Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 241222
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST DEER MOUNTAIN...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
522 AM MST TUE JAN 24 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MST ON JANUARY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE AREA AND COLD FRONT
WILL BRING COLDER TEMPERATURES...HIGHER HUMIDITIES...AND A CHANCE
OF SNOW SHOWERS TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING. SMOKE DISPERSION
SHOULD BE FAIR TO GOOD FOR A FEW HOURS FROM LATE THIS MORNING
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH SUFFICIENT WIND AND INSTABILITY. GOOD
SMOKE DISPERSION CAN BE EXPECTED AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1100, THEN
                    SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL 1400, THEN CHANCE OF
                    SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 23.
MIN HUMIDITY........54%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5-11 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3500 FT AGL UNTIL 1100, THEN 5100-6100 FT
                    AGL UNTIL 1600, THEN 3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000, THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1400, THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500,
                    THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600, THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW .

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 6 ABOVE.
MAX HUMIDITY........80%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6-7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW .

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 22.
MIN HUMIDITY........45%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6-12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-3300 FT AGL UNTIL 1100, THEN 5800-6800 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000, THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1200, THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1400,
                    THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1500, THEN VERY GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW .

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 6. HIGHS AROUND 20. WEST WINDS
5-12 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 6. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. WEST WINDS
5-6 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS
5-6 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 16.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S.
.MONDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR WEST DEER MOUNTAIN.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

