Tropical Cyclone Probabilities
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000
FOPZ12 KNHC 020836
PWSEP2

TROPICAL STORM BLANCA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022015
0900 UTC TUE JUN 02 2015

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BLANCA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

P ABREOJOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  10(17)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)

SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   9(15)
SAN JOSE CABO  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
SAN JOSE CABO  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)

LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   8(11)
LA PAZ         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

LORETO         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

HUATABAMPO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

LOS MOCHIS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)

CULIACAN       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)

MAZATLAN       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)

SAN BLAS       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   3(11)
SAN BLAS       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
SAN BLAS       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)

P VALLARTA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)   3(15)
P VALLARTA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
P VALLARTA     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)

BARRA NAVIDAD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  12(18)   2(20)
BARRA NAVIDAD  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)
BARRA NAVIDAD  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)

MANZANILLO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)  10(17)   2(19)
MANZANILLO     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
MANZANILLO     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)

L CARDENAS     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   5( 7)   5(12)   X(12)

ZIHUATANEJO    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)

ACAPULCO       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  19(21)   9(30)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   4(11)
ISLA SOCORRO   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)

ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)

ISLAS MARIAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   5(16)
ISLAS MARIAS   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
ISLAS MARIAS   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)

CLIPPERTON IS  34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   5( 9)   1(10)   1(11)

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



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