Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 301302
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH FORK...NPS, ROCKY MOUNTAIN NP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
702 AM MDT TUE JUN 30 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0644 MDT ON JUNE 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THERE WILL BE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
AFTER 1200 WITH INCREASED CHANCES AROUND 2 PM. STORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS UP TO 45 MPH
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY EVENING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 0700...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1400...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL
                    1500...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........28%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 15 PERCENT LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3 UNTIL
                    1500...THEN 4.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 11000-12000 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900. VERY GOOD AFTER 1200.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(40-50%). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 0400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........74%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    NORTHWEST 8-9 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0400.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 3 UNTIL 0300...THEN 2 UNTIL
                    0400...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8600-9600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 1700-2200 FT AGL
                    AFTER 2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2300.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........42%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 25 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3600 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 7500-8500 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN FAIR.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL
SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR NORTH FORK.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

06/30-06 28  0  0 51 61 WNW  8 13 3 1 NNW 15  1438  NW 10 12516 P
06/30-07 31  1  0 54 55 WNW  8  8 3 1 NNW 16  2322  NW 10 22051 P
06/30-08 35  3  1 57 50  NW  7  7 4 1 NNW 17  3207  NW 12 32985 P
06/30-09 38  4  1 60 46  NW  6  6 4 1 NNW 20  4091  NW 13 45318  F
06/30-10 41  5  1 64 39  NW  6  6 4 1 NNW 21  6352  NW 15 79895   G
06/30-11 44  6  1 68 33 NNW  6  6 3 1  NW 22  8612  NW 16121262    V
06/30-12 51 12  2 71 30   N  6  6 3 2  NW 23 10873  NW 18169416     E
06/30-13 58 17  3 73 29   N  6  6 3 3  NW 21 11448  NW 17166241     E
06/30-14 64 23  5 75 28   N  7  7 3 3  NW 20 12024  NW 15161845     E
06/30-15 68 27  7 76 28   N  7  7 3 4 WNW 17 12600 WNW 14156226     E
06/30-16 71 33 12 76 30   N  7  7 3 4 WNW 17 11657  NW 15149702    V
06/30-17 74 39 17 75 32 NNW  6  6 3 4  NW 18 10715  NW 15142343    V
06/30-18 78 45 22 73 35  NW  6  6 3 4  NW 18  9772  NW 16134149    V
06/30-19 81 44 21 68 44  NW  7  7 3 4  NW 20  8435  NW 16121661    V
06/30-20 81 42 19 64 53  NW  9 15 2 4  NW 21  7097 NNW 17107310    V
06/30-21 81 41 18 60 62  NW 10 16 2 4  NW 22  5760 NNW 18 91098   G
06/30-22 71 34 13 57 69  NW  9 15 2 4  NW 23  4394 NNW 15 57042  F
06/30-23 62 28  8 55 73  NW  8 13 3 4  NW 24  3028  NW 12 30728 P
07/01-00 52 21  4 54 74  NW  7  7 3 3  NW 26  1662  NW  8 12156 P
07/01-01 51 19  4 54 73  NW  7  7 3 3  NW 26  1698  NW  9 14221 P
07/01-02 49 15  3 54 73  NW  7  7 2 3  NW 28  1734  NW 10 16362 P
