Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
000
FNUS72 KMHX 301123
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ISLAND CREEK...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
723 AM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JUNE 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A TYPICAL SUMMER TIME PATTERN IS EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE
WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE OFFSHORE AND A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE TO
THE WEST. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER INLAND AREAS BY LATE NEXT
WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH...WITH GUSTS 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............11  16  20  25  27  27  26  25
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................84  87  89  90  92  91  91  90
RH..................55  50  45  42  40  41  42  44
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......5   6   7   7   8   9   9   10
20 FT WIND GUST.....    10  10  15  15  15  15  15
LVORI...............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................40  48  47  45  46  38  45  53
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 15
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 23 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND
                    13 MPH LATE.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............24  23  23  26  31  36  41  46  48  50  53  56
WEATHER COV.........        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP................89  87  85  83  81  80  79  79  78  77  77  76
RH..................47  52  57  63  67  69  74  74  79  82  82  85
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......10  10  10  10  9   9   8   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10
LVORI...............1   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4
ADI.................57  27  29  29  14  14  24  26  26  22  18  11
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   4   4

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 15
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 16 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............59  62  63  61  58  54  50  47  45  45  46  47
WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH                     SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW                      RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............SCH SCH                     SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP................76  77  78  82  85  88  89  90  91  91  90  89
RH..................87  85  82  72  65  57  56  54  52  52  54  56
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......6   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
LVORI...............4   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................13  22  21  34  46  55  75  73  71  69  68  67
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

$$
FORECASTER...FREDERICK
REQUESTED BY...DAVID NELSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150630.ISLAN.01/MHX



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.