Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Greer, SC

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FNUS72 KGSP 231142
FWSGSP

Spot Forecast for Old Turkey Creek...NCWRC
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
642 AM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EST on February 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Warm and moist conditions will continue into the weekend until a
cold front crosses east on Sunday. Showers will linger Sunday into
Monday before dry high pressure builds back in on Tuesday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds, becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......800-1900 ft AGL, increasing to 5300-5600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 12 mph, becoming southwest 10 to 15
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (2400-51200 knot-ft), increasing
                    to good (51400 knot-ft) late in the morning.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................10, increasing to 48 in the late morning and
                    afternoon, then decreasing to 33 late.
Stability class.....3.
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........11000, decreasing to 6000 in the late morning
                    and afternoon, then increasing to 9000 late.
Visibility (SM).....7.
Sfc pressure (in)...27.58.

TIME (EST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........53  50  45  41  44  46  50  52  54  55  60
Weather cov.....                    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............58  62  65  68  71  73  74  75  75  74  71
Dewpoint........53  54  56  57  57  57  57  56  56  55  55
RH..............85  77  70  67  62  58  55  52  51  51  56
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   4   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.5   5   6   7   8   10  10  10  10  10  7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.9 3.0 4.1 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.9 5.3 5.6 5.6
Transp wind dir.SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.3   7   12  14  15  15  14  13  13  12  10
LVORI...........5   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............3   17  37  52  57  58  55  38  40  37  33
VRate kt-ft/10002   12  29  51  56  57  55  56  56  55  51
Ceiling (hft)...120 120 110 70  70  70  60  60  80  80  90
Visibility (sm).7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
Sfc pres (in)...767 767 767 767 765 764 762 761 760 759 758

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent), then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent), then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers until early morning, then a slight
                    chance of rain late. Patchy fog late.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......4000-5700 ft AGL, decreasing to 1700-3500 ft
                    AGL late in the evening.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (11600-48500 knot-ft).
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................6.
Stability class.....5.
Pcpn amount.........0.03 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........9000, decreasing to 4500 after midnight.
Visibility (SM).....4.
Sfc pressure (in)...27.48.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........60  59  57  58  45  64  72  68  68  71  76  79
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RNF RNF RNF
Tstm cov........
Temp............68  66  64  63  62  61  60  59  58  57  57  56
Dewpoint........55  54  54  54  54  54  54  54  54  54  54  54
RH..............61  66  70  74  76  79  81  82  84  88  90  92
20 FT wind dir..S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   4   5   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...5.7 5.7 5.1 4.6 4.0 3.5 2.9 2.4 2.2 1.9 1.7 1.7
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  9   8   7   7   7   8   8   8   8   8   8
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   5   5   6   6
ADI.............7   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
VRate kt-ft/100049  45  37  29  24  21  19  17  15  14  12  12
Ceiling (hft)...100 100 110 120 120 100 90  60  50  50  45  45
Visibility (sm).7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   5   4
Sfc pres (in)...758 758 757 757 757 756 755 754 752 750 749 748

$$
Forecaster...Pat Moore
Requested by...Jonathan McCall
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1802410.0/GSP



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