Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 220133
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Chetco Bar Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Medford OR
633 PM PDT Sat Oct 21 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 0700 PDT on October 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A frontal boundary will bring more wetting rain to the
burn area on Sunday. The front will also bring gusty south to southwest
winds on Sunday. Winds will diminish late Sunday. Humidity will be
high Sunday into Sunday night before lowering sharply on Monday as a
thermal trough pattern and northeast winds develop. Dry and warm
conditions are expected through next weekend under an upper ridge of
high pressure. Afternoon humidity next week will be in the 20s and
30s, and moderate humidity recoveries are expected (with poor
recoveries possible at times).

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Rain in the morning, then widespread showers in
                    the afternoon. 0.5 to 1 inch.
Max temperature.....57-61.
Min humidity........85-90 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....South to southwest 4 to 8 mph. Gusts up to 14 mph
decreasing to 10 mph in the afternoon.
WIND (20 FT)........South to southwest 10 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph
                    decreasing to 25 mph in the afternoon.
CWR.................100 percent.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers in the
                    evening.
Min temperature.....49-52.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....East 1 to 2 mph.
WIND (20 FT)........East 3 to 6 mph.
CWR.................15 percent.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming
                    sunny. Areas of fog in the morning.
Max temperature.....73-77.
Min humidity........35-45 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....Northeast winds 2 to 4 mph with gusts to 7
mph.
WIND (20 FT)........Northeast winds 6 to 12 with gusts to 20 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.

$$
Forecaster...KEENE
Requested by...Rich Reneau
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1716895.15/MFR



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