Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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FNUS73 KPAH 241446
FWSPAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR ASHBY...SHAWNEE NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
946 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0939 CDT ON OCTOBER 24.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

DRY AND WARM WEATHER IS IN STORE RIGHT ON THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
OTHER THAN A WEAK DRY FRONT MOVING THROUGH SATURDAY...HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BE THE DOMINANT WEATHER FEATURE. IT WILL REMAIN WARM
MONDAY...THEN A FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH TUESDAY WITH A GOOD CHANCE
OF RAIN...FOLLOWED BY A MODEST COOL DOWN THE REST OF NEXT WEEK.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........49 AT REQUEST...MAX 69.
RH..................94 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 3 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT REQUEST...MAX 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE 200-1400 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 2400-3700 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 1200 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............49  51  57  62  66  68  69  69  68  64
RH..............94  83  73  64  56  52  53  53  54  63
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.6 1.4 2.4 3.2 3.6 3.7 3.3 2.4 1.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.3   5   7   8   9   9   8   7   7   6
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51.
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 8 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............61     58     56     54     54     53
RH..............72     83     86     90     93     96
20 FT WIND......SW 2   SW 2   SW 2   SW 2   SW 2   SW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....300    100    300    300    300    200
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 6   S 3    S 3    S 5    SW 7   SW 8
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....5      5      4      3      3      3

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 78.
RH..................MIN 52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM      10 AM     1 PM      4 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY     PCLDY     MCLEAR    MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............53        64        74        76
RH..............100       73        55        52
20 FT WIND......SW 2G5    W 3G5     W 3G5     NW 3G5
MIX HGT (FT)....300       600       1600      2000
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 8      W 9       W 9       NW 13
CWR.............0         0         0         0
HAINES INDEX....3         5         5         5

$$
FORECASTER...TREVINO
REQUESTED BY...JENNIFER PARRISH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20141024.ASHBY.01/PAH




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