Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Billings, MT

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000
FNUS75 KBYZ 211339
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAVER CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
739 AM MDT THU AUG 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON AUGUST 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
EXPECT SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO MOVE OVER THE BURN SITE
BEFORE NOON TODAY. RADAR IS SHOWING RAINFALL OVER THE SOUTHERN PART OF
YELLOWSTONE PARK AND MODELS TRACK THIS AREA OF PRECIPITATION INTO THE BIG
HORNS BY 1100. AFTER THIS INITIAL PRECIPITATION PERIODIC SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. CLOUDS
WILL LINGER AROUND THE BURN SITE THIS MORNING AND HUMIDITY MINIMUMS WILL
ONLY FALL TO 50 PERCENT TODAY. HIGH HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AND
FRIDAY WITH AN EVEN STRONGER POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS BY SUNSET TODAY SHOULD BE AROUND .25 INCHES WITH
AN ADDITIONAL .50 INCHES BY SUNSET FRIDAY. BORSUM

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS BY 1100...THEN PERIODIC
                    RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................47 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................31 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................33 PERCENT.
LAL.................4...16 TO 25 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3.

$$
FORECASTER...BORSUM
REQUESTED BY...MIKE ORTNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140821.BEAVE.01/BYZ


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