River Forecast
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FGUS53 KKRF 070050
RVFOSG

RIVER FORECAST
NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
0050Z Tue Jul 7 2015
:
: THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA THAT MAY BE SUBJECT TO REVISION.
: REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST.

:    FORECAST GROUP IS OSAGE

:                ***     EVENING FORECAST     ***

:     **********************************************************
:     *** THESE FORECASTS ARE SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED BY QPF  ***
:     **********************************************************


: ==>    This forecast includes obsd precip & 24 hours of QPF    <==

RIVER/STATION            FS     TDY    F O R E C A S T
LITTLE OSAGE RIVER
  FULTON KS              22.0    3.8   CREST NEAR 27.9 FT 07/07 PM
  HORTON MO 1N           41.0   28.7   CREST NEAR 46.0 FT 07/09 PM
MARMATON RIVER
  FT SCOTT KS NO.2       38.0    7.9   CREST NEAR 37.6 FT 07/08 AM
  NEVADA MO 2NW          20.0    4.1   CREST NEAR 25.1 FT 07/09 PM
OSAGE RIVER
  SCHELL CITY MO 3NW     30.0   23.8   CREST NEAR 34.0 FT 07/11 AM
SAC RIVER
  CAPLNGER MILLS MO 5N   16.0    6.7   CREST NEAR 16.1 FT 07/08 PM
SOUTH GRAND RIVER
  URICH MO 1S            24.0    8.5   CREST NEAR 27.7 FT 07/07 PM
BIG CREEK
  BLAIRSTOWN MO 1SW      20.0   15.7   CREST NEAR 24.5 FT 07/07 PM

:__________________________________________________________________

:FULTON KS - LITTLE OSAGE RIVER     HSA - SGF
:FLOOD STAGE 22.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 20.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 25.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 30.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 3.8 FT AT 0015Z ON 0707

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0706           /   3.9 /   3.9 /   3.8
:   0707   /   3.8

: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 07/07/2015 AROUND 10Z
.AR : CREST : FTNK1 20150707 Z DC201507070050/DH18/HGIFFX 27.9
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 07/08/2015 AROUND 12Z
.ER FTNK1 20150707 Z DC201507070050/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0707:        /  12.5 /  26.0 /  27.9
.E2  :0708:/  27.7 /  26.1 /  22.2 /  16.7
.E3  :0709:/  10.3 /   7.9 /   7.1 /   6.6
.E4  :0710:/   6.2 /   5.9 /   5.7 /   5.5
.E5  :0711:/   5.3 /   5.2 /   5.1 /   4.9
.E6  :0712:/   4.8


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0706          /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0707  /  0.38
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Jul 07:   0.38  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0707          /  2.24 /  0.46 /  0.23
:    0708  /  0.11
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Jul 08:   3.03  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:HORTON MO 1N - LITTLE OSAGE RIVER     HSA - SGF
:FLOOD STAGE 41.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 39.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 45.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 50.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 28.7 FT AT 2345Z ON 0706

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0706           /  30.9 /  30.0 /  29.2
:   0706   /  28.9

: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 07/07/2015 AROUND 11Z
.AR : CREST : HTNM7 20150710 Z DC201507070050/DH00/HGIFFX 46.0
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 07/11/2015 AROUND 05Z
.ER HTNM7 20150707 Z DC201507070050/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0707:        /  37.8 /  41.4 /  42.9
.E2  :0708:/  43.6 /  43.6 /  43.4 /  43.3
.E3  :0709:/  43.4 /  43.8 /  44.7 /  45.6
.E4  :0710:/  46.0 /  45.6 /  44.7 /  43.5
.E5  :0711:/  42.2 /  40.7 /  39.2 /  35.9
.E6  :0712:/  34.2


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0706          /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0707  /  0.02
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Jul 07:   0.05  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0707          /  2.18 /  0.56 /  0.30
:    0708  /  0.11
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Jul 08:   3.14  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:FT SCOTT KS NO.2 - MARMATON RIVER     HSA - SGF
:FLOOD STAGE 38.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 36.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 42.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 43.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 7.9 FT AT 0030Z ON 0707

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0706           /   8.1 /   8.1 /   8.0
:   0707   /   7.9

.AR : CREST : FSKK1 20150708 Z DC201507070050/DH06/HGIFFX 37.6
.ER FSKK1 20150707 Z DC201507070050/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0707:        /  15.5 /  23.9 /  31.3
.E2  :0708:/  35.3 /  37.6 /  36.8 /  35.3
.E3  :0709:/  32.8 /  30.6 /  26.7 /  22.8
.E4  :0710:/  19.8 /  17.6 /  16.1 /  15.1
.E5  :0711:/  14.2 /  13.5 /  12.9 /  12.3
.E6  :0712:/  11.7


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0706          /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0707  /  0.03
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Jul 07:   0.04  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0707          /  2.16 /  0.64 /  0.32
:    0708  /  0.13
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Jul 08:   3.25  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:NEVADA MO 2NW - MARMATON RIVER     HSA - SGF
:FLOOD STAGE 20.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 18.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 31.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 4.1 FT AT 2345Z ON 0706

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0706           /   4.6 /   4.3 /   4.1
:   0706   /   4.0