01/24-08 83 48 24 18 62   W 10 16 4 1 WNW 16  1741   W 16 24022 P
01/24-09 87 51 27 19 62   W  9 15 4 1 WNW 18  2965   W 17 43739  F
01/24-10 90 54 29 20 62 WNW  8 13 3 1 WNW 22  4189 WNW 18 65791   G
01/24-11 94 57 33 21 62 WNW  7  7 3 1 WNW 25  5414 WNW 20 90179   G
01/24-12 93 56 32 23 57 WNW  7  7 3 1 WNW 28  5670 WNW 20 95002   G
01/24-13 92 55 30 23 54 WNW  7  7 3 1 WNW 30  5926 WNW 20 99876   G
01/24-14 91 54 29 22 54 WNW  7  7 3 1   W 32  6183 WNW 20104799    V
01/24-15 90 49 25 21 57 WNW  7  7 3 1 WNW 33  4895 WNW 16 67027   G
01/24-16 92 40 18 18 62 WNW  6  6 3 1 WNW 33  3607 WNW 12 37644 P
01/24-17 94 35 13 16 64 WNW  6  6 3 1 WNW 33  2320 WNW  8 16651 P
01/24-18 96 35 13 14 67 WNW  6  6 3 1 WNW 35  2165 WNW  9 16396 P
01/24-19 95 35 13 13 70 WNW  6  6 3 1 WNW 35  2010 WNW  9 16018 P
01/24-20 94 35 13 12 67 WNW  6  6 3 1  NW 35  1855 WNW  9 15518 P
01/24-21 93 34 13 10 73 WNW  7  7 3 1  NW 32  1805 WNW 10 16252 P
01/24-22 93 31 10  8 76 WNW  7  7 3 1  NW 30  1755   W 12 16921 P
01/24-23 92 30  9  7 80   W  8 13 3 1  NW 26  1705   W 12 17528 P
01/25-00 91 30  9  6 79   W  8 13 3 1  NW 24  1698   W 13 19179 P
01/25-01 90 30  9  6 76   W  8 13 3 1  NW 22  1690   W 14 20814 P
01/25-02 86 30  9  7 69   W  8 13 3 1  NW 20  1682   W 15 22433 P
01/25-03 79 30  9  7 72   W  8 14 3 1  NW 22  1664   W 16 22745 P
01/25-04 72 30  9  7 72   W  9 15 3 1  NW 23  1645   W 16 23045 P
01/25-05 68 22  4  7 76   W 10 16 3 1  NW 25  1627   W 16 23332 P
01/25-06 68 22  4  6 77   W 10 16 3 1  NW 23  1640   W 16 23333 P
01/25-07 68 22  4  7 72   W 10 16 3 1  NW 20  1653   W 16 23330 P
01/25-08 68 22  4  8 69   W 10 16 3 1 NNW 17  1666   W 16 22640 P
01/25-09 68 22  4 11 63   W 10 16 3 1  NW 20  2721   W 18 43084  F
01/25-10 68 22  4 14 58   W 10 16 3 1  NW 21  3776 WNW 21 68264   G
01/25-11 87 22  4 17 53   W 10 16 3 1  NW 22  4830 WNW 23 98180   G
01/25-12 87 22  4 20 49   W 10 16 3 1  NW 25  5776 WNW 24119120    V
01/25-13 87 22  4 22 45   W 10 17 3 1  NW 30  6721 WNW 24140627    V
01/25-14 87 22  4 22 45   W 10 16 3 1 WNW 33  7666 WNW 24162701     E
01/25-15 87 22  4 20 47   W 10 16 3 1 WNW 33  6571 WNW 23131737    V
01/25-16 87 22  4 18 49   W  9 15 3 1 WNW 32  5476 WNW 22103349    V
01/25-17 59  9  2 16 51   W  9 15 3 1 WNW 31  4381 WNW 21 77535   G
01/25-18 59  9  2 14 55   W  9 14 3 1 WNW 29  3751 WNW 20 64788   G
01/25-19 59  9  2 13 58   W  8 14 3 1 WNW 25  3121 WNW 20 52576  F
01/25-20 59  9  2 12 61   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 23  2490   W 18 40899  F
01/25-21 59  9  2 10 66   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 22  2261   W 20 37913 P
01/25-22 59  9  2  9 68   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 20  2033   W 20 34772 P
01/25-23 41  6  1  8 69   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 17  1804   W 20 31475 P
01/26-00 41  6  1  8 67   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 17  1852   W 21 33689 P
01/26-01 41  6  1  8 65   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 18  1900   W 22 35974 P
01/26-02 41  6  1  9 60   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 18  1948   W 23 38330 P
01/26-03 41  6  1  9 60   W  8 13 3 1   W 21  1997   W 24 41525  F
01/26-04 41  6  1  9 60   W  8 13 3 1   W 23  2046   W 25 44828  F
01/26-05 37  4  1  8 63   W  8 13 3 1   W 24  2094   W 26 48241  F
01/26-06 37  4  1  7 63   W  8 14 3 1   W 26  2260   W 28 54425  F
01/26-07 37  4  1  6 64   W  9 14 3 1 WNW 29  2426   W 29 60956   G
01/26-08 37  4  1  7 60   W  9 15 3 1 WNW 31  2592   W 30 67834   G
01/26-09 37  4  1  9 57   W  9 15 3 1 WNW 29  3391   W 31 91987   G
01/26-10 37  4  1 13 52   W 10 16 2 1  NW 26  4190 WNW 32117663    V
01/26-11 35  2  0 16 49   W 10 16 2 1  NW 24  4990 WNW 33144863    V
01/26-12 35  2  0 19 45   W 10 17 2 1  NW 26  5524 WNW 32154593     E
01/26-13 35  2  0 20 45   W 10 17 2 1  NW 29  6057 WNW 31163208     E
01/26-14 35  2  0 20 45   W 10 16 2 1  NW 31  6591 WNW 30170708     E
01/26-15 35  2  0 19 45   W  9 15 2 1  NW 30  6050 WNW 30157034     E
01/26-16 35  2  0 17 47   W  9 14 2 1  NW 30  5510 WNW 30143300    V
01/26-17 45  5  1 15 48   W  8 13 2 1  NW 29  4969 WNW 30129507    V
01/26-18 45  5  1 14 49   W  8  8 2 1 NNW 28  4448 WNW 30115323    V
01/26-19 45  5  1 14 49   W  7  7 2 1 NNW 25  3927 WNW 30101280    V
01/26-20 45  5  1 13 50   W  7  7 2 1 NNW 24  3406 WNW 30 87380   G
01/26-21 45  5  1 11 54   W  7  7 2 1 NNW 23  3020 WNW 28 73022   G
01/26-22 45  5  1  8 61   W  7  7 2 1 NNW 22  2634 WNW 26 59804  F
01/26-23 34  3  1  7 63   W  7  7 2 1 NNW 21  2248 WNW 24 47724  F
01/27-00 34  3  1  6 64   W  7  7 2 1   N 21  2102 WNW 24 43271  F
01/27-01 34  3  1  6 61   W  7  7 3 1   N 20  1956 WNW 23 39006 P
01/27-02 34  3  1  7 57   W  7  7 3 1   N 20  1809 WNW 22 34929 P
01/27-03 34  3  1  7 56   W  7  7 3 1   N 22  1769 WNW 22 34332 P
01/27-04 34  3  1  7 56   W  7  7 4 1 NNE 23  1729 WNW 23 33727 P
01/27-05 36  0  0  8 55   W  7  7 4 1 NNE 24  1689 WNW 23 33114 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...BARJENBRUCH
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN FAITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700486.4/BOU


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