Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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496
FNUS73 KPAH 171413
FWSPAH

Spot Forecast for Hampton...USFWS
National Weather Service Paducah KY
813 AM CST Fri Feb 17 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CST on February 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
We will have one more day of dry conditions before moisture
increases across the region late tonight into Saturday. Minimum
RH values will bottom out in the upper 20s to lower 30s across a
good part of the area today. Surface winds should remain below 15 mph
but fuel moistures are critically low in many locations. Small
rain chances will begin late tonight and into Saturday, but dry
weather will return for Saturday night into Sunday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........52 at ignition...Max 69.
RH..................61 percent at ignition...Min 36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds southwest at 9 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise South winds 7 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 1100-2700
                    ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 16 mph increasing to 12 to 20
                    mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0
Temp............52     63     69     66
RH..............61     41     36     40
20 FT wind dir..SW     SW     SW     S
20 FT wind spd..9      9      10     10
20 FT wind gust.15     15     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....1400   2000   2600   2400
Transp wind dir.SW     SW     SW     SW
Transp wind spd.14     16     20     16
Haines index....4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 48.
RH..................Max 93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......CLEAR  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............59     55     52     51     51     50
RH..............49     61     71     74     77     80
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      SW     SW     SW
20 FT wind spd..8      8      8      7      7      7
20 FT wind gust.10     10     10     10     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....1700   1500   1300   1200   1200   1200
Transp wind dir.S      S      SW     SW     SW     SW
Transp wind spd.8      8      8      8      13     13
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 63.
RH..................Min 65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 6 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......1200-3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............48     50     54     58     62     62
RH..............89     89     83     75     67     67
20 FT wind dir..S      S      SW     SW     SW     SW
20 FT wind spd..6      7      7      7      7      6
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (ft)....1200   1200   1600   2200   2300   2700
Transp wind dir.SW     SW     SW     SW     SW     SW
Transp wind spd.10     10     12     13     15     14
Haines index....3      2      2      2      2      2

$$
Forecaster...TREVINO
Requested by...David Jones
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702360.0/PAH
.EMAIL David_jones@fws.gov



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