Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FNUS76 KLOX 260325
FWSLOX

Spot Forecast for Oak Flat Pile Burn...USFS ANF
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
725 PM PST Sat Feb 25 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 PST on February 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A couple of weak weather systems are expected to move
across the region over the next few days. The first, a cold quick
moving system coming down from the north. Light rain will begin to
spread across the Los Angeles County Mountains after midnight and
persist through much of Sunday. There should be a few breaks from the
rain later Sunday afternoon. However another system will move in from
the west likely bringing more light rain to the area Sunday evening
into Monday. Winds are expected to be relatively light out of the
south to southwest. Relative humidities will remain high through
Tuesday morning. Moderate northerly winds will kick in by Tuesday
afternoon, turning offshore by Wednesday. Expect significant warming
and lower humidities for the second half of the week.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly Cloudy with periods of light rain.
Temperature.........At Ignition...36-38. Max 45-47.
RH..................At Ignition...85-90 Percent. Min 55-60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......At ignition...Winds variable 2-4 mph. Becoming
                    southwest 6 to 12 mph in the afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........Southwest winds around 6 mph increasing to 10 to
                    15 mph in the afternoon. Gusts to 20 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1000 ft or below AGL increasing to 4500 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South to southwest 6 to 12 mph.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
                    evening, then slight chance of rain showers
                    after midnight.
Temperature.........Min 34-36.
RH..................Max 90-95 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 6 to 12 mph in the early
                    evening...with gusts to 20 mph. winds becoming
                    variable 2 to 4 mph after midnight.
Ridgetop............Southwest winds 6 to 12 mph with gusts to 20 mph
                    in the early evening...lowering to 4 to 8 mph after
                    midnight.
Mixing height.......2000 to 3000 ft AGL early evening decreasing to aob 1000 ft AGL
                    after midnight.
Transport winds.....southwest 5 to 10 mph.


$$
Forecaster...KAPLAN
Requested by...Larry Medrano
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702759.1/LOX
.EMAIL lmedrano@fs.fed.us



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