Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA

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000 FXUS61 KAKQ 280910 AFDAKQ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 410 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2014 .SYNOPSIS...
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HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA TODAY. THE HIGH BECOMES CENTERED OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST SATURDAY INTO MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES.
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&& .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
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SFC HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY OVER THE TN VALLEY WILL BUILD EASTWARD OVER THE LOCAL AREA BY THE END OF THE DAY. SUNSHINE WILL BE PLENTIFUL TODAY WITH DRY NW FLOW ALOFT. DESPITE THE SUNSHINE...MAX TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO RUN WELL BELOW NORMAL. HIGHS 40-45. NORMAL HIGHS ARE IN THE MID 50S TO AROUND 60. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVERHEAD TONIGHT BUT WITH SOME INCREASE IN CLOUDS DUE TO FLATTENING UPR FLOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO AROUND 30.
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&& .SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
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SFC HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. WITH LOW LEVEL-FLOW BECOMING MORE S-SW...MODERATING TEMPS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND. HIGHS SAT FROM THE UPR 40S NORTH TO THE LOW/MID 50S SOUTH. WARMING BACK ABOVE NORMAL SUNDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPR 50S TO AROUND 60 NORTH TO THE MID 60S SOUTH. SKIES TURN OUT PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY ON SAT...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY FOR SUNDAY.
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&& .LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... AN ACTIVE NORTHERN STREAM WILL SEND A COUPLE OF FAST MOVING COLD FRONTS THROUGH THE MID ATLANTIC STATES DURING THE LONG TERM PERIOD. RIDGING ALONG THE LATITUDE OF THE GULF OF MEXICO AND FLORIDA WILL KEEP HEIGHTS HIGH ENOUGH TO LIMIT THE SOUTHWARD PENETRATION OF ARCTIC AIR. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE LOCAL AREA ON MONDAY. MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. MID LEVEL MOISTURE FOLLOWING THE FRONT MAY PRODUCE PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH 20 TO 30 PERCENT POPS. THE NEXT COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE FRONT MOVES OFF THE COAST WITH A CLEARING SKY FROM THE WEST BUT SLGT CHC POPS CONTINUING TOWARD THE COAST THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES AVERAGE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE LONG TERM. HIGHS IN THE UPR 50S NE TO MID 60S SW MONDAY COOL TO THE MID 40S NW TO MID 50S SE TUESDAY. HIGHS IN THE 50S ARE FORECAST WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. LOWS IN THE 40S MONDAY MORNING LOWER TO THE UPR 30S TO MID 40S TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNINGS. && .AVIATION /08Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... HI PRES WILL BLD OVR THE AREA DURING TODAY...RESULTING IN VFR CONDITIONS PERSISTING AT THE TAF SITES. EXPECT JUST HI CLOUDS AND MAYBE SOME MID LEVEL CLOUDS THIS EVENG THRU SAT...AS A WEAK WARM FRONT ALOFT LIFTS INTO AND ACRS THE AREA. NW WINDS WILL GUST TO NEAR 20 KT LATE THIS MORNING...AS CAA CONTINUES ACRS THE REGION. OUTLOOK...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS WITH SSW WINDS ARE EXPECTED SAT NGT INTO MON...AS HI PRES WILL BE OFF THE MID ATLC/SE CST. && .MARINE...
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HI PRES WILL BLD TWD THE AREA FM THE W TODAY INTO THIS EVENG...THEN SLIDES OUT TO SEA FOR SAT INTO MON. STRONG CAA EXPECTED THIS MORNG INTO THIS AFTN...WITH NW WINDS 15-25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO OR ARND 30 KT OVR THE WTRS. SEAS WILL BLD TO 4-6 FT WITH WAVES 3-4 FT. SCA HEADLINES REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM THIS MORNG FOR THE RIVERS...UNTIL 1 PM THIS AFTN FOR THE CHES BAY AND CURRITUCK SND...AND THRU THIS AFTN FOR THE CSTL WTRS. CALMER CONDITIONS TNGT INTO SAT MORNG...AS THE HI BLDS RIGHT OVRHD. SW OR S WINDS 10 TO 20 KT EXPECTED SAT THRU SUN NGT...WITH WAVES 1 TO 3 FT...AND SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. THE NEXT COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE WTRS MON AFTN INTO MON NGT. HI PRES THEN BLDS OVER NEW ENGLAND TUE...RIDGING OVER CNTRL VA. RESULTANT N-NE FLOW WILL INCREASE TO NEAR SCA CONDITIONS MON NGT-TUE AS SEAS BLD TO 4-6 FT.
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&& .AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...NONE. NC...NONE. VA...NONE. MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR ANZ635>638. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR ANZ630>634. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR ANZ650- 652-654-656-658. && $$ SYNOPSIS...JDM NEAR TERM...JDM SHORT TERM...JDM LONG TERM...SAM/LSA AVIATION...TMG MARINE...TMG

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