Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 041928
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACKTAIL PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
1228 PM MST SUN DEC 4 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 MST ON DECEMBER 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...TODAY AND TONIGHT...NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ACROSS
COLORADO WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT. MOISTURE WILL BE INCREASING TONIGHT
WITH AREAS OF LIGHT SNOW DEVELOPING. ACCUMLATIONS SHOULD BE
AROUND AN INCH OVERNIGHT. SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY AS MOIST
WESTERLY ALOFT CONTINUES OVER THE REGION. COLDER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO
BEGIN MOVING INTO THE STATE TUESDAY.

.TONIGHT...

CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....14-18.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-80%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20-25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW .

.MONDAY...

CWR.................15 PERCENT INCREASING TO 25 PERCENT IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....24-28.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-62%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900, THEN 3100-4100 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100, THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1300, THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500,
                    THEN GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW .


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BLACKTAIL PILES.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

12/04-13 53  1  0 25 51  SW  9 14 2 1   W 45  1450 WSW 14 17773 P
12/04-14 56  1  0 27 53  SW 10 16 2 1   W 43  1562  SW 14 19099 P
12/04-15 59  1  0 26 56  SW 10 18 2 1   W 44  1345 WSW 16 18336 P
12/04-16 62  1  0 25 58  SW 12 18 2 1   W 45  1128 WSW 17 16963 P
12/04-17 65  1  0 23 62  SW 12 20 2 1   W 46   911 WSW 18 14980 P
12/04-18 70  2  0 23 61  SW 13 22 2 1   W 47   844 WSW 20 14540 P
12/04-19 74  3  1 22 61  SW 14 24 2 1   W 47   777 WSW 21 13995 P
12/04-20 79  3  1 22 59  SW 15 25 2 1   W 48   710 WSW 22 13345 P
12/04-21 79  4  1 21 61  SW 15 25 2 1   W 48   702 WSW 22 13251 P
12/04-22 79  5  1 21 61  SW 14 24 2 1   W 48   695 WSW 22 13155 P
12/04-23 79  5  1 20 65  SW 14 23 2 1   W 48   687 WSW 22 13058 P
12/05-00 80 11  2 18 71  SW 14 24 2 1   W 51   716 WSW 22 13370 P
12/05-01 80 16  3 17 76  SW 15 25 2 1   W 52   746 WSW 21 13661 P
12/05-02 81 22  4 17 77  SW 15 25 2 1   W 54   775 WSW 21 13933 P
12/05-03 82 27  7 17 77  SW 15 25 2 1   W 53   727 WSW 21 13154 P
12/05-04 87 27  7 18 74  SW 14 24 2 1   W 52   679 WSW 21 12348 P
12/05-05 91 33 12 18 74  SW 14 22 2 1   W 52   630 WSW 21 11533 P
12/05-06 83 35 13 19 71  SW 14 22 2 1   W 52   712 WSW 21 12872 P
12/05-07 75 36 14 19 72  SW 14 23 2 1   W 52   794 WSW 21 14176 P
12/05-08 71 38 16 20 71  SW 15 24 2 1   W 52   875 WSW 21 15444 P
12/05-09 73 40 18 21 70 WSW 16 25 2 1   W 55  1562 WSW 23 31437 P
12/05-10 79 41 18 23 67 WSW 17 28 3 1   W 60  2249 WSW 26 50836  F
12/05-11 85 43 20 25 63 WSW 18 30 3 1   W 64  2935 WSW 29 73641   G
12/05-12 87 44 21 26 60 WSW 20 31 3 1   W 67  3443 WSW 29 87204   G
12/05-13 87 46 23 26 59   W 20 31 2 1   W 68  3951 WSW 30101010    V
