Satellite Precipitation Estimates (TXUS20 KWBC)
Issued by NWS

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000
TXUS20 KNES 250215
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
NDZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/25/14 0215Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13              0200Z         JANKOT
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LOCATION...NORTH DAKOTA...
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ATTN WFOS...BIS...
ATTN RFCS...NCRFC...MBRFC...
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EVENT...INCREASING HEAVY RAIN THREAT
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SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 0230-0530Z...LOW TO MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...LATEST GOES SOUNDER SHOWS HIGH AMOUNTS OF
INSTABILITY THROUGH CENTRAL ND/SD AND THIS CAN ALSO BE SEEN IN SPC
MESOANALYSIS WITH CAPES AS HIGH AS 4000-5000J/KG AND LIS AROUND -8C TO
-10C. IR IMAGERY HAS SHOWN ENHANCEMENT IN NW ND WITH WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWING A FAIRLY DIFFLUENT UPPER LEVEL PATTERN HELPING INCREASE LIFT FOR
DISCUSSION REGION. SFC ANALYSIS PLACES A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS REGION
WITH SFC MOISTURE CONVERGENCE MAXIMIZED  FROM SE MT NE THROUGH DISCUSSION
REGION. DECENT MOISTURE IN PLACE WITH BLENDED TPW PRODUCT SUGGESTING PWATS
AS HIGH AS 1.2".  WOULD EXPECT RATES OF .5-1.0"/HR IN DEEPEST CONVECTION
AND WITH 3 HR FFG AT OR BELOW 2.0 WOULD EXPECT A HEIGHTENED THREAT FOR
FF ISSUES IF CONVECTION CONTINUES TO EXPAND IN COVERAGE/INTENSITY.

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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 5034 9992 4650 9999 4631 10369 5013 10391
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NNNN


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