Suppression Forecast
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FNUS71 KPBZ 200521
FWSPBZ

Spot Forecast for Wilds 4 / Beetle Paririe...Lore City VFD
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
1221 AM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EST on February 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (412) 262-1485, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.Discussion...

Dry and warm conditions will continue until a frontal system
crosses the region Tuesday night. Well above normal
temperatures are expected through the end of the work week.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent)...then becoming
                    sunny (20-30 percent). Areas of dense fog in
                    the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL...increasing to 1600-2700 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 1 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4...or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........65  78  58  39  19  22  25  27  25  23  22  20
Weather cov.....ARS ARS ARS ARS PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............34  35  37  41  45  50  55  59  63  65  65  62
RH..............100 100 100 95  84  72  63  56  49  44  43  46
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  S   S   SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..1   1   2   2   1   2   2   2   2   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.                            5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.7 2.2 2.5 2.7 2.6 2.3 1.6
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.1   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   5   6   6   6
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent)...then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds...becoming south
                    around 5 mph late.
Mixing height.......0-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4...or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6 PM         10 PM        2 AM
Sky (%).........18           25           40
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE         NONE         NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0            0            0
LAL.............1            1            1
Temp............58           48           45
RH..............53           74           78
20 FT wind......E 2G5        SE 3G5       SE 3G5
Mix hgt (ft)....800          100          100
Transport wind..E 6          SE 5         SE 5
Haines index....4            4            4

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Showers
                    likely...mainly in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......0 increasing to 1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 14 mph...becoming west 7 to 15
                    mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 4...or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........60     68     75     82     79     78
Weather cov.....              S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     20     30     40     60
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............45     48     55     61     64     64
RH..............81     79     71     62     60     63
20 ft wind......S 4    S 5    SW 5   SW 6   SW 6   W 5
20 ft wind gust.10     10     10     15     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....BLW100 400    1200   1700   1400   500
Transport wind..S 5    S 7    SW 12  SW 15  SW 14  W 9
Haines index....4      4      3      3      2      3

$$
Forecaster...FRIES
Requested by...Jeff Tucker
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702461.0/PBZ
.EMAIL jtucker61@windstream.net


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