Suppression Forecast Issued by NWS Columbia, SC
000
FNUS72 KCAE 181149
FWSCAE
SPOT FORECAST FOR COMP 20...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
749 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 EDT ON MAY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
.DISCUSSION...AREA OF RAINFALL ACROSS EASTERN GEORGIA WILL SLOWLY
BE MOVING TOWARDS THE BURN SITE THROUGH THE MORNING. RAINFALL MAY
BE ABLE TO HOLD OFF UNTIL LATE MORNING. MAINLY EXPECTING SHOWERS
THROUGH THE MORNING WITH THE ACTIVITY...BUT MAY BEGIN TO ENCOUNTER
SOME LIGHTNING AS WE ENTER THE AFTERNOON HOURS. MODEL SOUNDINGS
SHOW THE LOW-LEVEL INVERSION REMAINING ACROSS THE SITE AREA UNTIL
AROUND 11 AM...THEN LIFTING THROUGH NOONTIME. NIGHT TIME INVERSION
EXPECTED TO BEGIN SETTING UP AROUND 7 PM THIS EVENING. RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL NOT DROP BELOW 50 PERCENT THROUGH THE DAY.
WINDS AHEAD OF THE RAIN ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTH
TO SOUTHWEST BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND THROUGH THE MIXED LAYER.
WINDS BECOME MORE VARIABLE ONCE THE RAIN MOVES INTO THE AREA.
.TODAY...
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%)..............48 51 54 61 62 63 64 81 82 90
WEATHER COV.......... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE......... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TEMP.................68 71 73 76 78 80 82 82 82 81
RH...................91 83 76 70 64 60 57 56 57 60
20 FT WIND DIR.......S S SW SW SW SW SW SW S S
20 FT WIND DIR.......180 190 220 230 230 220 220 210 200 200
20 FT WIND SPD.......2 2 4 5 5 4 4 4 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST......5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)........0.7 0.9 1.1 2.0 2.5 3.5 4.1 4.7 4.8 4.9
TRANSP WIND DIR......S S SW SW SW SW SW SW S S
TRANSP WIND SPD......6 8 10 13 14 14 14 15 15 15
LVORI................6 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%)..............85 83 85 86 85 82
WEATHER COV..........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE.........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP.................79 75 72 70 67 65
RH...................63 73 79 84 94 100
20 FT WIND...........S 5 SE 5 SE 5 S 4 S 3 S 2
20 FT WIND GUST......10 10 10 10 10 5
MIX HGT (FT).........4100 600 300 400 400 300
TRANSPORT WIND.......S 14 S 10 S 9 S 9 S 8 S 7
LVORI................1 2 3 5 6 9
.SUNDAY...
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%)..............75 56 69 71 72 73
WEATHER COV..........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE.........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP.................64 66 74 80 83 84
RH...................100 100 73 62 57 55
20 FT WIND...........S 2 SW 2 S 4 S 5 S 6 S 6
20 FT WIND GUST......5 5 5 10 10 15
MIX HGT (FT).........300 700 1700 2800 3700 4300
TRANSPORT WIND.......S 8 SW 9 SW 8 SW 7 SW 7 SW 10
LVORI................9 9 3 2 2 1
$$
FORECASTER...LISCINSKY
REQUESTED BY...MARK FRIZZELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130518.COMP2.01/CAE