Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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000
FXHW01 KWNH 251220
PMDHI

HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
819 AM EDT FRI JUL 25 2014

VALID 00Z SAT JUL 26 2014 - 00Z SAT AUG 02 2014

LATEST MODELS AND ENSEMBLES REASONABLY AGREE IN SUPPORT OF
MODERATE TO LOCALLY BREZZY ISLAND TRADES FOR MUCH OF THE NEXT
WEEK. A FAVORED GUIDANCE COMPOSITE INDICATES THIS FLOW WELL
UNDERNEATH A DEVELOPING HIGHER LATITUDE BLOCK MAY PERIODICALLY
ENHANCE AS PRESSURE GRAIDENTS TIGHTEN WITH PASSAGE OF A SERIES OF
TROPICAL FEATURES TO THE SOUTH OF THE STATE. WINDWARD TERRAIN
BASED SHOWERS MAY INCREASE SLIGHTLY THIS WEEKEND WITH ANY ADDED
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH A LEAD TROPICAL DISTURBANCE PASSING SOUTH
OF THE STATE AS FOLLOWED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER.
ADDITIONAL OPPORTUNITIES FOR INCREASED MOISTURE/SHOWERS TO WORK
INTO ESPECIALLY THE SOUTHERN ISLANDS MAY BE RELATED TO TROPICAL
STORM GENEVIEVE LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 134.4W AT 09 UTC WHOSE WEAKENED
REMNANTS SHOULD PASS SOUTH OF THE ISLANDS AROUND THU/FRI AND THERE
IS EVEN ANOTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPSTREAM OF THAT NEAR 123W.
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS NOW MONITORING THESE TWO TROPICAL
FEATURES.

SCHICHTEL

$$





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