Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 032331
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR NATIONAL CREEK COMPLEX...USFS RRF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
431 PM PDT THU SEP 3 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1630 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD AREA OF UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD
TONIGHT AND OVER THE AREA ON FRIDAY.  THIS WILL BRING A MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIRMASS TO THE AREA. EXPECT HIGHER HUMIDITIES, COOLER
TEMPERATURES, AND SHOWERS ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
ON FRIDAY. BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUED THIS EVENING, LOWERING
OVERNIGHT BEFORE INCREASING AGAIN ON FRIDAY. THE UPPER LOW WILL
GRADUALLY SHIFT EAST FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY WITH SHOWERS DIMINISHING
FRIDAY NIGHT OVER THE AREA. SNOW LEVELS WILL FALL TO AROUND 6000 FT
FRIDAY NIGHT, SO LIGHT SNOW IS POSSIBLE IN SOME CONTINUED SHOWERS
FRIDAY NIGHT. EXPECT CONTINUED NORTHWEST WINDS THROUGH SATURDAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 2 TO 4 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING NORTH 0 TO 2 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING,
                    THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE 0 TO 1 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING NORTH 3 TO 5 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING
                    THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE 0 TO 2 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-57.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS 0 TO 1 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING, BECOMING NORTHWEST WINDS 1 TO 2 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO
                    2 TO 4 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING, BECOMING NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO
                    6 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.

.FORECAST DAY 3...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
20 FOOT WINDS: NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 4 TO 10 MPH
LATE IN THE NIGHT. CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN: 40 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 30S. HIGHS 51 TO 61. 20-FOOT WINDS: NORTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 10 MPH
IN THE MORNING, INCREASING TO 6 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...RUTH JOHNSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150903.NATIO.01/MFR



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