: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 07/07/2015 AROUND 21Z
.AR : CREST : NVDM7 20150710 Z DC201507070050/DH00/HGIFFX 25.1
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 07/11/2015 AROUND 12Z
.ER NVDM7 20150707 Z DC201507070050/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0707:        /   5.0 /  10.1 /  17.9
.E2  :0708:/  21.7 /  23.3 /  23.7 /  23.7
.E3  :0709:/  23.6 /  24.1 /  24.4 /  24.8
.E4  :0710:/  25.1 /  25.0 /  24.7 /  24.5
.E5  :0711:/  23.5 /  21.9 /  20.1 /  18.3
.E6  :0712:/  15.6


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0706          /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0707  /  0.03
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Jul 07:   0.03  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0707          /  1.87 /  0.74 /  0.37
:    0708  /  0.13
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Jul 08:   3.11  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:SCHELL CITY MO 3NW - OSAGE RIVER     HSA - SGF
:FLOOD STAGE 30.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 28.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 35.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 45.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 23.8 FT AT 2345Z ON 0706

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0706           /  25.9 /  25.2 /  24.4
:   0706   /  24.1

: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 07/08/2015 AROUND 12Z
.AR : CREST : SCZM7 20150711 Z DC201507070050/DH12/HGIFFX 34.0
.ER SCZM7 20150707 Z DC201507070050/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0707:        /  23.6 /  23.6 /  23.9
.E2  :0708:/  26.4 /  28.8 /  30.1 /  30.5
.E3  :0709:/  30.5 /  30.5 /  30.6 /  30.8
.E4  :0710:/  31.2 /  31.8 /  32.3 /  32.9
.E5  :0711:/  33.4 /  33.8 /  34.0 /  34.0
.E6  :0712:/  33.8


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0706          /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0707  /  0.01
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Jul 07:   0.01  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0707          /  1.92 /  0.62 /  0.32
:    0708  /  0.11
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Jul 08:   2.96  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:CAPLNGER MILLS MO 5N - SAC RIVER     HSA - SGF
:FLOOD STAGE 16.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 14.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 19.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 28.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 6.7 FT AT 2345Z ON 0706

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0706           /   6.9 /   6.8 /   6.7
:   0706   /   6.7

: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 07/08/2015 AROUND 17Z
.AR : CREST : CMZM7 20150708 Z DC201507070050/DH18/HGIFFX 16.1
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 07/08/2015 AROUND 21Z
.ER CMZM7 20150707 Z DC201507070050/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0707:        /   9.5 /  11.9 /  11.9
.E2  :0708:/  12.2 /  13.6 /  15.2 /  16.1
.E3  :0709:/  15.9 /  15.3 /  14.4 /  13.6
.E4  :0710:/  12.9 /  12.2 /  11.6 /  11.1
.E5  :0711:/  10.6 /  10.3 /  10.1 /   9.9
.E6  :0712:/   9.7


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0706          /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0707  /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Jul 07:   0.00  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0707          /  0.48 /  0.82 /  0.55
:    0708  /  0.16
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Jul 08:   2.01  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:URICH MO 1S - SOUTH GRAND RIVER     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 24.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 22.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 8.5 FT AT 0015Z ON 0707

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0706           /   9.1 /   8.9 /   8.7
:   0707   /   8.5

: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 07/07/2015 AROUND 14Z
.AR : CREST : URHM7 20150708 Z DC201507070050/DH00/HGIFFX 27.7
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 07/09/2015 AROUND 11Z
.ER URHM7 20150707 Z DC201507070050/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0707:        /  14.3 /  22.8 /  27.4
.E2  :0708:/  27.7 /  27.7 /  27.5 /  27.5
.E3  :0709:/  27.4 /  26.5 /  23.8 /  20.5
.E4  :0710:/  18.0 /  16.4 /  15.4 /  14.6
.E5  :0711:/  14.0 /  13.3 /  12.8 /  12.3
.E6  :0712:/  11.9


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0706          /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0707  /  0.12
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Jul 07:   0.12  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0707          /  2.07 /  0.41 /  0.18
:    0708  /  0.07
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Jul 08:   2.73  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:BLAIRSTOWN MO 1SW - BIG CREEK     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 20.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 18.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 23.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 36.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 15.7 FT AT 0000Z ON 0707

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0706           /  16.4 /  16.2 /  15.9
:   0707   /  15.7

: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 07/07/2015 AROUND 09Z
.AR : CREST : BLRM7 20150708 Z DC201507070050/DH00/HGIFFX 24.5
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 07/09/2015 AROUND 00Z
.ER BLRM7 20150707 Z DC201507070050/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0707:        /  18.0 /  22.1 /  23.9
.E2  :0708:/  24.5 /  23.9 /  22.5 /  21.1
.E3  :0709:/  19.9 /  18.5 /  17.0 /  16.3
.E4  :0710:/  16.0 /  15.6 /  15.3 /  15.0
.E5  :0711:/  14.6 /  14.4 /  14.1 /  13.8
.E6  :0712:/  13.6


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0706          /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0707  /  0.22
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Jul 07:   0.22  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0707          /  1.71 /  0.35 /  0.13
:    0708  /  0.05
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Jul 08:   2.24  inches

:********************************************************************
:COMMENT
:
:
:HSA -        Hydrologic Service Area
:SGF -        NWS Weather Forecast Office Springfield, Missouri
:EAX -        NWS Weather Forecast Office Pleasant Hill, Missouri
:OBS -        Observed
:EST -        Estimated
:M -          Missing
:Stage Fcst - River Stage forecast including future precipitation
:Flow Fcst -  River Flow forecast including future precipitation
:Precip -     Precipitation
:QPE -        Observed radar estimated precipitation
:QPF -        Forecasted mean areal precipitation for local basin
:
:
$$
: djv
:...END of MESSAGE...



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