Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 052350
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR RITO BLANCO PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
450 PM MST MON DEC 5 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 MST ON DECEMBER 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL LIKELY CAUSE SOME SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS AROUND THE AREA...TOWARDS THE EVENING HOURS...BUT THEY
LOOK TO STAY JUST EAST OF THE BURN SITE. SOME GUSTY SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THE WINDS AND
DECENT MIXING WILL ALLOW FOR FAIR SMOKE DISPERSAL FROM 12PM
THROUGH 8PM. EXPECT OCCASIONAL GUSTY WINDS TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT
THOUGH SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL DROP DOWN INTO THE POOR CATEGORY.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS JUST
                    EAST OF THE BURN SITE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....23-28 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR BECOMING FAIR AFTER 12PM.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 MPH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....7-12 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.



$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...JESSE JONES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1603927.0/GJT



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