Marine/Aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory
Issued by NWS

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WTPA25 PHFO 211440
TCMCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
1500 UTC TUE OCT 21 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTION OF PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE
NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM NIHOA TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS IS CANCELLED.
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTION OF PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE
NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF IS
DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM WATCH.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...FROM
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 165.9W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE  50SE  25SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 165.9W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 165.4W

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 21.4N 167.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.8N 168.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 24.8N 169.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 27.0N 169.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 30.9N 166.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 34.6N 162.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 39.0N 156.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 165.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER POWELL







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