Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

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000
FNUS74 KLIX 282320
FWSLIX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CPT G-06-08...U.S. FWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
620 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVER THE AREA THROUGH
TONIGHT BEFORE MOVING EASTWARD ON SUNDAY. RAIN CHANCES BEGIN TO
INCREASE ON MONDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES TOWARD THE AREA BUT
STALLS BEFORE REACHING THE COAST. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
WILL BRING SCATTERED TO POSSIBLY NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TO THE REGION WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY.

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........26  29  29  29  22  22  22  32  32  32  33  33
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............61  57  55  53  51  50  49  48  48  48  48  47
RH..............51  62  69  74  80  83  83  83  80  80  80  83
DEWPOINT........43  44  45  45  45  45  44  43  42  42  42  42
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   SSE SE  E   E   ENE E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   4   5   5   5   5   6   6   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  15  15  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.5 2.9 2.9 2.9 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.9
MIX HGT (KM)....1.4 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE  ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE
TRANSP WIND SPD.2   1   1   1   7   7   7   15  15  15  18  18
TRANS SPD (M/S).1   0   0   0   3   3   3   7   7   7   8   8
DISPERSION......12  4   4   4   12  12  5   10  10  10  12  12
LVORI...........2   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.SUNDAY...
TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........33     32     32     32     39     39
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............46     49     58     66     71     70
RH..............86     83     64     56     53     59
DEWPOINT........42     44     46     50     53     55
20 FT WIND......E 5    E 6    SE 6   SSE 6  S 7    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....900    2000   2800   2800   3400   3300
MIX HGT (M).....270    610    850    850    1040   1010
TRANSPORT WIND..ESE 18 SE 20  SSE 18 SSE 18 S 17   S 18
TRAN WIND (M/S).ESE 8  SE 9   SSE 8  SSE 8  S 8    S 8
DISPERSION......12     13     12     57     59     62
LVORI...........4      4      2      1      1      1
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     0      0      0      0      0

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........39     33     33     33     22     22
WEATHER COV.....                                   PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG
TEMP............67     63     61     61     62     61
RH..............68     84     93     90     87     93
DEWPOINT........56     58     59     58     58     59
20 FT WIND......S 6    S 6    S 6    S 6    SSW 6  SSW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3300   2800   2300   2300   1900   2000
MIX HGT (M).....1010   850    700    700    580    610
TRANSPORT WIND..S 18   SSW 22 SSW 24 SSW 24 SSW 25 SW 24
TRAN WIND (M/S).S 8    SSW 10 SSW 11 SSW 11 SSW 11 SW 11
DISPERSION......62     68     65     16     17     16
LVORI...........1      3      4      5      4      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0

1. FOG IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT BUT TOMORROW NIGHT FOG
   COULD BECOME A PROBLEM AS BETTER MOISTURE RETURNS FROM
   THE GULF. LIGHT TO MODERATE FOG WOULD BE POSSIBLE BUT
   AS USUAL SMOKE PARTICULATES LEFT IN THE AREA COULD MAKE
   THINGS A TAD WORSE IN THAT SPECIFIC AREA.

2. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO COME AROUND OUT OF THE SOUTH
   BY MIDDAY ANYWAY SO THERE SHOULD BE LITTLE INFLUENCE
   FROM ANY SEABREEZE CHARACTERISTIC.

3. WINDS WILL NOT BE STRONG BUT YES NOT ANTICIPATING WINDS
   TO GO CALM AND SHOULD MAINTAIN MOSTLY A SW COMPONENT.
   IF WINDS DUE RELAX ENOUGH THEN DIRECTION WILL BE DIFFICULT
   TO MAINTAIN BUT SHOULD STILL MOSTLY A SW WIND.

4. BEARING ON TOMORROW...IN SHORT NONE. EXPLANATION FOR TODAY
   THE POINT FORECAST MATRIX HAD 65 AND THE HIGH AT PQL GOT
   TO 62. THAT ISNT TOO FAR OFF BUT AS FOR WHY...WE WENT A
   TAD HIGHER BECAUSE GUIDANCE HAS BEEN TOO COLD MOST OF THE
   SEASON. WINDS CAME OUT OF THE SOUTH AND PICKED UP DURING
   THE AFTERNOON AND THIS KEPT THE TEMPERATURE FROM RISING
   THOSE EXTRA FEW DEGREES.

5. 20% MONDAY...LESS THAN A TENTH.

$$
FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT SAUCIER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150328.CPTG0.01/LIX


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