Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 211345
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR B-71...EGLIN AFB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
745 AM CST FRI NOV 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON NOVEMBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A DRY AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION
ONE MORE DAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN
STATES. DISPERSION OVER THE BURN AREA TODAY WILL BE GOOD. AN INCREASE
IN MOISTURE AND RAIN CHANCES WILL OCCUR SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
MOVES EAST OF THE REGION.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...LIGHT PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE
IN RURAL AND LOW LYING AREAS DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 7 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH INCREASING TO
                    EAST-NORTHEAST AROUND 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 65.
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....B.

TIME (CST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........7      24     24     24
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............61     67     68     65
RH................54     43     42     47
20 FT WIND DIR....ENE    E      E      E
20 FT WIND SPD....6      8      8      8
20 FT WIND GUST...       16     16     16
MIX HGT (FT)......1500   2700   2700   4000
MIX HGT (M).......460    820    820    1220
TRANSP WIND DIR...ENE    E      E      ENE
TRANSP WIND SPD...13     16     16     18
TRANS SPD (M/S)...6      7      7      8
DISPERSION........24     48     48     65
LVORI.............2      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      B      B
CWR...............0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 7 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 12 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....6.
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 4 IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
STABILITY CLASS.....F.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........17     17     17     15     15     15
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............59     53     50     50     50     50
RH................63     75     80     79     80     83
20 FT WIND DIR....E      E      E      E      E      E
20 FT WIND SPD....4      4      5      5      5      6
20 FT WIND GUST...                                   13
MIX HGT (FT)......400    400    400    400    400    500
MIX HGT (M).......120    120    120    120    120    150
TRANSP WIND DIR...E      E      E      E      E      E
TRANSP WIND SPD...7      7      8      9      9      12
TRANS SPD (M/S)...3      3      4      4      4      5
DISPERSION........4      4      4      6      6      8
LVORI.............3      3      4      4      4      4
STABILITY CLASS...F      F      F      F      F      F
CWR...............10     10     10     10     10     10

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST-NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH INCREASING TO
                    EAST-SOUTHEAST IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 13 TO 17 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....18 INCREASING TO 27 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 3 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....C.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........53     53     53     76     76     76
WEATHER COV.......S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP..............50     55     60     63     63     62
RH................87     80     73     71     73     79
20 FT WIND DIR....ENE    ENE    E      ESE    ESE    ESE
20 FT WIND SPD....8      8      11     12     12     12
20 FT WIND GUST...15     15     21     23     23     23
MIX HGT (FT)......500    500    900    1200   1200   1600
MIX HGT (M).......150    150    270    370    370    490
TRANSP WIND DIR...ENE    ENE    E      E      E      E
TRANSP WIND SPD...13     13     17     17     17     16
TRANS SPD (M/S)...6      6      8      8      8      7
DISPERSION........15     15     21     25     25     28
LVORI.............4      4      3      3      3      3
STABILITY CLASS...C      C      C      C      C      C
CWR...............20     20     20     30     30     30

$$
FORECASTER...22
REQUESTED BY...BRETT WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141121.B71__.01/MOB




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