Satellite Precipitation Estimates (TXUS20 KWBC)
Issued by NWS

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000
TXUS20 KNES 280701
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
MOZ000-IAZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/28/14 0701Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13: 0645ZDS
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LOCATION...NW MISSOURI...W IOWA...NE KANSAS...E NEBRASKA...
LOCATION...SE SOUTH DAKOTA...
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ATTN WFOS...DMX...EAX...FSD...OAX...TOP...GID...LBF...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...
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EVENT...ONGOING MOD-HVY RAINFALL
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...MCS WITH EXPANDING COLD POOL IS SEEN IN
RECENT IR IMAGERY OVER SE NEB WITH SVRL OVERSHOOTING TOPS EVIDENT OVER
CLAY/NUCKOLLS/THAYER COUNTIES. WV SHOWS WELL DEFINED S/WV ENERGY EJECTING
FROM THE UPPER TROF ACROSS NE CO/NW KS AND ANOTHER MORE SUBTLE PIECE
OF ENERGY TRAVERSING CENTRAL NEB FROM SW-NE. THIS SECOND S/WV IMPULSE
IS BETTER DEFINED IN EXPERIMENTAL GOES RGB AIRMASS AND RECENT MODIS RGB
AIRMASS PRODUCTS. STNRY FRONTAL BNDRY IS ANALYZED TO BE DRAPED FROM A SFC
LOW OVER W CENTRAL NEB SEWD AND THEN EWD ACROSS NRN KS TO NR KMCI. VERY
RICH LOW LVL MOISTURE IS PRESENT ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS WITH 00Z
PW ANALYSIS SHOWING A POOL OF 1.8-NR 2" VALUES OVER NRN KS/SE NEB AND
STRETCHING SE INTO MO. THIS DEEP MOISTURE POOL HAS ALREADY MIGRATED A
BIT NWD OF ITS 00Z POSITIONING.
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AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION
THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED
BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES.
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SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 0700-1100Z...MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...BROAD LOW LVL SRLY FLOW CURRENTLY DEPICTED
BY VWP DATA IS HELPING TO ADVECT THE POOL OF DEEP MOISTURE FURTHER
NWD ACROSS ERN NEB/WRN IA AND TWDS SE SD BASED ON MODEL/BLENDED TPW
PRODUCTS. IN THE SHORT TERM..LIFT FROM THE S/WV IMPULSE CROSSING NEB
DRAWING LL MOISTURE NWD WILL AID MOD-LOCALLY HVY PRECIP ACROSS MUCH OF
ERN NEB INTO SE SD. THE LOW LVL FLOW ACROSS KS AND THE OK/TX PANHANDLES
IS FCST BY THE RAP TO BECOME MORE SWRLY AND MORE FOCUSED AROUND 09-10Z
TAKING AIM AT SE TO E CENTRAL NEB AND SW/W CENTRAL IA AND STARTS TO
UNDERCUT THE DECENT SE-NW MOISTURE TRANSPORT THAT TAKES PLACE OVER WRN
IA/E NEB IN THE 07-10Z PERIOD. GIVEN BETTER INSTABILITY FURTHER TO THE
S ACROSS E KS/SE NEB..BELIEVE STRONGER CNVTN ASSCD WITH THE MCS WILL
BE ALIGNED ACROSS ERN NEB INTO WRN IA. STRONG MOISTURE TRANSPORT/LOW
LVL CNVG...POSSIBLY AIDED BY SOME UPPER DIFFLUENCE AS 2ND S/WV EJECTS
SHOULD FUEL CNVTN LATER IN THE NIGHT INTO MORNING.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 4406 9838 4299 9579 4003 9373 3975 9787 4070 10071

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