Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2
372
FNUS74 KLZK 211342
FWSLZK

Spot Forecast for Warren Easter Island Rx fire...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
825 AM CDT Thu Sep 21 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on September 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service Immediately.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry conditions will be seen through this afternoon...with maybe
an isolated shower or thunderstorm. Heat index values will rise
to 95-100 this afternoon.


.TODAY...

Temperature.........76 at ignition...Max 91.
RH..................89 percent at ignition...Min 49 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 8 mph.
Stability class.....B.
20 Foot Winds.......Winds southeast at 4 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Light winds becoming south
                    around 5 mph in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2 early in the morning.
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Dispersion..........10 increasing to 21 in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 4.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 5600 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 5753 ft MSL.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............76  79  83  86  89  90  90  91  89
RH..............89  84  73  64  56  54  51  49  54
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
Eye lvl wnd gst.5   5   5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   7   7   7   8   8   8
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

Temperature.........Min 71.
RH..................Max 90 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 10 mph.
Stability class.....E.
20 Foot Winds.......Light winds.
LVORI...............1.
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Dispersion..........22 decreasing to 4 early in the evening.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....Light winds.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 4500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 4703 ft MSL.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............87  85  82  80  78  77  76  76  75  75  74  74
RH..............60  66  70  75  80  83  85  85  87  87  87  87
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
Eye lvl wnd gst.5   5   5   5   5   5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   9   9   9   10  10  9   8   7   6
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0

.FRIDAY...

Temperature.........Max 94.
RH..................Min 48 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Transport winds.....East 1 to 7 mph.
Stability class.....B.
20 Foot Winds.......Light winds.
LVORI...............1 early in the morning.
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Dispersion..........7 increasing to 17 late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....Light winds.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 7200 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 7417 ft MSL.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............73  73  75  79  83  86  89  91  92  93  93  92
RH..............90  90  84  77  70  63  56  52  51  49  49  51
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Eye lvl wnd spd.2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   NE  E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.5   3   3   3   3   2   2   1   3   5   7   7
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

$$
Forecaster...W Gilmore
Requested by...Kyle Lapham
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1716098.0/LZK
.EMAIL klapham@tnc.org



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.