Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 312128
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR DESOTO BLOCK 1067...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
328 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON JANUARY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LIGHT SOUTHEAST WIND EXPECTED TONIGHT UNDER THE
SOUTHERN EDGE OF A HIGH MOVING EAST OVER THE ATLANTIC. WIND WILL VEER
SOUTHWEST BY SUNDAY AS A SURFACE LOW OVER THE GULF BRINGS NUMEROUS TO
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE WELL ABOVE
HEADLINE CRITERIA. DISPERSION SUNDAY IN THE HIGH 20S NORTHWEST IN THE
MID 40S TO MID 50S IN FLORIDA DECREASING ELSEWHERE TO THE NORTHWEST
BECOMING HIGH 20S TO LOW 30S OVER SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI. DISPERSION IN
THE 60S TO NEAR 70 SUNDAY.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...NO SIGNIFICANT FOG EXPECTED.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST-SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 6.
STABILITY CLASS.....E.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........62     62     62     79     79     79
WEATHER COV.......                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP..............53     51     50     50     51     52
RH................63     71     77     83     82     86
20 FT WIND DIR....ESE    ESE    ESE    ESE    ESE    ESE
20 FT WIND SPD....5      5      5      5      5      5
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......300    300    300    300    300    200
MIX HGT (M).......90     90     90     90     90     60
TRANSP WIND DIR...ESE    ESE    ESE    E      E      ESE
TRANSP WIND SPD...6      6      5      5      5      5
TRANS SPD (M/S)...3      3      2      2      2      2
DISPERSION........6      6      5      4      4      4
LVORI.............3      3      4      5      5      6
STABILITY CLASS...E      E      E      E      E      E
CWR...............0      0      0      20     20     20

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 700 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 1300 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH
                    AROUND 13 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO SOUTH-SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON DECREASING TO AROUND 13 MPH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....11 INCREASING TO 27 EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 14 LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5 DECREASING TO 4 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....C BECOMING D IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........92     92     92     95     95     95
WEATHER COV.......LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE......RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP..............53     57     62     64     64     64
RH................93     85     81     85     81     83
20 FT WIND DIR....ESE    ESE    SSE    S      S      SSW
20 FT WIND SPD....5      5      7      8      8      8
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......200    200    700    1300   1300   800
MIX HGT (M).......60     60     210    400    400    240
TRANSP WIND DIR...SE     SE     S      SSW    SSW    SSW
TRANSP WIND SPD...6      6      13     18     18     13
TRANS SPD (M/S)...3      3      6      8      8      6
DISPERSION........7      7      14     27     27     14
LVORI.............5      5      4      4      4      4
STABILITY CLASS...C      C      C      D      D      D
CWR...............60     60     60     60     60     60

$$
FORECASTER...12
REQUESTED BY...CLIFF WILLIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150131.DESOT.03/MOB







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