Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FNUS73 KDDC 271217
FWSDDC

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHEAT GRASS PLOTS...U.S. FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
717 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 CDT ON MAY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...


A FEW WIDELY SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING
BEFORE DIMINISHING AFTER 10 AM. ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTENROON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT.



.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-4200 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    4800-6100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    3500 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 29 TO
                    30 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........31     49     56     66     72
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC  CHANCE LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............70     75     77     80     79
RH..............66     55     55     55     57
20 FT WIND......E 8    SE 10  SE 13  S 14   S 15
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     20     20
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 6    SE 8   SE 10  S 11   S 12
     WIND GUST..10     15     15     20     20
HAINES INDEX....4      3      3      3      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 9
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................70 PERCENT DECREASING TO 60 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 22 TO 29 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 18 MPH IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........74     79     88     94     88     80
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............78     72     69     67     66     64
RH..............60     72     80     86     90     95
20 FT WIND......S 15   S 12   S 8    S 5    S 6    S 8
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     10                   10
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 12   S 10   S 6    S 4    S 5    S 6
     WIND GUST..20     15     10                   10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      5      4

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH 16 TO 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................50 PERCENT DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-3500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 22 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 33 TO 41
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH 36 TO 43 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 32 TO 33 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........74     65     63     61     60     57
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............64     68     72     75     77     78
RH..............98     87     76     69     69     69
20 FT WIND......S 12   S 16   SE 20  S 22   S 20   S 17
20 FT WIND GUST.15     25     30     30     30     25
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 10   S 13   SE 16  S 18   S 16   S 14
     WIND GUST..15     25     30     30     30     25
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      4      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...RUSSELL
REQUESTED BY...BILL WALN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150527.CHEAT.01/DDC



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