Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 232132
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR CECIL...COUNTY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
332 PM MDT SAT JUL 23 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1456 MDT ON JULY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THERE WILL BE SCATTERD SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH ANY OF THE SHOWERS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY AND VARIABLE OUTFLOW WINDS TO 35 MPH.
THE MOST LIKELY DIRECTION OF THESE OUTFLOW WINDS WOULD BE FROM THE
WEST OR SOUTHWEST AS STORMS WOULD BE APPROACHING FROM THAT
DIRECTION. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN QUITE WARM WITH LOW HUMIDITY
READINGS. MODERATE HUMIDITY RECOVERY WILL OCCUR OVERNIGHT WITH
GRADUAL CLEARING.

SUNDAY WILL BE A COUPLE DEGREES COOLER WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER
HUMIDITY VALUES BEHIND A WEAK COLD FRONT. SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND
EVENING THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(60-65%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-25%.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13500-14500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(40-50%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........61%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12700 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...DECREASING TO
1900-2900 FT AGL AFTER 2300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 0900...THEN MOSTLY
                    SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(55-60%)
                    UNTIL 1500...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(60-65%). CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74-75
MIN HUMIDITY........30-32%.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 4-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 11500-12500 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5-6 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR CECIL.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

07/23-15 63 32 11 77 28   E  6 10 4 4 WNW  9 14615   W  7 90455   G
07/23-16 65 32 11 76 27   E  6 10 4 4 WNW  9 13991   W  7 79534   G
07/23-17 64 32 11 75 31  SE  5  8 3 4 WNW  8 13367 WNW  6 69243   G
07/23-18 67 27  7 74 33  SE  5  8 3 4 WNW  8 12744 WNW  6 59581  F
07/23-19 67 27  7 71 38   S  5  5 3 4 WNW  8 10301 WNW  5 45444  F
07/23-20 67 27  7 67 47 SSW  5  5 3 4 WNW  8  7859 WNW  5 32595 P
07/23-21 67 27  7 64 54  SW  5  5 3 4 WNW  8  5417 WNW  5 21036 P
07/23-22 67 27  7 61 60  SW  5  5 3 4 WNW  8  4198 WNW  5 17507 P
07/23-23 67 27  7 60 60  SW  5  5 3 4 WNW  8  2980   W  5 13279 P
07/24-00 45  6  1 59 57  SW  5  5 3 1 WNW  8  1761   W  6  8353 P
07/24-01 45  6  1 58 57  SW  5  5 3 1 WNW  8  1855   W  6  8926 P
07/24-02 45  6  1 57 59 WSW  6  6 3 1   W  7  1949   W  6  9513 P
07/24-03 45  6  1 55 59 WSW  6  6 3 1   W  6  2042 WNW  6 10113 P
07/24-04 45  6  1 53 61 WSW  6  6 3 1   W  7  2000   W  5  8424 P
07/24-05 45  6  1 52 61 WSW  6  6 4 1   W  8  1957   W  3  6797 P
07/24-06 39  5  1 52 59 WSW  5  5 4 1   W  9  1914   W  3  5233 P
07/24-07 39  5  1 56 53   W  3  3 4 1   W 10  4374   W  5 16633 P
07/24-08 39  5  1 62 44 NNW  2  2 4 1   W 10  6834   W  6 33291 P
07/24-09 29  8  2 68 39   N  2  2 4 1   W 12  9293   W  7 55208  F
07/24-10 29  8  2 72 34 NNE  2  2 4 1   W 10 10963   W  7 63194   G
07/24-11 29  8  2 74 32 ENE  3  3 4 1   W 10 12632   W  7 70593   G
