
WARNING IS ISSUED OVER THE WEEKEND...NWS OXNARD WILL MOVE TO FULL
FIRE WEATHER OPERATIONS UNTIL THE FIRE WEATHER EVENT HAS ENDED.


$$

ECC031-131730-
ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...LANCASTER ECC DISPATCH
323 PM PST FRI FEB 12 2016

...HEIGHTENED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS SUNDAY AND MONDAY DUE TO GUSTY
SANTA ANA WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR MOST AREAS
THROUGH SATURDAY. ONSHORE TRENDS WILL DEVELOP AS A TROUGH APPROACHES
FROM THE WEST AND ALLOWS FOR HIGHER HUMIDITIES TO DEVELOP OVER
COASTAL AREAS. SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND CONTINUED LIGHT TO
LOCALLY MODERATE WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY. AS THE UPPER
TROUGH MOVES EAST OF THE AREA...INCREASING NORTHERLY FLOW IS
EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...WITH MOUNTAIN GUSTS INCREASING
TO AROUND 35 MPH. BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON THE FLOW WILL TURN TO
NORTHEAST AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GREAT
BASIN...PEAKING LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY THEN DIMINISHING
THROUGH TUESDAY. WITH MODERATE GRADIENTS AND SOME UPPER LEVEL
SUPPORT THIS IS FORECAST TO BE A MODERATE SANTA ANA EVENT...WITH
GUSTS 35 TO 45 MPH FOR THE COAST AND VALLEYS...AND UP TO 50 MPH WITH
LOCAL GUSTS TO 55 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS. A WARMING AND DRYING TREND
IS EXPECTED ALONG WITH THE OFFSHORE WINDS...WITH HUMIDITIES FALLING
INTO THE LOWER TEENS WITH ISOLATED SINGLE DIGITS...AND HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S TO AROUND 90 BY MONDAY.

THERE WILL BE HEIGHTENED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FOR THE SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY TIME PERIOD...WITH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE AT TIMES FOR MANY AREAS.

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION ON TUESDAY...FOLLOWED
BY AN UPPER TROUGH MOVING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. A CHANCE
OF RAIN DURING THIS TIME WILL PEAK ON THURSDAY. INCREASING SOUTHERLY
WINDS AND MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO EXPECTED.

NOTE TO USERS: DUE TO THE ONGOING FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS...THE FIRE
WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED EACH AFTERNOON OVER THE
HOLIDAY WEEKEND. HOWEVER...IF A FIRE WEATHER WATCH OR RED FLAG
WARNING IS ISSUED OVER THE WEEKEND...NWS OXNARD WILL MOVE TO FULL
FIRE WEATHER OPERATIONS UNTIL THE FIRE WEATHER EVENT HAS ENDED.


$$

ECC024-131730-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY-
DISCUSSION FOR...SAN LUIS OBISPO ECC DISPATCH
323 PM PST FRI FEB 12 2016

...HEIGHTENED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS SUNDAY AND MONDAY DUE TO GUSTY
SANTA ANA WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR MOST AREAS
THROUGH SATURDAY. ONSHORE TRENDS WILL DEVELOP AS A TROUGH APPROACHES
FROM THE WEST AND ALLOWS FOR HIGHER HUMIDITIES TO DEVELOP OVER
COASTAL AREAS. SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND CONTINUED LIGHT TO
LOCALLY MODERATE WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY. AS THE UPPER
TROUGH MOVES EAST OF THE AREA...INCREASING NORTHERLY FLOW IS
EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...WITH MOUNTAIN GUSTS INCREASING
TO AROUND 35 MPH. BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON THE FLOW WILL TURN TO
NORTHEAST AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GREAT
BASIN...PEAKING LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY THEN DIMINISHING
THROUGH TUESDAY. WITH MODERATE GRADIENTS AND SOME UPPER LEVEL
SUPPORT THIS IS FORECAST TO BE A MODERATE SANTA ANA EVENT...WITH
GUSTS 35 TO 45 MPH FOR THE COAST AND VALLEYS...AND UP TO 50 MPH WITH
LOCAL GUSTS TO 55 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS. A WARMING AND DRYING TREND
IS EXPECTED ALONG WITH THE OFFSHORE WINDS...WITH HUMIDITIES FALLING
INTO THE LOWER TEENS WITH ISOLATED SINGLE DIGITS...AND HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S TO AROUND 90 BY MONDAY.

THERE WILL BE HEIGHTENED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FOR THE SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY TIME PERIOD...WITH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE AT TIMES FOR MANY AREAS.

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION ON TUESDAY...FOLLOWED
BY AN UPPER TROUGH MOVING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. A CHANCE
OF RAIN DURING THIS TIME WILL PEAK ON THURSDAY. INCREASING SOUTHERLY
WINDS AND MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO EXPECTED.

