Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD

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000
FNUS73 KUNR 251141
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR PIONEER RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
541 AM MDT SAT OCT 25 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MDT ON OCTOBER 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE AREA WILL RESULT IN LOW
MIXING HEIGHTS AND RELATIVELY WEAK 20 FT AND TRANSPORT WINDS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL THUS BE POOR TODAY. A STORM SYSTEM WILL
APPROACH THE NORTHERN PLAINS SUNDAY BRINGING GUSTIER WINDS AND
MUCH BETTER SMOKE DISPERSAL. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR RAIN
SHOWERS SUNDAY NIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 75.
RH..................61 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 4
                    TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 TO 1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 7
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47.
RH..................MAX 68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 TO 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 75.
RH..................MIN 21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 18
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 TO 5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD LATE IN THE
                    MORNING.

$$
FORECASTER...CALDERON
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN DAUNT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141025.PIONE.01/UNR






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