07/24-12 58 32 11 74 32   E  5  5 4 4   W  9 14302   W  6 77403   G
07/24-13 58 32 11 74 32   E  6  6 4 4   W 10 13596   W  6 72546   G
07/24-14 58 32 11 73 33 ESE  7  7 3 4   W 12 12890   W  6 67797   G
07/24-15 62 32 11 72 34  SE  7  7 3 4   W 13 12183   W  6 63155   G
07/24-16 62 32 11 71 36 ESE  7  7 3 4   W 10 11510 WSW  6 52394  F
07/24-17 62 32 11 70 38   E  6  6 3 4   W  9 10837  SW  5 42484  F
07/24-18 58 34 13 70 38   E  5  5 3 4   W  8 10164  SW  3 33424 P
07/24-19 58 31 10 66 46   E  5  5 3 4   W  9  8393  SW  7 46377  F
07/24-20 58 28  8 62 56 SSE  5  5 3 4 WNW 12  6622 SSW  9 51406  F
07/24-21 58 25  5 59 64   S  5  5 3 4 WNW 13  4851   S 12 47835  F
07/24-22 58 22  4 57 69   S  5  5 3 3 WNW 10  3981   S  9 32598 P
07/24-23 58 19  4 56 69   S  5  5 3 3  NW  8  3112   S  8 20271 P
07/25-00 39 14  3 56 66 SSW  5  5 3 2  NW  6  2243   S  6 10854 P
07/25-01 39 10  2 55 67 SSW  5  5 3 2 WNW  6  2163   S  7 12156 P
07/25-02 39  5  1 55 66 SSW  6  6 3 1 WNW  7  2083   S  7 13333 P
07/25-03 39  3  1 54 66  SW  6  6 3 1   W  8  2004   S  8 14386 P
07/25-04 39  2  0 52 69  SW  6  6 3 1 WNW  9  1845   S  8 13174 P
07/25-05 39  0  0 51 69  SW  6  6 4 1 WNW 10  1686 SSW  8 11974 P
07/25-06 32  3  1 52 66  SW  6  6 4 1 WNW 12  1527  SW  8 10786 P
07/25-07 32  3  1 57 58 WSW  5  5 4 1 WNW 14  4326 WSW  9 33804 P
07/25-08 32  3  1 63 49 WSW  5  5 4 1 WNW 16  7126   W 10 61012   G
07/25-09 32  3  1 69 40 WSW  3  3 4 1 WNW 18  9925 WNW 10 92410   G
07/25-10 32  3  1 72 33 SSW  3  3 4 1 WNW 17 11423 WNW 10104341    V
07/25-11 32  3  1 75 27 ESE  3  3 4 1 WNW 16 12921 WNW 10115744    V
07/25-12 53 21  4 76 23   E  5  5 4 3 WNW 14 14419 WNW 10126619    V
07/25-13 53 21  4 76 23   E  6  6 4 3 WNW 12 14554 WNW  8103868    V
07/25-14 53 21  4 76 24   E  7  7 4 3 WNW  9 14690 WNW  6 80671   G
07/25-15 53 21  4 76 25   E  7  7 4 3 WNW  8 14826 WNW  5 57026  F
07/25-16 53 21  4 75 27   E  6  6 4 3   W  5 13649   W  3 46454  F
07/25-17 53 21  4 73 30 ESE  6  6 3 3  SW  2 12472   S  3 36923 P
07/25-18 68 23  5 71 34  SE  5  5 3 3 SSW  2 11295 SSE  3 28436 P
07/25-19 68 23  5 69 38 SSE  5  5 3 3 SSW  5  9443   S  7 55146  F
07/25-20 68 23  5 65 46   S  6  6 3 3  SW  8  7592   S 10 69551   G
07/25-21 68 23  5 62 54   S  6  6 3 3  SW 12  5740 SSW 14 71653   G
07/25-22 68 23  5 60 58 SSW  6  6 3 3 WSW 10  4525 SSW 14 56365  F
07/25-23 68 23  5 58 63 SSW  5  5 3 3   W  8  3310 SSW 14 41144  F
07/26-00 58  7  1 57 64  SW  5  5 3 1 WNW  7  2096 SSW 14 25990 P
07/26-01 58  7  1 57 64  SW  5  5 3 1 WNW  6  1906  SW 13 20926 P
07/26-02 58  7  1 56 65 WSW  6  6 4 1 WNW  7  1716 WSW 12 16401 P
07/26-03 58  7  1 55 66 WSW  6  6 4 1 WNW  7  1526 WSW  9 12416 P
07/26-04 58  7  1 53 70 WSW  6  6 4 1 WNW  7  1573   W  9 13016 P
07/26-05 58  7  1 52 71   W  7  7 4 1  NW  7  1620   W  9 13629 P
07/26-06 59  7  1 53 66   W  7  7 4 1  NW  6  1668 WNW 10 14255 P
07/26-07 59  7  1 57 55   W  7  7   1
07/26-08 59  7  1 63 43  NW  7  7   1
07/26-09 59  7  1 69 33  NW  7  7   1
07/26-10 59  7  1 72 29 NNW  7  7   1
07/26-11 59  7  1 74 26   N  7  7   1
07/26-12 68 24  5 75 25   N  7  7   3
07/26-13 68 24  5 75 25   N  7  7   3
07/26-14 68 24  5 74 26   N  6  6   3
07/26-15 68 24  5 73 28   N  6  6   3
07/26-16 68 24  5 72 30   N  6  6   3
07/26-17 68 24  5 71 32   N  5  5   3
07/26-18 65 17  3 70 35   N  5  5   3

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...BARJENBRUCH
REQUESTED BY...CAPT SAFE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160723.CECIL.01/BOU



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