NOTE TO USERS: DUE TO THE ONGOING FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS...THE FIRE
WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED EACH AFTERNOON OVER THE
HOLIDAY WEEKEND. HOWEVER...IF A FIRE WEATHER WATCH OR RED FLAG
WARNING IS ISSUED OVER THE WEEKEND...NWS OXNARD WILL MOVE TO FULL
FIRE WEATHER OPERATIONS UNTIL THE FIRE WEATHER EVENT HAS ENDED.


$$

ECC032-131730-
VENTURA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...VENTURA ECC DISPATCH
323 PM PST FRI FEB 12 2016

...HEIGHTENED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS SUNDAY AND MONDAY DUE TO GUSTY
SANTA ANA WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR MOST AREAS
THROUGH SATURDAY. ONSHORE TRENDS WILL DEVELOP AS A TROUGH APPROACHES
FROM THE WEST AND ALLOWS FOR HIGHER HUMIDITIES TO DEVELOP OVER
COASTAL AREAS. SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND CONTINUED LIGHT TO
LOCALLY MODERATE WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY. AS THE UPPER
TROUGH MOVES EAST OF THE AREA...INCREASING NORTHERLY FLOW IS
EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...WITH MOUNTAIN GUSTS INCREASING
TO AROUND 35 MPH. BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON THE FLOW WILL TURN TO
NORTHEAST AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GREAT
BASIN...PEAKING LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY THEN DIMINISHING
THROUGH TUESDAY. WITH MODERATE GRADIENTS AND SOME UPPER LEVEL
SUPPORT THIS IS FORECAST TO BE A MODERATE SANTA ANA EVENT...WITH
GUSTS 35 TO 45 MPH FOR THE COAST AND VALLEYS...AND UP TO 50 MPH WITH
LOCAL GUSTS TO 55 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS. A WARMING AND DRYING TREND
IS EXPECTED ALONG WITH THE OFFSHORE WINDS...WITH HUMIDITIES FALLING
INTO THE LOWER TEENS WITH ISOLATED SINGLE DIGITS...AND HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S TO AROUND 90 BY MONDAY.

THERE WILL BE HEIGHTENED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FOR THE SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY TIME PERIOD...WITH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE AT TIMES FOR MANY AREAS.

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION ON TUESDAY...FOLLOWED
BY AN UPPER TROUGH MOVING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. A CHANCE
OF RAIN DURING THIS TIME WILL PEAK ON THURSDAY. INCREASING SOUTHERLY
WINDS AND MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO EXPECTED.

NOTE TO USERS: DUE TO THE ONGOING FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS...THE FIRE
WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED EACH AFTERNOON OVER THE
HOLIDAY WEEKEND. HOWEVER...IF A FIRE WEATHER WATCH OR RED FLAG
WARNING IS ISSUED OVER THE WEEKEND...NWS OXNARD WILL MOVE TO FULL
FIRE WEATHER OPERATIONS UNTIL THE FIRE WEATHER EVENT HAS ENDED.


$$

ECC030-131730-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY EXCLUDING ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...LOS ANGELES ECC DISPATCH
323 PM PST FRI FEB 12 2016

...HEIGHTENED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS SUNDAY AND MONDAY DUE TO GUSTY
SANTA ANA WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR MOST AREAS
THROUGH SATURDAY. ONSHORE TRENDS WILL DEVELOP AS A TROUGH APPROACHES
FROM THE WEST AND ALLOWS FOR HIGHER HUMIDITIES TO DEVELOP OVER
COASTAL AREAS. SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND CONTINUED LIGHT TO
LOCALLY MODERATE WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY. AS THE UPPER
TROUGH MOVES EAST OF THE AREA...INCREASING NORTHERLY FLOW IS
EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...WITH MOUNTAIN GUSTS INCREASING
TO AROUND 35 MPH. BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON THE FLOW WILL TURN TO
NORTHEAST AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GREAT
BASIN...PEAKING LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY THEN DIMINISHING
THROUGH TUESDAY. WITH MODERATE GRADIENTS AND SOME UPPER LEVEL
SUPPORT THIS IS FORECAST TO BE A MODERATE SANTA ANA EVENT...WITH
GUSTS 35 TO 45 MPH FOR THE COAST AND VALLEYS...AND UP TO 50 MPH WITH
LOCAL GUSTS TO 55 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS. A WARMING AND DRYING TREND
IS EXPECTED ALONG WITH THE OFFSHORE WINDS...WITH HUMIDITIES FALLING
INTO THE LOWER TEENS WITH ISOLATED SINGLE DIGITS...AND HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S TO AROUND 90 BY MONDAY.

THERE WILL BE HEIGHTENED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FOR THE SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY TIME PERIOD...WITH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE AT TIMES FOR MANY AREAS.

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION ON TUESDAY...FOLLOWED
BY AN UPPER TROUGH MOVING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. A CHANCE
OF RAIN DURING THIS TIME WILL PEAK ON THURSDAY. INCREASING SOUTHERLY
WINDS AND MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO EXPECTED.

NOTE TO USERS: DUE TO THE ONGOING FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS...THE FIRE
WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED EACH AFTERNOON OVER THE
HOLIDAY WEEKEND. HOWEVER...IF A FIRE WEATHER WATCH OR RED FLAG
WARNING IS ISSUED OVER THE WEEKEND...NWS OXNARD WILL MOVE TO FULL
FIRE WEATHER OPERATIONS UNTIL THE FIRE WEATHER EVENT HAS ENDED.


$$



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