Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

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145
FNUS74 KLIX 092252
FWSLIX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SAVANNA RESTORATION...U.S. FWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
452 PM CST TUE FEB 9 2016

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.  A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO SWEEP ACROSS THE GULF
SOUTH ON MONDAY.

1. EXPECT AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES TO BOTTOM OUT AROUND
25 PERCENT DURING THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON HOURS ON WEDNESDAY.

2. NORTHWEST WINDS SHOULD BE LESS GUSTY ON WEDNESDAY AS WHAT HAS
BEEN SEEN THE LAST TWO DAYS.

3. THE RAIN EXPECTED MONDAY WOULD LIKELY BE IN THE FORM OF
SCATTERED SHOWERS...LINGERING INTO MONDAY NIGHT. RAIN AMOUNTS
ONE QUARTER INCH OR LESS EXPECTED.

4. NOT EXPECTING MUCH RECOVERY IN RH ON WEDNESDAY WITH MINIMA
REMAINING IN THE 20-25 PERCENT RANGE. GRADUAL RECOVERY ON
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...35-40 PERCENT THURSDAY AND AROUND 55
PERCENT FRIDAY.

5. FIRE WEATHER WATCH CRITERIA IN LOUISIANA...KEETCH-BYRUM
DROUGHT INDEX GREATER THAN 700...RH 25-30 PERCENT...WIND GREATER
THAN 20 MPH. FOR RED FLAG WARNING...SAME KEETCH-BYRUM...RH
LESS THAN 25 PERCENT...WINDS GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO 25 MPH.
BOTH IN COORDINATION WITH STATE FORESTRY/FOREST SERVICE.
CURRENT KEETCH-BYRUM IS LESS THAN 300.

.WEDNESDAY...
TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........0      2      3      3      1      1
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............31     31     40     48     53     54
RH..............69     66     44     33     29     34
DEWPOINT........22     21     20     20     22     26
20 FT WIND......NNW 6  NNW 6  NW 6   NW 5   WNW 5  W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....800    1700   2500   2800   3100   2800
MIX HGT (M).....240    520    760    850    940    850
TRANSPORT WIND..N 9    NNW 10 NNW 12 NW 9   WNW 9  W 8
TRAN WIND (M/S).N 4    NNW 4  NNW 5  NW 4   WNW 4  W 4
DISPERSION......6      6      6      6      6      6
LVORI...........3      3      2      2      2      2
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........1      0      0      0      0      1
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............52     48     46     45     44     43
RH..............41     51     58     65     73     86
DEWPOINT........29     31     32     34     36     39
20 FT WIND......W 5    WSW 5  SW 5   SW 6   SSW 6  SSW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....2000   1200   700    600    300    100
MIX HGT (M).....610    370    210    180    90     30
TRANSPORT WIND..WSW 6  SW 9   SSW 12 SW 12  SW 8   SSW 6
TRAN WIND (M/S).WSW 3  SW 4   SSW 5  SW 5   SW 4   SSW 3
DISPERSION......8      8      8      8      8      8
LVORI...........2      2      3      3      3      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0

$$
FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS LEROUGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160209.SAVAN.01/LIX



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