12/05-14 86 48 24 25 60   W 18 30 2 1   W 70  4459   W 30115058    V
12/05-15 85 49 25 23 64   W 16 25 2 1   W 69  3915   W 26 89087   G
12/05-16 86 51 27 21 67   W 13 21 2 1   W 68  3370   W 23 66432   G
12/05-17 87 48 24 18 74 WNW 10 16 2 1   W 66  2826   W 20 47093  F
12/05-18 88 48 24 15 81 WNW  9 15 2 1   W 62  2190   W 16 29704 P
12/05-19 89 48 24 13 84 WNW  8 14 2 1   W 59  1555   W 12 16259 P
12/05-20 89 48 24 11 87 WNW  8 13 2 1   W 55   919   W  8  6760 P
12/05-21 87 48 24  9 89 WNW  7  7 2 1   W 56   848 WSW  8  6218 P
12/05-22 86 48 24  8 87   W  6  6 2 1   W 58   777 WSW  8  5680 P
12/05-23 85 40 18  7 87   W  5  5 2 1   W 59   706 WSW  8  5145 P
12/06-00 87 40 18  7 88   W  5  5 2 1   W 61  1201 WSW 13 12716 P
12/06-01 90 40 18  7 90   W  5  5 3 1   W 62  1695 WSW 16 23555 P
12/06-02 92 40 18  7 91   W  5  5 3 1   W 63  2190 WSW 20 37662 P
12/06-03 90 40 18  7 89   W  6  6 3 1   W 63  2416 WSW 21 43214  F
12/06-04 85 40 18  6 90 WSW  6  6 2 1   W 63  2642 WSW 22 49076  F
12/06-05 83 49 25  5 91 WSW  7  7 2 1   W 62  2867 WSW 22 55251  F
12/06-06 85 49 25  5 90 WSW  8  8 2 1   W 61  2260 WSW 20 38758 P
12/06-07 88 49 25  6 86 WSW  8 13 2 1   W 60  1652 WSW 17 24840 P
12/06-08 92 49 25  8 80 WSW  8 13 2 1   W 59  1045 WSW 15 13494 P
12/06-09 89 49 25 10 73 WSW  7  7 2 1 WSW 59  1625 WSW 16 23162 P
12/06-10 87 49 25 12 68  SW  6  6 3 1 WSW 58  2206  SW 18 34381 P
12/06-11 84 69 51 14 64  SW  6  6 3 1 WSW 58  2786  SW 20 47152  F
12/06-12 87 69 51 15 64 WSW  7  7 3 1 WSW 51  2374 WSW 16 33065 P
12/06-13 91 69 51 15 68   W  8 13 3 1 WSW 44  1962 WSW 13 21448 P
12/06-14 94 69 51 14 73   W  9 15 3 1 WSW 38  1549   W  9 12300 P
12/06-15 93 69 51 12 79   W  9 15 3 1 WSW 33  1572   W 12 15158 P
12/06-16 91 69 51 10 83 WNW  9 15 3 1 WSW 30  1595 NNW 13 18094 P
12/06-17 94 61 39 10 80  NW  9 15 3 1 WSW 26  1618   N 15 21108 P
12/06-18 94 61 39  9 82  NW  9 14 3 1 WSW 24  1610   N 14 19973 P
12/06-19 94 61 39  8 83  NW  8 14 3 1   W 22  1602   N 14 18849 P
12/06-20 94 61 39  7 83 NNW  8 13 3 1   W 20  1594 NNE 13 17736 P
12/06-21 89 61 39  6 81 NNW  7  7 3 1   W 17  1616 NNE 12 15902 P
12/06-22 79 61 39  5 78 NNW  7  7 3 1   W 15  1638 ENE 10 14012 P
12/06-23 74 42 19  4 76 NNW  6  6 3 1   W 13  1660 ENE  8 12065 P
12/07-00 76 42 19  3 77 NNW  6  6 3 1   W 12  1465 ENE  8  9866 P
12/07-01 80 42 19  1 84 NNW  6  6 3 1 WNW 10  1271 NNE  7  7876 P
12/07-02 82 42 19 -1 91 NNW  6  6 3 1 WNW  9  1076 NNE  7  6093 P
12/07-03 78 42 19 -2 92  NW  6  6 3 1 WNW 12  1348 NNE  7  7603 P
12/07-04 69 42 19 -3 94  NW  6  6 3 1  NW 14  1620 NNE  7  9102 P
12/07-05 64  8  2 -4 95  NW  6  6 3 1 NNW 16  1892 NNE  7 10588 P
12/07-06 62  8  2 -3 89 WNW  6  6   1
12/07-07 58  8  2 -2 84 WNW  6  6   1
12/07-08 54  8  2  1 72 WNW  6  6   1
12/07-09 49  8  2  3 64 WNW  6  6   1
12/07-10 45  8  2  6 55   W  7  7   1
12/07-11 43  5  1  8 50   W  7  7   1
12/07-12 41  5  1  9 47   W  7  7   1
12/07-13 38  5  1  9 47   W  8 13   1
12/07-14 35  5  1  9 47   W  8 13   1
12/07-15 32  5  1  8 49   W  8 13   1
12/07-16 29  5  1  6 53 WNW  8 13   1
12/07-17 27  1  0  4 57 WNW  8 13   1

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...DANKERS
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN THOMPSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1603873.0/BOU



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