07/01-03 47 10  2 53 74  NW  7  7 2 2  NW 29  1770  NW 12 18579 P
07/01-04 45  8  2 53 73  NW  7  7 2 1  NW 25  1966  NW 12 19623 P
07/01-05 45  8  2 52 73  NW  7  7 2 1  NW 23  2161 NNW 10 20465 P
07/01-06 46  7  1 53 71  NW  7  7 2 1  NW 20  2357 NNW 10 21107 P
07/01-07 46  7  1 54 69 NNW  6  6 2 1  NW 18  3836 NNW 10 34411 P
07/01-08 46  7  1 57 65   N  5  5 2 1 NNW 17  5315 NNW 10 47757  F
07/01-09 46  7  1 61 58   N  5  5 2 1 NNW 16  6794 NNW 10 59120  F
07/01-10 46  7  1 64 52 NNE  5  5 2 1 NNW 16  7478 NNW 10 66724   G
07/01-11 46  7  1 67 47 NNE  5  5 2 1  NW 17  8161 NNW 10 74632   G
07/01-12 76 48 24 69 44 NNE  5  5 2 4  NW 17  8844  NW 10 82842   G
07/01-13 76 48 24 70 42 NNE  5  5 2 4  NW 16  8661  NW  9 68442   G
07/01-14 76 48 24 70 42 NNE  6  6 2 4 WNW 14  8479  NW  7 54577  F
07/01-15 76 48 24 69 44 NNE  6  6 2 4 WNW 13  8297  NW  6 41246  F
07/01-16 76 48 24 68 46 NNE  6  6 2 4 WNW 13  8095 WNW  6 41394  F
07/01-17 76 48 24 67 48  NE  5  5 2 4 WNW 13  7894 WNW  6 41485  F
07/01-18 76 47 23 65 52  NE  5  5 2 4 WNW 13  7693 WNW  6 41518  F
07/01-19 76 47 23 63 56 ENE  5  5 2 4   W 13  6817   W  6 36703 P
07/01-20 76 47 23 61 60 SSE  6  6 3 4   W 12  5940 WSW  6 31910 P
07/01-21 76 47 23 58 67   S  6  6 3 4   W 10  5064  SW  6 27139 P
07/01-22 76 47 23 56 72   S  6  6 3 4   W 12  4134 SSW  8 27671 P
07/01-23 76 47 23 55 75   S  6  6 3 4   W 12  3204   S  9 25720 P
07/02-00 39 10  2 54 77   S  6  6 3 2   W 13  2273   S 10 21285 P
07/02-01 39 10  2 52 81 SSW  6  6 3 2   W 14  1824 SSW 10 16273 P
07/02-02 39 10  2 51 82 WSW  6  6 3 2 WNW 15  1375  SW  9 11659 P
07/02-03 39 10  2 49 86   W  6  6 3 2 WNW 16   926 WSW  9  7443 P
07/02-04 39 10  2 48 87   W  6  6 3 2 WNW 17  2647   W 13 28284 P
07/02-05 39 10  2 47 88 WNW  6  6 3 2  NW 20  4368  NW 15 58248  F
07/02-06 46 12  2 47 86 WNW  6  6 3 2  NW 22  6089 NNW 18 97333   G
07/02-07 46 12  2 50 76  NW  6  6 3 2  NW 20  5893 NNW 17 85645   G
07/02-08 46 12  2 53 68 NNW  7  7 2 2  NW 18  5697 NNW 15 74526   G
07/02-09 46 12  2 58 57 NNW  7  7 2 2 WNW 17  5501 NNW 14 63975   G
07/02-10 46 12  2 62 50   N  7  7 2 2 WNW 17  6402 NNW 14 75475   G
07/02-11 46 12  2 65 46   N  7  7 2 2 WNW 18  7302  NW 14 87264   G
07/02-12 74 27  7 68 42 NNE  7  7 2 4 WNW 18  8203  NW 14 99343   G
07/02-13 74 27  7 69 41 NNE  7  7 2 4 WNW 20  8166  NW 13 89285   G
07/02-14 74 27  7 69 42  NE  7  7 2 4 WNW 20  8130  NW 12 79314   G
07/02-15 74 27  7 69 42 ENE  7  7 2 4 WNW 20  8093  NW 10 69429   G
07/02-16 74 27  7 69 43  NE  7  7 2 4 WNW 21  7823  NW 10 73230   G
07/02-17 74 27  7 68 45  NE  7  7 2 4 WNW 22  7553  NW 12 76609   G
07/02-18 45 30  9 67 47  NE  7  7 2 4 WNW 23  7282  NW 13 79565   G
07/02-19 45 30  9 65 50 ENE  7  7 2 4  NW 21  6275 NNW 10 57236  F
07/02-20 45 30  9 62 56   E  6  6 2 4  NW 17  5267   N  8 38543 P
07/02-21 45 30  9 58 64 ESE  6  6 2 4  NW 15  4260 NNE  7 23486 P
07/02-22 45 30  9 56 69 ESE  6  6 2 4  NW 16  3896 ENE  6 18082 P
07/02-23 45 30  9 54 73 ESE  5  5 2 4  NW 17  3532  SE  5 13314 P
07/03-00 29  4  1 52 77 ESE  5  5 2 1  NW 18  3169 SSE  3  9179 P
07/03-01 29  4  1 51 78 SSE  3  3 2 1  NW 20  2866   S  5 10212 P
07/03-02 29  4  1 49 82  SW  2  2 2 1 NNW 22  2563 SSW  5 10841 P
07/03-03 29  4  1 48 83   W  2  2 2 1 NNW 24  2260  SW  6 11066 P
07/03-04 29  4  1 47 84   W  2  2 2 1 NNW 25  1986  SW  6  9099 P
07/03-05 29  4  1 46 87   W  3  3 2 1 NNW 26  1713 WSW  5  7306 P
07/03-06 34  7  1 46 86   W  3  3 2 1 NNW 29  1439   W  5  5685 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...BOWEN
REQUESTED BY...MIKE LEWELLING
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150630.NORTH.01/BOU



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