Ice Forecast
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FZUS81 KCLE 302321
ICELIO

GREAT LAKES ICE OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OHIO
615 PM EST FRI JAN 30 2015

ACTIVE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN
BE FOUND AT...HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=HAZ&L=GL&P=A

5 DAY ICE DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES WILL BUILD TO THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES ON SATURDAY WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS. MEANWHILE A WEAK
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN LAKES...WITH AN
ARCTIC COLD FRONT STALLING BEHIND IT. A GALE WATCH AND FREEZING SPRAY
WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST HALF OF LAKE SUPERIOR ON SATURDAY
AS THE ARCTIC FRONT PUSHES SOUTH. LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK FROM THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY FROM SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. A GALE
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERLY WINDS ON THE SOUTH HALF OF LAKE
MICHIGAN FROM SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE TO
20 TO 25 KNOTS ON LAKE ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO DURING THIS TIME.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OUT OF CANADA AS THIS SYSTEM DEPARTS...
WITH ARCTIC AIR SETTLING SOUTH OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GREAT LAKES.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES ON TUESDAY AS
THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS NORTHEAST OUT OF THE PLAINS.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL ON THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES SATURDAY
AND THE ENTIRE REGION ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM FROM
WEST TO EAST FROM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES START TO DROP
BACK BELOW NORMAL AGAIN BY MID-WEEK.

RAPID ICE GROWTH IS EXPECTED ON LAKE SUPERIOR DURING THE EARLY PART OF
THE WEEK. LAKE HURON WILL SEE MODERATE ICE GROWTH THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD WITH ICE EXPANDING IN ANY BREAKS ON LAKE ERIE. ICE GROWTH WILL
BE SLOWER ON LAKE MICHIGAN WHERE THE COLDER AIR WILL NOT LINGER AS LONG.
INCREASING NORTHERLY WINDS ON LAKE ERIE COULD CAUSE SHIPPING TRACKS TO
CLOSE LEADING TO DIFFICULT NAVIGATION ON SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY NEXT WEEK.
PRESSURING AND RIDGING IS ALSO POSSIBLE ON LAKE ERIE.

THE GREAT LAKES ICE ANALYSIS PRODUCTS CAN BE FOUND AT:

HTTP://WWW.NATICE.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GREAT_LAKES.HTML

AND

HTTP://WWW.GLERL.NOAA.GOV/DATA/ICE/#CURRENTCONDITIONS


TEMPERATURE  FORECASTS FOR SELECTED CITIES...

 LOCATION   01/31   02/01   02/02   02/03   02/04   02/05
   DULUTH  13  18  -8   5  -7  10   4  15  -4   6  -9   9
MARQUETTE   9  20   1   7  -5   7   1  15   3  10  -4   5
 GREENBAY  13  29   5  12  -4  12   4  22   7  14  -3  12
MILWAUKEE  19  34  21  21   9  18  12  28  17  19   2  14
  CHICAGO  20  35  24  25  11  18  13  29  21  23   6  16
 MUSKEGON  13  31  12  15   2  15   9  26  21  28   7  15
   ALPENA   2  25  -1   7  -4  12   4  22  13  21   2  11
  DETROIT   8  30  16  19   4  12   6  22  19  31   9  17
   TOLEDO   9  29  16  19   8  11   0  23  19  29   7  17
CLEVELAND   8  28  18  25  10  11   2  23  20  31  12  19
  BUFFALO   1  21  11  15   3   9  -1  22  15  31   8  14


A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF THE GREAT LAKES FORECAST TEMPERATURES
CAN BE FOUND AT:
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=MAP&L=GL&P=A&M=TE

A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF WIND ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN BE FOUND AT:
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=MAP&L=GL&P=A&M=WS

FREEZING DEGREE DAY ACCUMULATIONS AT SELECTED STATIONS COMPARED TO
NORMAL CALCULATED ON WED JAN 28:

LOCATION           DATE   NORMAL CURRENT
----------------------------------------

   DULUTH,   MN  JAN   29 1288 1202
MARQUETTE,   MI  JAN   29 1031 1282
SAU_S_MAR,   MI  JAN   29  801  971
 GREENBAY,   WI  JAN   29  800  775
MILWAUKEE,   WI  JAN   29  457  391
  CHICAGO,   IL  JAN   29  369  358
 MUSKEGON,   MI  JAN   29  256  274
   ALPENA,   MI  JAN   29  592  706
  DETROIT,   MI  JAN   29  262  334
   TOLEDO,   OH  JAN   29  272  357
CLEVELAND,   OH  JAN   29  145  271
  BUFFALO,   NY  JAN   29  282  346


NORMAL TEMPS FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS AROUND THE
GREAT LAKES FOR WED JAN 30

LOCATION     HIGH LOW
----------------------------------------------

    DULUTH,MN  21   1
 MARQUETTE,MI  23   7
  GREENBAY,WI  21   1
 MILWAUKEE,WI  31  17
   CHICAGO,IL  32  16
  MUSKEGON,MI  30  15
    ALPENA,MI  21   1
   DETROIT,MI  32  17
    TOLEDO,OH  33  17
 CLEVELAND,OH  34  19
   BUFFALO,NY  32  17

NOTE: ALL WEB SITE ADDRESSES SHOULD BE ENTERED INTO YOUR BROWSER IN
LOWER CASE.

$$

KEC










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