Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Boise, ID

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000
FNUS75 KBOI 222335
FWSBOI

Spot Forecast for Goat Fire...Forest Service
National Weather Service Boise ID
535 PM MDT Tue Aug 22 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1600 MDT on August 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM WEDNESDAY TO 3 AM MDT
THURSDAY...

.DISCUSSION...Dry and mostly clear tonight with moisture pulling
north into the area Wednesday. Moisture will combine with
instability each afternoon generating thunderstorms each day. Best
chances will come late Wednesday and again on Thursday. A cold
frontal passage is currently timed for approximately 1800 MDT
Thursday evening with drier air pushing in behind it. Storms will
likely produce 0.10 to 0.60 inches of rainfall and wind gusts to
45 mph. Friday will be dry and with winds from the west 4 to 8 mph
in the afternoon.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
CWR /0.10 inch/.....0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....52 to 57.
Max humidity........41 to 50 percent.
Wind - eye level....Northwest 3 to 5 mph with gusts to 8 mph
                    in the evening; becoming downslope/downvalley
                    3 mph or less after midnight.
Haines Index........4 low.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Ventilation index...20 Poor.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the late afternoon.
CWR /0.10 inch/.....5 percent.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....75 to 87.
Min humidity........16 to 24 percent.
Wind - eye level....Downslope/downvalley 3 mph or less in the
                    morning, becoming south 3 to 7 mph with
gusts to 11 mph in the afternoon.
Stronger near thunderstorms.
Haines Index........4 low.
Mixing height.......13000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Ventilation index...1300 excellent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. A
                    chance of thunderstorms, mainly in the evening.
                    Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
CWR /0.10 inch/.....20 percent.
LAL.................4, decreasing to 3 after midnight.
Min temperature.....50 to 55.
Max humidity........61 to 69 percent.
Wind - eye level....Southwest 5 to 8 mph with gusts to 11 mph,
becoming southwest 3 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........3 low.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Ventilation index...100 poor.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. A chance
                    of thunderstorms, mainly in the afternoon.
                    Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
CWR /0.10 inch/.....30 percent.
LAL.................4.
Max temperature.....67 to 78.
Min humidity........32 to 40 percent.
Wind - eye level....Southwest 3 to 7 mph, becoming 6 to 9 with gusts
up to 16 mph in the afternoon. Stronger near
thunderstorms.
Haines Index........3 very low.
Mixing height.......9500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Ventilation index...950 excellent.

$$
Forecaster...Braun
Requested by...Steve Cobb
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1714642.2/BOI



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