Tropical Cyclone Probabilities
Issued by NWS

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HURRICANE JIMENA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  39
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP132015
0900 UTC SAT SEP 05 2015

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 145.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

20N 145W       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

25N 145W       34  7  10(17)   4(21)   1(22)   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)

20N 150W       34  4   2( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   1(10)

25N 150W       34  3   5( 8)  14(22)  18(40)   8(48)   2(50)   X(50)
25N 150W       50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   5(14)   X(14)   1(15)
25N 150W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

30N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

20N 151W       34  3   1( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

21N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

HANA           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

JOINT BASE PHH 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

26N 159W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)

25N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD





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