Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FNUS73 KDDC 201437
FWSDDC

Spot Forecast for POST...USFWS QUIVIRA NWR
National Weather Service DODGE CITY KS
837 AM CST Tue Feb 20 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 MST on February 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
RH should remain well above 20 percent today with breezy north winds at 15-20 mph.

.TODAY...

CWR.................10 percent.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Scattered
                    flurries early in the morning.
Transport winds.....North 22 to 25 mph.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 4 OR or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
Max temperature.....Around 30.

Time (MST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM
SKY (%).........99     84     63     52
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............20     23     28     30
RH..............67     59     48     44
20 FT WIND......N 18   N 20   N 17   N 15
20 FT WIND GUST.30     30     25     25
HAINES INDEX....2      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

CWR.................0 percent.
Max humidity........62 percent.
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Transport winds.....North 20 to 25 mph.
Mixing height.......1100-3000 ft AGL decreasing to 0-1200 ft AGL in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 13 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 OR or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.
Min temperature.....Around 15.

Time (MST)      5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM
SKY (%).........30     25     27     41     47     43
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............27     24     20     19     17     16
RH..............45     48     50     52     55     57
20 FT WIND......N 14   N 13   N 13   N 13   N 14   N 14
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     15     15     20     20
HAINES INDEX....4      5      5      4      4      4

.WEDNESDAY...

CWR.................0 percent increasing to 20 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Transport winds.....East 13 to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......900-2600 ft AGL.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 10 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 OR or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
Max temperature.....Around 30.

Time (MST)      5 AM   7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM
SKY (%).........46     47     51     60     71     82
WEATHER COV.....                     CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW
TEMP............15     15     20     25     29     30
RH..............64     61     49     38     32     34
20 FT WIND......N 12   NE 13  NE 13  NE 12  NE 10  NE 10
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     20     15     15     15
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      3

$$
Forecaster...HOVORKA
Requested by...BILL WALN
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1802202.0/DDC



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