Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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464
FNUS71 KALY 241148
FWSALY

SPOT FORECAST FOR FOR ANTELOPE RX...ALBANY PINE BUSH PRESERVE COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
748 AM EDT WED AUG 24 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON AUGUST 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE DRIFTING OFF THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST WILL
PROVIDE FAIR AND WARM WEATHER TODAY. A FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHING
FROM THE WEST WILL BRING SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE
REGION THURSDAY INTO EARLY FRIDAY, ALONG WITH WARM AND HUMID
CONDITIONS. FAIR AND WARM CONDITIONS WILL FOLLOW IN THE WAKE OF
THE FRONT FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

THE RH VALUES WILL DROP TO 35 TO 50 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON, THEN
INCREASE TO 80 TO 100 PERCENT TONIGHT AND DROP TO 45 TO 65
PERCENT ON THURSDAY. WIDESPREAD HEAVY DEW FORMATION IS LESS
LIKELY TONIGHT AS SOME AREAS WILL MAINTAIN A SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
WIND OVERNIGHT.

LIGHT/VARIABLE WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 5-10 MPH
THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 10-15 MPH THURSDAY AFTERNOON, AND MAY OCCASIONALLY
GUST UP TO 20-25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY NIGHT,
ESPECIALLY IN NORTH/SOUTH ORIENTED VALLEYS SUCH AS THE HUDSON
VALLEY AND ALSO ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3700-4900 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (1900-12100 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-1500 FT AGL.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (3600-12100 KNOT-FT).

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5200 FT AGL.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (3600-41300 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...DIRIENZO/WASULA
REQUESTED BY...TYLER BRIGGS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160824.ANTEL.01/ALY



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