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000
FGUS51 KTIR 230051
RVFMNL
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
8:51pm EDT Wednesday, May 22, 2013

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/mmefs


: Confluence - Youghiogheny River - CTP
: Zero Datum 1302.8 ft (NGVD 1929)  Fayette County, PA
: Flood Stage 12.0 ft   Action Stage 7.0 ft
: Moderate Stage 14.0 ft   Major Stage 17.0 ft
: Latest Stage 2.7 ft at 745pm EDT on Wed, May 22
:
: Forecasts are in 6-hour increments.

:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 21           /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.2
:     May 22   /   3.2 /   3.1 /   3.1 /   2.8
:     May 23   /   2.7
:
.ER CNFP1 20130523 Z DC201305230051/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 23 :         /   2.7 /   2.7 /   2.7
.E2 : May 24 : /   2.7 /   2.8 /   2.8 /   2.9
.E3 : May 25 : /   3.1 /   3.3 /   3.3 /   3.2
.E4 : May 26 : /   3.1 /   3.1 /   3.1 /   3.1
.E5 : May 27 : /   3.0 /   3.0 /   3.0 /   3.0
.E6 : May 28 : /   3.0
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 20           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 21   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 22   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 23   /  0.09
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 23           /  0.14 /  0.05 /  0.09
:     May 24   /  0.09 /  0.08 /  0.04 /  0.09
:     May 25   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 20           /  17.0 /  15.8 /  21.3
:     May 21   /  26.4 /  21.7 /  17.2 /  22.8
:     May 22   /  28.0 /  22.6 /  18.6 /  23.4
:     May 23   /  24.9 /  19.7 /  17.0 /  19.0
:     May 24   /  19.9 /  13.8 /   8.7 /   8.1
:     May 25   /  10.9
:____________________________________________________________________

: Ohiopyle - Youghiogheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 1164.67 ft (NAVD 1988)  Fayette County, PA
: Flood Stage 20.0 ft   Action Stage 10.0 ft
: Moderate Stage 22.0 ft   Major Stage 25.0 ft
: Latest Stage 2.3 ft at 800pm EDT on Wed, May 22
:
: Forecasts are in 6-hour increments.

:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 21           /   3.1 /   3.1 /   2.9
:     May 22   /   2.8 /   2.8 /   2.8 /   2.4
:     May 23   /   2.3
:
.ER OPLP1 20130523 Z DC201305230051/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 23 :         /   2.3 /   2.2 /   2.2
.E2 : May 24 : /   2.2 /   2.3 /   2.4 /   2.5
.E3 : May 25 : /   2.9 /   3.1 /   3.1 /   3.0
.E4 : May 26 : /   2.9 /   2.8 /   2.8 /   2.8
.E5 : May 27 : /   2.7 /   2.7 /   2.7 /   2.7
.E6 : May 28 : /   2.7
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 20           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 21   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 22   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 23   /  0.06
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 23           /  0.14 /  0.05 /  0.06
:     May 24   /  0.09 /  0.09 /  0.04 /  0.09
:     May 25   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 20           /  17.2 /  14.7 /  20.5
:     May 21   /  26.5 /  21.7 /  16.7 /  22.4
:     May 22   /  27.2 /  21.6 /  18.4 /  23.0
:     May 23   /  24.1 /  20.1 /  17.6 /  18.1
:     May 24   /  19.8 /  13.1 /   7.8 /   6.9
:     May 25   /  10.3
:____________________________________________________________________

: Connellsville - Youghiogheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 860.13 ft (NGVD 1929)  Fayette County, PA
: Flood Stage 12.0 ft   Action Stage 9.0 ft
: Moderate Stage 16.0 ft   Major Stage 18.0 ft
: Latest Stage 3.1 ft at 800pm EDT on Wed, May 22
:
: Forecasts are in 6-hour increments.

:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 21           /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.5
:     May 22   /   3.4 /   3.3 /   3.3 /   3.2
:     May 23   /   3.1
:
.ER CLLP1 20130523 Z DC201305230051/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 23 :         /   3.0 /   3.0 /   3.0
.E2 : May 24 : /   3.0 /   3.0 /   3.1 /   3.1
.E3 : May 25 : /   3.3 /   3.4 /   3.5 /   3.4
.E4 : May 26 : /   3.4 /   3.3 /   3.3 /   3.3
.E5 : May 27 : /   3.3 /   3.2 /   3.2 /   3.2
.E6 : May 28 : /   3.2
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 20           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 21   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 22   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 23   /  0.15
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 23           /  0.14 /  0.04 /  0.04
:     May 24   /  0.09 /  0.08 /  0.04 /  0.08
:     May 25   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 20           /  18.1 /  15.7 /  20.9
:     May 21   /  26.4 /  21.7 /  17.3 /  22.9
:     May 22   /  27.4 /  22.3 /  18.7 /  23.2
:     May 23   /  24.2 /  20.7 /  18.1 /  18.1
:     May 24   /  20.0 /  12.6 /   7.5 /   6.6
:     May 25   /  11.1
:____________________________________________________________________

: Sutersville - Youghiogheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 733.36 ft (NGVD 1929)  Allegheny County, PA
: Flood Stage 20.0 ft   Action Stage 14.9 ft
: Moderate Stage 21.0 ft   Major Stage 23.0 ft
: Latest Stage 4.2 ft at 615pm EDT on Wed, May 22
:
: Forecasts are in 6-hour increments.

:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 21           /   4.5 /   4.5 /   4.5
:     May 22   /   4.5 /   4.5 /   4.4E/   4.3
:     May 23   /   4.2E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
.ER STSP1 20130523 Z DC201305230051/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 23 :         /   4.2 /   4.1 /   4.1
.E2 : May 24 : /   4.1 /   4.1 /   4.1 /   4.2
.E3 : May 25 : /   4.2 /   4.3 /   4.4 /   4.5
.E4 : May 26 : /   4.4 /   4.3 /   4.3 /   4.3
.E5 : May 27 : /   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.2
.E6 : May 28 : /   4.2
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 20           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 21   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 22   /  0.00 /  0.04 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 23   /  0.16
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 23           /  0.14 /  0.04 /  0.02
:     May 24   /  0.09 /  0.08 /  0.04 /  0.08
:     May 25   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 20           /  19.9 /  17.1 /  22.8
:     May 21   /  28.1 /  23.1 /  18.7 /  24.3
:     May 22   /  28.9 /  24.1 /  20.4 /  24.6
:     May 23   /  25.1 /  21.4 /  18.8 /  19.9
:     May 24   /  20.9 /  12.8 /   8.2 /   8.2
:     May 25   /  12.8
:____________________________________________________________________

: Maxwell L&D - Monongahela River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 734.5 ft (NGVD 1929)  Fayette County, PA
: Flood Stage 32.0 ft   Action Stage 23.5 ft
: Moderate Stage 34.0 ft   Major Stage 36.0 ft
: Latest Stage 9.9 ft at 800pm EDT on Wed, May 22
:
: Forecasts are in 6-hour increments.

:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 21           /  10.1 /   9.9 /  10.2
:     May 22   /  10.4 /  10.2 /   9.7 /   9.7
:     May 23   /   9.9
:
.ER MAXP1 20130523 Z DC201305230051/DUE/DQG/DH06/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 23 :         /   9.8 /   9.7 /   9.7
.E2 : May 24 : /   9.8 /  10.0 /   9.8 /   9.8
.E3 : May 25 : /  10.0 /  10.8 /  10.0 /   9.8
.E4 : May 26 : /  10.0 /  10.7 /  10.0 /   9.8
.E5 : May 27 : /   9.8 /  10.3 /   9.8 /   9.7
.E6 : May 28 : /   9.8
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 20           /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 21   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 22   /  0.00 /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 23   /  0.14
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 23           /  0.15 /  0.04 /  0.00
:     May 24   /  0.09 /  0.09 /  0.05 /  0.08
:     May 25   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 20           /  20.9 /  16.8 /  22.1
:     May 21   /  28.2 /  22.8 /  17.8 /  23.8
:     May 22   /  28.7 /  23.9 /  20.6 /  24.3
:     May 23   /  24.1 /  21.1 /  18.7 /  20.9
:     May 24   /  20.7 /  13.3 /   8.1 /   8.5
:     May 25   /  13.2
:____________________________________________________________________

: Charleroi - Monongahela River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 717.9 ft (NGVD 1929)  Westmoreland County, PA
: Flood Stage 28.0 ft   Action Stage 22.6 ft
: Moderate Stage 31.0 ft   Major Stage 35.0 ft
: Latest Stage 10.7 ft at 800pm EDT on Wed, May 22
:
: Forecasts are in 6-hour increments.

:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 21           /  11.8 /  11.1 /  10.7
:     May 22   /  11.2 /  11.7 /  11.3 /  10.9
:     May 23   /  10.7
:
.ER CHRP1 20130523 Z DC201305230051/DUE/DQG/DH06/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 23 :         /  10.8 /  10.4 /  10.2
.E2 : May 24 : /  10.5 /  11.5 /  10.7 /  10.4
.E3 : May 25 : /  11.5 /  13.1 /  11.6 /  11.0
.E4 : May 26 : /  11.5 /  13.0 /  11.4 /  10.7
.E5 : May 27 : /  10.9 /  12.2 /  10.8 /  10.3
.E6 : May 28 : /  10.5
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 20           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 21   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 22   /  0.00 /  0.03 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 23   /  0.15
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 23           /  0.15 /  0.04 /  0.01
:     May 24   /  0.09 /  0.08 /  0.04 /  0.08
:     May 25   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 20           /  20.4 /  17.0 /  22.1
:     May 21   /  28.1 /  23.3 /  18.6 /  23.8
:     May 22   /  28.5 /  24.1 /  20.7 /  24.3
:     May 23   /  24.5 /  21.3 /  18.8 /  20.3
:     May 24   /  20.8 /  13.1 /   8.2 /   8.4
:     May 25   /  12.9
:____________________________________________________________________

: Elizabeth - Monongahela River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 717.9 ft (NGVD 1929)  Allegheny County, PA
: Flood Stage 20.0 ft   Action Stage 16.5 ft
: Moderate Stage 23.0 ft   Major Stage 26.0 ft
: Latest Stage 10.4 ft at 815pm EDT on Wed, May 22
:
: Forecasts are in 6-hour increments.

:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 21           /  11.4 /  10.7 /  10.5
:     May 22   /  10.7 /  11.2 /  10.9 /  10.7
:     May 23   /  10.5
:
.ER ELZP1 20130523 Z DC201305230051/DUE/DQG/DH06/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 23 :         /  10.8 /  10.4 /  10.3
.E2 : May 24 : /  10.6 /  11.2 /  10.7 /  10.6
.E3 : May 25 : /  11.1 /  11.9 /  11.2 /  10.9
.E4 : May 26 : /  11.2 /  11.9 /  11.1 /  10.7
.E5 : May 27 : /  10.9 /  11.4 /  10.8 /  10.5
.E6 : May 28 : /  10.6
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 20           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 21   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 22   /  0.00 /  0.07 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 23   /  0.23
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 23           /  0.14 /  0.03 /  0.00
:     May 24   /  0.10 /  0.08 /  0.03 /  0.07
:     May 25   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 20           /  20.4 /  16.6 /  21.8
:     May 21   /  27.9 /  23.4 /  18.5 /  23.6
:     May 22   /  28.6 /  23.7 /  19.5 /  23.5
:     May 23   /  24.5 /  21.4 /  18.8 /  20.7
:     May 24   /  20.7 /  12.9 /   8.0 /   8.5
:     May 25   /  12.9
:____________________________________________________________________

: Braddock - Monongahela River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 709.7 ft (NGVD 1929)  Allegheny County, PA
: Flood Stage 22.0 ft   Action Stage 18.2 ft
: Moderate Stage 23.0 ft   Major Stage 24.0 ft
: Latest Stage 12.2 ft at 745pm EDT on Wed, May 22
:
: Forecasts are in 6-hour increments.

:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 21           /  12.0 /  11.7 /  11.8
:     May 22   /  12.2 /  12.3 /  11.9 /  11.7
:     May 23   /  12.0
:
.ER BDDP1 20130523 Z DC201305230051/DUE/DQG/DH06/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 23 :         /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0
.E2 : May 24 : /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0
.E3 : May 25 : /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0
.E4 : May 26 : /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0
.E5 : May 27 : /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0
.E6 : May 28 : /  12.0
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 20           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 21   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 22   /  0.00 /  0.07 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 23   /  0.14
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 23           /  0.14 /  0.03 /  0.00
:     May 24   /  0.10 /  0.07 /  0.03 /  0.07
:     May 25   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 20           /  20.2 /  16.8 /  22.4
:     May 21   /  28.1 /  23.9 /  19.1 /  24.2
:     May 22   /  29.2 /  24.4 /  19.6 /  23.8
:     May 23   /  25.6 /  21.7 /  18.9 /  20.6
:     May 24   /  21.0 /  12.7 /   8.2 /   8.6
:     May 25   /  13.2
:____________________________________________________________________

$$
: JEH
:...END of MESSAGE...