Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS73 KAPX 290713
FWSAPX

Spot Forecast for Tin Bridge...MDNR
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
313 AM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 EDT on April 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (989) 732-9306, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Surface ridging building into Northern Michigan will
provide our area with a mainly dry and cool Saturday. Widespread
precip will develop tonight from south to north as deep moisture
surges northward ahead of a warm front associated low pressure
developing over the Southern Plains. Heavy rainfall is expected for
Sunday and Sunday night as this system slowly pushes northward
toward the Western Great Lakes region.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Temperature.........45 at ignition...Max 51.
RH..................45 percent at ignition...Min 36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds north at 6 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Light winds becoming north 5 to 6 mph early in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 2500-4100
                    ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 12 to 15 mph.
Vent rate...........Good /500 at ignition. Max...good /500/.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 5.

TIME (EDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........35  40  41  44  49  52
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............45  47  49  50  51  51
RH..............45  42  39  37  36  36
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...3.5 3.8 4.0 4.1 4.1 4.0
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   NE  NE
Transp wind spd.14  14  14  13  12  12
Haines index....4   5   5   5   5   5
VRate/100.......5   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    in the evening, then rain after midnight.
Temperature.........Min 36.
RH..................Max 89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming east 5 to 6 mph
                    after midnight.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........59  68  78  86  92  95  96  96  96  97  98  99
Weather cov.....        SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF DEF LKY
Weather type....        RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Temp............50  48  46  44  42  40  39  38  38  38  37  37
RH..............37  42  47  53  57  64  70  73  76  79  85  85
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..6   6   5   4   4   3   4   5   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.            5   5   5   5

$$
Forecaster...Monique Runyan
Requested by...Don Klingler
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1707983.0/APX


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